Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 anyone have beyond 48? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Many of us thought it could and would come back NW Not to this degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 But to see a change like this at this juncture (especially after a great 00z) is pretty shocking to me. I think everyone thought a late phase but trended NW to bring big snows to Boston was definitely on the table... but this I think is pretty shocking. This has got to be one of the most poorly modeled and forecasted storm like this I can remember. I'm a junior in High School... planning on going to college for broadcast meteorology... and honestly, storms like this make me want to not have to deal with the stress of forecasting!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FEET FOR EVERYONE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Many of us thought it could and would come back NW Not like this. Besides you... no reasonable person thought a solution like this was still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Correction vector engaged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Holy sh*t Weenies wobble but they dont fall down! The rest of this run can't come out fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 It will be fun to look at for sure. It would be remarkable if the models failed this miserably and this was the end solution. IFFFF it were to happen, all we can say is that "sometimes, total model failure can be a very good thing". I'm not biting yet, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LOL, this can't be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 all other models must bow down to this run, and strive to emulate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 But to see a change like this at this juncture (especially after a great 00z) is pretty shocking to me. I think everyone thought a late phase but trended NW to bring big snows to Boston was definitely on the table... but this I think is pretty shocking. This has got to be one of the most poorly modeled and forecasted storm like this I can remember. If this turns out to be the correct solution - I hate to say it but in some respects it was another 1/25 in that it was horribly forecast outside of 36-48 hours. You do have to wonder how often it's the case that the GFS is stronger than the NAM at this range. It's all very odd, especially when the RGEM which is so prone to blowing up lows is weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not to this degree. Some of US did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 anyone have beyond 48? You can get hr 54 on NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This ones gonna occlude fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Christmas Miracle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Well if there's one thing this run achieved, it probably destroyed Christmas Eve and Day for countless families in the Mid-Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow...this is way west. Parts of cape go over to rain with even H85s ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not like this. Besides you... no reasonable person thought a solution like this was still on the table. This is why optimism in forecasting is the way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LOL, this can't be. I thought... best case scenario as of 7 a.m. this morning... Boston was able to squeeze a foot out with a track closer to the coast. I don't think I ever though the Euro solution from 2 days ago was coming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 nice. 60 hrs... down to 980.. cape looks to be mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Rain on the Cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This run reminds me of Feb. '07...no phase/late phase then 2-3 days out, BANG. Of course that storm came too far west, but still, it reminds me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 But to see a change like this at this juncture (especially after a great 00z) is pretty shocking to me. I think everyone thought a late phase but trended NW to bring big snows to Boston was definitely on the table... but this I think is pretty shocking. This has got to be one of the most poorly modeled and forecasted storm like this I can remember. Well we've seen one or two of its ensemble members have a weenie solution like this recently...and also consider the NAM...yes I know its the NAM...but it really didn't show something this drastic by 48h when you can trust the model a little more. RGEM didn't really shot it either. Believe me, I'd absolutely kill for this run to verify since I'm probably going to get way more than these other solutions...but I'm pretty skeptical of a jump this far...at least yet. If the Euro amps it up this much...then probably game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 A path just inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Many of us thought it could and would come back NW I've been riding that horse all week even though I felt a little foolish at times. If this verifies MP buys you the case and I'll drive it down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I thought... best case scenario as of 7 a.m. this morning... Boston was able to squeeze a foot out with a track closer to the coast. I don't think I ever though the Euro solution from 2 days ago was coming back. Euro is fooking huge today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 At 72 low is just crawlin SE of the cape!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I've been riding that horse all week even though I felt a little foolish at times. If this verifies MP buys you the case and I'll drive it down! Heavy heavy beer for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 If this winds up happening it would be one of the biggest forecast/model busts since march 01. December 2009 was quite a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This is why optimism in forecasting is the way to go Probably to just result in bigger heartbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.