Roger Smith Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Time for the annual seasonal forecast contest ... same simplified format, just predict the seasonal counts of Storms, Hurricanes and Major Hurricanes, the long-term average for the sake of the format is 16/8/3 (or thereabouts). The contest will be based on the official NHC reporting on these stats during the season. Whether a named storm appears in May or not, the contest will not be affected, your prediction is the season end total, not the remainder of the season total. I will say June 1st as a rough deadline but may extend it slightly if there is a need to attract more entries. In past years 20 to 30 entries have been posted. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 14, 2022 Share Posted May 14, 2022 19/8/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 14, 2022 Share Posted May 14, 2022 16/8/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cat Lady Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 20/9/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 19/8/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 21/11/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted May 23, 2022 Share Posted May 23, 2022 13/6/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted May 23, 2022 Share Posted May 23, 2022 17/6/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 23, 2022 Share Posted May 23, 2022 23/9/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted May 24, 2022 Share Posted May 24, 2022 27/11/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 24, 2022 Share Posted May 24, 2022 17-11-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 18-8-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 9 NS, 4 H 1 M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 20/7/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 24/13/6 got a feeling about this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted May 29, 2022 Author Share Posted May 29, 2022 20 _ 10 _ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 21/10/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 20/12/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 22/12/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 21/10/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainLover Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 23/11/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 20/11/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 19/10/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 On 5/26/2022 at 8:30 AM, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: 9 NS, 4 H 1 M If it is a quiet season, you will be the winner. Looks like everyone else is going high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 41 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: If it is a quiet season, you will be the winner. Looks like everyone else is going high. I am purposely using the Price is Right strategy... Doesn't mean dull, Andrew was a warm ENSO low numbers year... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 +PNA next 15 days is going to strengthen ENSO subsurface warm pool which is already +1 spread-throughout... 2 years ago or last year it didn't matter.. surface SSTs held correlation by significance, but 500mb/SLP pattern subsurface wins by like +5SD's.. I don't know lol. Probably an active season with Neutral ENSO. Maybe 19 storms, unless there is a "put" on it. +ENSO acceleration now without surface movement is going to strengthen our "below the threshold" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 15 NS' hasn't broke in El Nino 10 straight times, even weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 20/9/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 21/10/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cnimbus Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 17 / 7 / 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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