burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 @30 wow! It's so close this could be the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 @33 boom we could be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 1011mb off the LA/MS coast. Down 5mb in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 its hard to tell on the map i am looking at, but it almost looks like some heavier qpf in north ga (yeah its the weenie in me shining through. sadly, of course, the heavier stuff isnt imby lol). i would love a monster, but heck i would gladly take light snow in christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 @33 boom we could be in business. im shaking here burger! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 at 30 and 33, the flow is backing and the northern stream is rreally digging behind it. Low in NE Gulf and it appears this could be more substantial precip. Definitely a trend in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like its phasing @36...it might be just a smidge too late though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 @30 wow! It's so close this could be the run. i'm noticing with the northern wave(s).. the first part is weakening and that wave behind is trending stronger and pulling further west. this is a good sign to keep the SLP further west as a more complete phase would be possible with less influence from the energy over the OH valley.. allowing the northern s/w to sharpen up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 @ 33HR, LP really starting to wrap up. Could this be it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yikes the 36 is like the JMA. Def. more precip in Ga and Carolinas so far I think. Due north/south flow in northern stream and a low in FL panhandle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Compared to the last 6 runs or so of the GFS this looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks juicy @42, my tongue is wagging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LP on the GFS is dropping about 1mb an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 goodness... the southern s/w moved over 100 miles from the prev run. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yikes the 36 is like the JMA. Def. more precip in Ga and Carolinas so far I think. Due north/south flow in northern stream and a low in FL panhandle i am liking that streak of moisture into n ga around hour 24. question is, after being burned a couple of times, can we trust any of the model qpf amounts now. i am very hesitant to do so. at least there is hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Ok, heres the trends. The TX wave holds longer, stronger and makes it to LA coast very in tact , and closed. Thats a big PLUS. (also, I'm sure now that it will make it further than that, because each run keeps extending its life) the northern stream dives sharply to the west in TN, MISS then suddely backs, which should grab the Gulf low and start sudden development. At this point, who knows if it hooks northeast and what angle and how far north the Precip shield could get thrown, but I'd say Watch out in ATL and points east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 low off of CHS @45...not bombing like the Euro but this is a huge step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Notice at 36 it maintains that precip maximum from TX all the to the SE La. coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Its ripe and ready hopefully it turns sharp now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Its ripe and ready hopefully it turns sharp now. Let the NW trend commence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 total qpf through 36, temps are marginal at first for ATL at least but rapidly decrease at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Ok, heres the trends. The TX wave holds longer, stronger and makes it to LA coast very in tact , and closed. Thats a big PLUS. (also, I'm sure now that it will make it further than that, because each run keeps extending its life) the northern stream dives sharply to the west in TN, MISS then suddely backs, which should grab the Gulf low and start sudden development. At this point, who knows if it hooks northeast and what angle and how far north the Precip shield could get thrown, but I'd say Watch out in ATL and points east. thats just mean keeping us hanging lol. holy cow - i just looked at the gfs snowfall map (yes unreliable but still the best yet) and it is putting down some snow across n ga (including near atl) through the upstate towards charlotte. wasnt expecting that. love to see it. would like to see if verify even more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 RDU and points east could cash in big time if this run verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 it's trending back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow... Big change for RDU... Pretty significant precip and should be mostly snow. Will have to check bufkit to be sure, but the precip is much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 at 42, 45, and 48 hours theres extremely strong backing at 500 with a very strong Vort in southern GA that is causing good divergence across Ga and the Carolinas. It has a surface low off CHS and a closed 5H over Louisville. The possibility here is the comma head would fan out qickly frm central and eastern GA and cover a good chunk of real estate in that setup. Similar to what happened in Jan 2000 but potentailly further west. NO, i'm not saying this will be that, but the look is close from what I recall. The think I really like is how the southern stream is stronger, further north and gets phased in partially this run, and closer to the coast. Still going to be a nail biter right to the bitter end. I'll check qpf ina sec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 precip so far at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 RDU and points east could cash in big time if this run verified. parts of georgia and the upstate could cash in (not as big as farther east but still better than the last few days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 It's coming back, boys and girls! The blackbirds know. :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 parts of georgia and the upstate could cash in (not as big as farther east but still better than the last few days) Yeah, your area certainly could pick up a nice snow if this trend continues. 1-2" for the metro area if I'm reading the GFS correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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