griteater Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Old school MAV MOS is moist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For those wondering what it's going to be like in West central Georgia/East Central Alabama. Right now, the temps are a tad too warm at 700 and above to see any real snow fall. This will start out as rain, and then toward the evening hours, it will become a mix of rain/sleet/snow. Sleet is possible starting after about... 4pm (depending how warm we get tomorrow). The snow could start mixing in around 7pm or thereafter. The heights suggest we will be plenty cold from 850 to the sfc, but it's the 700 to 850 range that will do us in for seeing any real snowfall like the Mets are talking about for Eastern Georgia and the Carolinas. We would have to see the levels above 850 get just a little cooler and we could see snow... so don't write it off COMPLETELY just yet. Could you possibly talk about the Atlanta Metropilis.....I have heard private guys around saying 3 or more for Atl.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Bufkit NAM 00 data gives CLT 4.3" GSP 3.5" hky 5.8" Adren (nc) 5.0" nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RAH 10:21 pm update: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --AS OF 930 PM FRIDAY... DECIDED TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN UPWARD TREND IN THE FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. AS STATED BEFORE...THE 12Z AND 18Z GFS PULLED THE COASTAL LOW TIGHTER TO THE COAST IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING AND CLOSING OFF OF THE MID AND UPPER LOW AS IT DIGS FROM KY/TN ACROSS NC SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE 12Z NAM ALSO TRENDED IN THIS DIRECTION AS WELL. HPC HAD FELT THAT SOME DATA PROBLEMS MAY HAVE LED TO INITIALIZATION ERRORS WITH THE GFS AND NAM AT 12Z BUT THE RAMIFICATIONS (IF ANY) ON THE OUTPUTS WERE NOT KNOWN. HOWEVER...THE NEW 00Z NAM HAS COME IN AND IT IS INDEED SHOWING HIGHER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THEN PREVIOUS RUNS. HPC HAS ALSO NOTED THAT THE ENSEMBLE SPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY...ADDING TO THE LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. THEREFORE...WITH THE HIGHER THEN NORMAL DISCREPANCIES IN THE MODELS (WHEN WE ARE ONLY 24-36 HOURS OUT)...DECIDED TO ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION AND ISSUE A WATCH. IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE LESSER AMOUNTS SHOULD BE IN THE NW...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS FURTHER EAST. THIS STILL APPEARS REASONABLE AND MORE DETAILS CAN BE FOUND IN THE WINTER STORM WATCH STATEMENT (WSW)...HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK (HWO) AND THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW WHICH COVERS THE TIME FRAME THE STORM IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND LOWER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOMEWHAT OF AN ATYPICAL TEMPERATURE PATTERN IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE...WITH CURRENT TEMPS RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS THE WEST TO UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30 DEGREES FURTHER EAST (DUE TO THE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE EAST). OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY ONLY BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER THAN CURRENT TEMPS AS THE CLOUDS INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION AND PREVENT MUCH MORE RADIATIONAL COOLING.-- End Changed Discussion -- && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... -- Unchanged Discussion --FROM 250 PM FRIDAY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Could you possibly talk about the Atlanta Metropilis.....I have heard private guys around saying 3 or more for Atl.... He is a met from Columbus not Atlanta... He is probably busy enough not have to tell you what has already been said. Read more post less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brewerdc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 0z GFS Initialized... I'm up to hr 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 @9 on the GFS low is a little faster and maybe not as strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Bufkit NAM 00 data gives CLT 4.3" GSP 3.5" hky 5.8" Adren (nc) 5.0" nice What about KCAE? KILM? KFLO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can someone post a link directly to the SV call map? I can get to the site, but don't see a call map anywhere. Thanks in advance. TW They are pay maps and I can't post them...you can pay for them if you would like to see them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 @15 it's looking to be a great run let's see where this low goes, it's a tad north and stronger then the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 12 hr GFS looking good, northern stream SW stronger and farther west..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Bufkit NAM 00 data gives CLT 4.3" GSP 3.5" hky 5.8" Adren (nc) 5.0" nice Is Adren Arden as in where the Aville Airport is or is that some other place and wishful thinking on my part? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Color rgem..nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.meteor.ia...en/bufkit/data/ Choose SE What about KCAE? KILM? KFLO? Yup Jason. Is Adren Arden as in where the Aville Airport is or is that some other place and wishful thinking on my part? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like its starting to phase at hr 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Bufkit NAM 00 data gives CLT 4.3" GSP 3.5" hky 5.8" Adren (nc) 5.0" nice Mark, How bout a link to that site or check mwk for me. I sure would appreciate it Edit: Didn't see your post above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 northern s/w stronger and a little faster, southern s/w further north. that is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 They are pay maps and I can't post them...you can pay for them if you would like to see them. Makes sense. I assume 4-8" for Charlotte metro, triad, and traingle? Thanks and thanks for the PBP the last several days. Looks like we might finally bring one home. Best of luck. and Merry Christmas. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Phasing @21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.meteor.ia...en/bufkit/data/ Choose SE Yup Jason. Thanks, always wondered hwere to get bufkit data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Did it miss the phase @24? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 00z gfs is once again looking better than the previous run... shortwave staying a little further back, while the southern stream s/w merges with the flow faster... good trends folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 it's actually consolidated the northern s/w.. less strung out. that'll aid in phasing with the southern s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 on iphone at family fucntion, sorry to be imby. can I get some qpf of the latest model suites on central sc. thanks and merry christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 precip is further NW @27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 on iphone at family fucntion, sorry to be imby. can I get some qpf of the latest model suites on central sc. thanks and merry christmas 00z NAM gives KCAE 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I am in Greenville, SC for the Holidays...looks like i'm missing out on a good storm downeast. Hopefully I can make it back into town Is it pretty much a non-event out in the upstate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.meteor.ia...en/bufkit/data/ Choose SE Yup Jason. Cool. Thanks. GFS through 24 better precip totals in WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 In 6 hours from 15z to 21z tomorrow GFS has 1016mb sfc low just south of Mississippi River mouth that moves to just south of Panama City and drops to 1008mb. Very nice trend. Further west on the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BOOM @33 heavy precip breaking out in eastern NC heavy qpf is further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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