Lookout Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not like this is the final word or anything but fwiw the Final hpc forecast shows the 0.50 mark inching closer to atlanta...about from athens to macon. edit...fixed right pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 just to save some imby ... and because I'm at the folks in Georgia and they keep asking me...can someone please put up the buffkit url with spots around the southeast? I bet a lot of folks would appreciate. I know I would. thanks and hopefully a very merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like the low is slowly making it's way to the coast, appears to be moving SE right now. http://www.daculaweather.com/ridge_texas_master.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not like this is the final word or anything but fwiw the Final hpc forecast shows the 0.50 mark inching closer to atlanta...about from athens to macon. I can dream that maybe totals would creep higher this direction too.:snowman:I will be pleased with any and thanks to all for their outstanding posts this past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, it is close, but I'm still going with the consistency of the doc. to give us our due. If we can get the rates of rain to be good it will cool us down. I've seen it over and over down here...all we need to be is close to freezing and get heavy enough precip and bingo. I hope you love sleet like I do..we might see a lot of that. I've been here near 35 years since I left Atl. and I've seen some amazing sleet storms, while Atl exhalted in their snow. Usually periods of sleet, then periods of snow, then freezing rain, then rain, and back and forth. If it ends up being weak and to far up into Ga. then cold rain for us. T T, I hope we can get a little more west trend on this storm. I would love to hear of half a foot at your place even though most Atlanta posters don't give us much of a chance for accumulation. Timing and boundary temps are going to be critical 20 miles south of Atlanta it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FWIW the Northern S/W dropping down from Iowa means business. I'm currently in S. Illinois, we were looking at only an inch or so but already close to 3 and pushing 4 with a pretty strong band moving through now. I think a lot of suprises are yet to come and really hope everyone back home (the SE) gets creamed tomorrow! Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FWIW, E.T. forecasting 1-3 (for now) but did mention the model trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Might have already been asked, earlier in the thread, but is there any chance that the data errors from earlier today are still affecting this current run of the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Update from RAH: NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 500 PM... JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO FOLLOW UP ON THE 12Z AND 18Z MODEL RUNS. THE 12Z AND 18Z GFS PULLED THE COASTAL LOW TIGHTER TO THE COAST IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING AND CLOSING OFF OF THE MID AND UPPER LOW AS IT DIGS FROM KY/TN ACROSS NC SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE LATEST NAM WAS TRENDING THIS DIRECTION AS WELL. HPC HAD FELT THAT SOME DATA PROBLEM MAY HAVE LED TO INITIALIZATION ERRORS WITH THE GFS AND NAM AT 12Z BUT THE RAMIFICATIONS (IF ANY) ON THE OUTPUTS WERE NOT KNOWN. THESE ARE MAJOR CHANGES IN THE SOLUTIONS OF THESE MODELS AND IT IS FELT THAT THE BEST APPROACH FOR US WOULD BE TO CONTINUE TO PLAY THE FORECAST FAIRLY CONSERVATIVE... YET MENTION ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR MOST OF OUR REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE DAY SHIFT FORECAST 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS OUR REGION WITH LOCALLY MORE IN THE CHARLOTTE TO RALEIGH TO ROANOKE RAPIDS CORRIDOR WITH THE EVENT. IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE LESSER TOTALS SHOULD BE IN THE NW... WITH HIGHEST EAST. THIS APPEARS VERY REASONABLE AND THE DETAILS ARE IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. -BADGETT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 new map from me *with amounts* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 12Z: 18Z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 somewhat surprised ffc didnt include at least cobb, fulton, and gwinett counties in the winter weather advisory...potential is there for some folks to be caught off guard tomorrow if the positive trends continue... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 somewhat surprised ffc didnt include at least cobb, fulton, and gwinett counties in the winter weather advisory...potential is there for some folks to be caught off guard tomorrow if the positive trends continue... Yeah, I agree. What would it hurt to put all of North GA in an advisory ? At least it would prepare people JUST IN CASE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, I agree. What would it hurt to put all of North GA in an advisory ? At least it would prepare people JUST IN CASE. If it were me, I'd wait until after the 0z's. The snow talk has been out there for the best part of the week. I'd kind of want to be sure of what was going on. I hate to remind folks about the other part of the Doc's name. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, I agree. What would it hurt to put all of North GA in an advisory ? At least it would prepare people JUST IN CASE. They like waiting until the last minute on the advisories for metro ATL. Most likely when you wake up in the morning, ATL will be in an advisory... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 They like waiting until the last minute on the advisories for metro ATL. Most likely when you wake up in the morning, ATL will be in an advisory... or till when its already happening. peachtree city can be a little slow sometimes........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GFS Ensemble Mean. Big hit I-77 Eastward or so. Almost gives me 3/4" of QPF and 850s are really cold, most likely resulting in awesome ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Even Charlotte tv stations seem to be on verge of going bullish. Eric Thomas says all "heck will break lose from PInehurst to Raleigh" Saturday to Sunday. Perhaps he needs to change it to a location much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like Athens will have some moisture to work with. Shame that it will be to warm. Maybe not. We will have to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, I agree. What would it hurt to put all of North GA in an advisory ? At least it would prepare people JUST IN CASE. I suspect by 10 they will. 32 degree line that's diving down is almost at the OK border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Since the temps are trending colder is there a chance that the early precip will start as snow in the eastern carolinas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Since the temps are trending colder is there a chance that the early precip will start as snow in the eastern carolinas? Rocky Mount-Wilson is already down to 30, one of the coldest non-mountainous spots in NC and VA tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LOOKS like it's moving due east right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I suspect by 10 they will. 32 degree line that's diving down is almost at the OK border. 10pm tonight or 10am tomorrow morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Light snow reported in Paducah KY and southern MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow, what a change in the game today! Looks like Raleigh eastward could really get hit hard now. And the bad thing is the general public is not going to be paying attention to the TV on Christmas Eve and Christmas day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Per the main forum, 18z thread, the 12z euro ensembles were west of the Op. I have not seen them so I don't know how far west but that would continue the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm at a family gathering right now, how's the shortwave and northern stream lookinhg atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mencken_Fan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Since the temps are trending colder is there a chance that the early precip will start as snow in the eastern carolinas? Eastern/coastal Carolina temps are nothing to get excited about......but the dew points are sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Since the temps are trending colder is there a chance that the early precip will start as snow in the eastern carolinas? probably going to be a little WAA ahead of the low tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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