Lookout Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I actually end up with 0.50 liquid..sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 looks like some coastal temp issues but probably some backlash snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Could initialization issues/errors be with the precip and maybe (hopefully) not with strength and track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I think the QPF is too low given the setup, but nonetheless, I'll take this run! I think almost all of us would! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 A road trip to Athens may be in order tomorrow..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 If this run verifies, Eastern NC and SEVA would get thumped, over 10 inches in places... if it is all snow that is. If the 0Z models are still shwoing the West trend, I expect more widespread WSW and WWA across the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Where is lookout? If this plays out, then he will be under the inflection point. the whole time. I think 85 corridor is going to make out like a bandit from AHN to CLT with this setup. The qpf is too low but even so, we're talking a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 48 hour QPF thru 54 hours based on current GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 As long as the dynamics look good the qpf should come around. The only issue some may have is in regards to any convection along the gulf which propagates ahead of its initial lifting mechanism. I'm not sure if the GFS would show that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 ****. Now I'm back to watching an historic Southern snowstorm start about 100 mi. too far SE for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Where is lookout? If this plays out, then he will be under the inflection point. the whole time. I think 85 corridor is going to make out like a bandit from AHN to CLT with this setup. The qpf is too low but even so, we're talking a good snowstorm. He's here. Posted on last page and at the top of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Where is lookout? If this plays out, then he will be under the inflection point. the whole time. I think 85 corridor is going to make out like a bandit from AHN to CLT with this setup. The qpf is too low but even so, we're talking a good snowstorm. LOL....how did you miss all my posts? Believe me I'm here and giddy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This run goes on to drill everyone alone the east coast. A true HECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Cut off is the word Im not liking. But understand. 5H looks great!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 dont' sweat the qpf guys. This 5h evolution is really a dream. Now on the west shield in far western NC theres going to be a shutoff, same for NW GA, but all those areas get snow initially. The heavy bands should set up around Athens to CAE to GSP CLT to RDU . It starts snowing here tomorrow mornng and doesnt' end til late Sunday night. Can't beat that! As you mentioned earlier, I remember last year when we had a similar occurrence of snow continuing long after radar echos showed precip falling. I'm hoping that we fit into that window of continuing snow. If nothing else, I would assume a stronger low closer to the coast would help NW Flow snow, even into Buncombe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow after lookouts post my excitement has tripled lol. Insist I could make the maps bigger on my phone. What a turn of events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here is a chart showing snowfall/melt water table. I assume that the first range of temperatures with totals are based on a 10:1 ratio: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-mel****er.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 A road trip to Athens may be in order tomorrow..... Getting ready to announce I will be leaving this evening. It's not going over too well with the family Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Well, I see we might have a turn of events again. The GFS has a GREAT upper pattern that will snow (and snow hard) on many people....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 A road trip to Athens may be in order tomorrow..... I am fairly confident if Athens, GA gets a nice dumping that ATL would probably do ok as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 What are your thoughts for Atlanta? To me it looks to be setting up similar to last Feb in terms of precip gradient, as the low strengthens in the Atlantic areas farther E/NE get really dumped on. Depends- if this west trend continues we could get creamed, but for now my bet is for 1-3" for tomorrow mainly from the perimeter north, and eastern areas more tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I am preparing my dish of Christmas crow- Oh these wacky models! The Euro has the storm, loses it completely and now it might verify after all? I give up This profession is very frustrating at times.... I feel the SAME WAY! I don't know who you forecast for, but being a Broadcast Meteorologist and informing viewers what it's going to be like on Christmas is incredibly stressful. On a meteorological note, this is looking better and better. Though, I must say that down here in Columbus and West Central Georgia/East Central Alabama we won't see any accumulation, but more of a sleet/snow event. Though, if we time this thing PERFECTLY we could get dumped on and there goes the neighborhood! The NAM/GFS/RUC are all looking really nice right now, and it's going to be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GSP going with 8 to 10 inches here. Under a WSW. I'll take it !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 18z GFS precip across the whole country looks lessened compared to the 12z GFS. Looks much better for us here in Rockingham County. KSIF now at .47" compared to .01" yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm still worried about temps here, but as each successive model run seems to be dropping more QPF (and more QPF after temps become more favorable for snow) the chance of measurable snow is starting to look good I dare say for many of us GA folk (and it looks like the Carolinas will make bank). May I remind the mets/knowledgeable posters, there is a call map thread just waiting for someone to post! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 new map coming soon...Sorry, been busy as hell up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WTF is up with the GFS? I have not been able to get on a lot today with family obligations, but there is a huge disconnect between this model and most of the other guidance. Only model I see similar is the JMA, with the NAM and ECMWF pretty consistent on around 0.4" QPF here. Winter Storm Watch in effect, calling for 2-4", obviously MHX, as well as the HPC considerers the GFS an outlier, but isn't there a better reason than the "convective feedback" card? Merry early Christmas guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Cheez...you will never look foolish. You speak truth to weenies to help calm expectations. But when you went off over the 0z Euro the other night it was scary..though it was then I knew then this thing had a chance to be big. T T, I hope we can get a little more west trend on this storm. I would love to hear of half a foot at your place even though most Atlanta posters don't give us much of a chance for accumulation. Timing and boundary temps are going to be critical 20 miles south of Atlanta it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Hypothetically assuming CAE gets dumped on, its gotta be some kinda record to have 2 6"+ snows in one calendar year?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm still worried about temps here, but as each successive model run seems to be dropping more QPF (and more QPF after temps become more favorable for snow) the chance of measurable snow is starting to look good I dare say for many of us GA folk (and it looks like the Carolinas will make bank). May I remind the mets/knowledgeable posters, there is a call map thread just waiting for someone to post! Yeah, me too, though it is looking more and more to me like I might get my sleet I want so bad. I'd take 75 percent sleet and a 1/4 snow every day. Get some cold air in to turn it to cement...golden. Hope the Doc concurs. Just need some heavy precip to cool things down to the ground. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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