StormchaserChuck! Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 Enjoy these warmer days, the SW US High pressure is a building-consistent entity/feature these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Middle of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 12z GFS for next weekend is quite cool... 55-60 for Friday for BWI into NE MD... near 50 for all Saturday... and near 60 on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z GFS for next weekend is quite cool... 55-60 for Friday for BWI into NE MD... near 50 for all Saturday... and near 60 on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Monday's highs 60-65... and then someone ordered the wedge sandwich for next Tuesday on the 12z GFS too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 12z EURO agrees... says upper 50s to maybe low 60s for most next Friday... 55-60 for most next Saturday as well for highs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 T-storm threat, heavy rain around May12th-13 3 ensembles have a TS at 384 T-storm threat probably extends-May12-16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 23 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z EURO agrees... says upper 50s to maybe low 60s for most next Friday... 55-60 for most next Saturday as well for highs It won't verify as cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 It starts in the Pacific... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 re: the thunderstorm threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 7 hours ago, yoda said: 12z EURO agrees... says upper 50s to maybe low 60s for most next Friday... 55-60 for most next Saturday as well for highs That’s disgusting and 15-20 degrees below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Looks like a pretty active period coming up mid week into next weekend. The cooler temps would be mostly related to that period featuring clouds and rain. Looks like 60-65 on the GEFS. Nothing unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 WB 0Z EURO….wet period on tap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 We can just never seem to get a sunny and dry May, can we?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 2, 2022 Author Share Posted May 2, 2022 Welp, there's a pretty nice warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 On 4/30/2022 at 10:44 PM, nj2va said: That’s disgusting and 15-20 degrees below normal. It's over. Summer, that is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 Impressive Omega block. Oh look, it evolves into this, another omega block with a cutoff low along the Atlantic coast. This is probably not exactly how the pattern will transpire, but a strong signal for a generally blocky regime with a cutoff low remaining off the MA/SE coast across global guidance. Pretty wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 True? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 2, 2022 Author Share Posted May 2, 2022 It was 13F a few of those mornings with snow changing to rain on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 2, 2022 Author Share Posted May 2, 2022 Research: curse of the -NAO 2022 1.08 1.68 0.77 1.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: True? If it is true, it’s pretty pathetic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 32 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: True? Don’t know for sure either way, but wouldn’t surprise me in the least if this year the anomaly is calculated relative to the 90-20 norms vs 2014 calculated against 80-10 norms. And in absolute terms, this year wasn’t as cold. But that’s just a guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 Not a good trend for anyone who want warm weather. Huge block up north which will bring cool/wet pattern in 2 weeks into Memorial Day weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted May 3, 2022 Share Posted May 3, 2022 3 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: If it is true, it’s pretty pathetic. How was 2014/2015 winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted May 3, 2022 Share Posted May 3, 2022 Can one of the smart weather people explain why the low that ruins our weekend sits off the coast and appears to reverse and bring even more rain/clouds for the rest of next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted May 3, 2022 Share Posted May 3, 2022 Can one of the smart weather people explain why the low that ruins our weekend sits off the coast and appears to reverse and bring even more rain/clouds for the rest of next week?Looks like high pressure parks off the coast for a few days- leaving the low no escape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 3, 2022 Share Posted May 3, 2022 2 hours ago, mdhokie said: Can one of the smart weather people explain why the low that ruins our weekend sits off the coast and appears to reverse and bring even more rain/clouds for the rest of next week? 1 hour ago, WeatherShak said: Looks like high pressure parks off the coast for a few days- leaving the low no escape. Also, a much stronger than normal ridge will develop behind the weekend low over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley and northeastward into southeastern Canada resulting in a NE flow over us going around the ridge than could be strong enough to retrograde the low back to the southwest. Side-note: While it's still early and SSTs are generally in the low 20sC off of the SE coast, save for the Gulf Stream with ~25C SSTs, I'd watch for signs of the low acquiring sub-tropical characteristics should the pattern play out as advertised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted May 3, 2022 Share Posted May 3, 2022 2 hours ago, WeatherShak said: Looks like high pressure parks off the coast for a few days- leaving the low no escape. Its the same setup we would wish for in winter, instead of the low sprinting off the coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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