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May 2022


bluewave
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4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Wow I wonder if we may see some global records with these extreme worldwide temperatures.  I remember reading that April was the hottest on record in southern Asia.  Do you have any global high heat record notifications, Don?  Any that are 125 or higher?

124 is the highest so far in the Northern Hemisphere.

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Morning thoughts…

Today will be partly sunny and hot. High temperatures will likely reach the lower 80s along the Connecticut shore to lower 90s in parts of New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 89°

Newark: 93°

Philadelphia: 92°

Noticeably cooler weather will return tomorrow.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 72.8°; 15-Year: 73.6°

Newark: 30-Year: 74.2°; 15-Year: 75.1°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 75.9°; 15-Year: 76.6°

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The next 8 days are averaging  71degs.(62/80) or +5.

Month to date is  61.5[-0.4].         Should be  64.1[+0.9] by the 30th.

Reached just 83 here at 5:30pm.     

EWR 95, LAG 91, NYC 90, JFK 87.

Today: 80-88, variable skies, wind w. to n., TS? between 6pm-midnight., 61 tomorrow AM.

74*(90%RH) here at 7am.       83* at Noon.      84* at 1pm.   but     81* at 1:30pm.      78* at 2pm.      73* at  3pm.     Back to 83* at 7pm.

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The hottest parts of the region yesterday were Philly, NNJ, and Queens all reaching 95°+. Models did very well showing the maximum temperatures for the whole area in NJ. Some models did better showing the 90° readings near ISP. Most struggled with the heat in Central Queens showing too much cooling sea breeze in Corona, Queens.

The wind forecast at EWR was also very hard for the models to resolve. We were discussing this with Forky earlier in the thread. Models show too much onshore flow at Newark. All the models did very well showing the 60s to low 70s for the South Shore beaches.

More struggles for the NYC high temperature. This is a result of the tree growth blocking the sensor. But the raw model guidance doesn’t know that this is the case. So the NWS and several TV outlets went for a high of 93° which verified as 90°. This is in line with some of my posts in the climate change thread. The trees can shave off around 3° from the highs from what they should be out in the open in an area like the Great Lawn. Sometimes the difference can be a little higher or a little lower. This is probably a result of the moisture content in the vegetation. 
 

Monthly Data for May 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 95
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 95


 

Fresh Kills 95
Corona 95


 

Monthly Data for May 2022 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
DE GEORGETOWN-DELAWARE COASTAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
PA PHILADELPHIA INTL AP WBAN 95
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The hottest parts of the region yesterday were Philly, NNJ, and Queens all reaching 95°+. Models did very well showing the maximum temperatures for the whole area in NJ. Some models did better showing the 90° readings near ISP. Most struggled with the heat in Central Queens showing too much cooling sea breeze in Corona, Queens.

The wind forecast at EWR was also very hard for the models to resolve. We were discussing this with Forky earlier in the thread. Models show too much onshore flow at Newark. All the models did very well showing the 60s to low 70s for the South Shore beaches.

More struggles for the NYC high temperature. This is a result of the tree growth blocking the sensor. But the raw model guidance doesn’t know that this is the case. So the NWS and several TV outlets went for a high of 93° which verified as 90°. This is in line with some of my posts in the climate change thread. The trees can shave off around 3° from the highs from what they should be out in the open in an area like the Great Lawn. Sometimes the difference can be a little higher or a little lower. This is probably a result of the moisture content in the vegetation. 
 

Monthly Data for May 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 95
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 95


 

Fresh Kills 95
Corona 95


 

Monthly Data for May 2022 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
DE GEORGETOWN-DELAWARE COASTAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
PA PHILADELPHIA INTL AP WBAN 95

The heavy rain and time of year, 3 to even 5 degrees lower in shade near trees is possible.  You would also see a higher dew reading that reality

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Another 12 hours or so of warmth before cooling down Mon (May 23) - Wed (May 25), one day warmup Thu (26) then a bit wet stormy on Fri (27) / Sat (28).  By next Sun (29) into Mon  Memorial day (30) models showing much warmer - hot potentially now.  Will see how it progresses.  More clouds today than yesterday but many on their way to 90(+).

 

 

 

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20 minutes ago, Cfa said:

My high of 92 came at 2:39, temp was rising right up until the sea breeze came. Probably could’ve touched 93-94 without it.

Models were overdone (other than the GFS maybe) as usual with how fast/cool the sea breeze would make the N Shore. I’ve found that to be the case many times since I moved to Huntington. 

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