weathermedic Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Temp 58, RH down to 16% with a DP of 12 at my station. Pretty dry considering it being at night and on a stiff NE wind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Damn..dew point is 8 at Central Park, 14% humidity. As dry as it gets here in May I'd imagine. I guess I'm wrong but wouldn't it be incredibly difficult to get that dry on a NE wind. Not as much moisture as a south wind sure but shouldn't a NE wind pick up at least some humidity off the Atlantic and Sound 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 65degs.(57/73) or +2. Reached 75(21%RH) here yesterday with the northerly wind. Month to date is 55.9[-4.4]. Should be near 60.2[-1.4] by the 18th. Today: 63-67, wind n.e. and breezy, p. sunny, low 50's tomorrow AM. 53*(32%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 61* at 11am. 63*(25%RH) at Noon. 71*(24%RH) at 3pm. 73*(23%RH) at 3:30pm. Has clouded up and the T, like the markets, has gone Downtown.......... 68*(37 %RH) at 4pm. 64*(42%RH) at 4:30pm. 60* at 8pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be mostly sunny and pleasant. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 70° Newark: 72° Philadelphia: 70° Tomorrow will be another mild day. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 70.0°; 15-Year: 70.8° Newark: 30-Year: 71.0°; 15-Year: 71.9° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 72.8°; 15-Year: 73.4° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 30 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Morning thoughts… It will be mostly sunny and pleasant. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 70° Newark: 72° Philadelphia: 70° Tomorrow will be another mild day. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 70.0°; 15-Year: 70.8° Newark: 30-Year: 71.0°; 15-Year: 71.9° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 72.8°; 15-Year: 73.4° Don an early forecast for the eclipse would be nice to see! Frame of time for totality is 11:30 PM Sunday night to 1 AM Monday. Would my location on Long Island be better for it or the one in NE PA? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2022 Author Share Posted May 10, 2022 12 hours ago, uncle W said: the summer of 2000 was the last third consecutive la nina summer...1975, 1956 and 1910 were others...not one of them were hot... It will be interesting to see how things turn out. This is one of the strongest La Niña patterns that we have seen in May. But it’s tough to use old analogs since our summers have become much hotter since 2010. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 8 hours ago, dWave said: Damn..dew point is 8 at Central Park, 14% humidity. As dry as it gets here in May I'd imagine. I guess I'm wrong but wouldn't it be incredibly difficult to get that dry on a NE wind. Not as much moisture as a south wind sure but shouldn't a NE wind pick up at least some humidity off the Atlantic and Sound Dry hair is coming from the High pressure to our north thankfully, creating these spectacular clear pristine blue skies and low humidity! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 1 minute ago, bluewave said: It will be interesting to see how things turn out. This is one of the strongest La Niña patterns that we have seen in May. But it’s tough to use old analogs since our summers have become much hotter since 2010. They're really becoming more humid, looks the heat has stabilized since 2010, it hasn't gotten any hotter than it was that year and plateaued lower than 2010 (but higher than it was in the 2000s)....some of this seems to be cyclical since the 1990s were hotter....think of all the 90 degree records we set in the 1990s (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999 were all amazingly hot). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2022 Author Share Posted May 10, 2022 26 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: They're really becoming more humid, looks the heat has stabilized since 2010, it hasn't gotten any hotter than it was that year and plateaued lower than 2010 (but higher than it was in the 2000s)....some of this seems to be cyclical since the 1990s were hotter....think of all the 90 degree records we set in the 1990s (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999 were all amazingly hot). We are getting to the point when a summer is considered cool with under 30 days reaching 90° away from the influence of the sea breeze. The 90s had numerous years with higher 90° day counts. But it also had lower count years mixed in. Very tough to get lower count years these days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 52 minutes ago, bluewave said: We are getting to the point when a summer is considered cool with under 30 days reaching 90° away from the influence of the sea breeze. The 90s had numerous years with higher 90° day counts. But it also had lower count years mixed in. Very tough to get lower count years these days. Good morning BW. Likely the same could be said about about the number of times 80 was reached in meteorological Spring/Fall and 70 in Winter. The base trend is to warmer, the atmosphere governs the extremes on the journey. Thank you for the graph, it is an example of the adage, “a picture is worth a thousand words”. Stay well, as always ….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 cool summers come with lots of cool rainy days...we probably wont see a day like July 5th 1979 when the max/min was 69/53 with Sunny skies...more like a day of 72/65 with rain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 45 minutes ago, uncle W said: cool summers come with lots of cool rainy days...we probably wont see a day like July 5th 1979 when the max/min was 69/53 with Sunny skies...more like a day of 72/65 with rain... Wow yeah I wasn't alive back then, but that just seems unthinkable to me now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 1 hour ago, uncle W said: cool summers come with lots of cool rainy days...we probably wont see a day like July 5th 1979 when the max/min was 69/53 with Sunny skies...more like a day of 72/65 with rain... Whoa..my head would explode if that happened now lol. I can't fathom it. 53 in July is very impressive. As far as my memory goes, getting to low 60s within the UHI would be considered a cool spell during peak summer. How does a day with full sunshine in July stay below 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 On July 1st 1988 during one of the hottest summers we ever had was 71/53 max/min with mostly sunny skies...days with a max below 70 usually comes with rain...July 4th 1978 had a max/min of 62/58 with rain...July 9th 1964 had a max/min of 63/61 with an inch of rain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Don't give up on the heat! A number of very hot summers in NYC have been slow to start. Some of them include 1961, 1966, 1983, 1995, 1999, and 2005. A few of these were also La Nina summers. There's some hint of much warmer weather during the May 21st-May 23rd time-frame. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 look just reply to my post if you think this is going to be a cool summer so that when it’s 96/80 at 1 AM in Newark this September i can dunk on your stupid post, weenie you, call you a nerd etc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 temps are overperforming today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 40 minutes ago, forkyfork said: temps are overperforming today still feels 10 degrees colder then actual temps due to the low humidity and breezy conditions... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: temps are overperforming today Full sun, very dry weather It's how we're still able to get into the 40s at night. No heat signal yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 70 here, was 71 earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 The 76 degrees here right now feels great with the dewpoint in the high 20s. Spectacular day ... probably a top 10 of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: still feels 10 degrees colder then actual temps due to the low humidity and breezy conditions... its 76 and sunny here, wind is calm, and its hot as balls 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 10 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Don an early forecast for the eclipse would be nice to see! Frame of time for totality is 11:30 PM Sunday night to 1 AM Monday. Would my location on Long Island be better for it or the one in NE PA? Thanks! Right now, both areas look to be partly to mostly cloudy (perhaps somewhat less cloud cover in NE PA). But things can still change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Mostly cloudy now in the city, even some radar echoes not so far off the shore. Wasn't even expecting cloudy conditions at all today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted May 10, 2022 Share Posted May 10, 2022 Pretty cool graphic depiction for wind direction at Islip. Didn’t know they analyze this like that. I believe Bluewave has done stats on wind direction for each season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 when the Sun is out all day this time of year 70's are a given...80's if it keeps up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Right now, both areas look to be partly to mostly cloudy (perhaps somewhat less cloud cover in NE PA). But things can still change. I saw a Lee Goldberg forecast for "variable cloudiness"-- the good thing is totality lasts for an hour and a half so there should be some time in there to see it. Sometimes I wish the moon was closer to us than the clouds are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 11 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Don't give up on the heat! A number of very hot summers in NYC have been slow to start. Some of them include 1961, 1966, 1983, 1995, 1999, and 2005. A few of these were also La Nina summers. There's some hint of much warmer weather during the May 21st-May 23rd time-frame. WX/PT 1993 was like this too-- there was just one 90 degree day in late May....and then it was in the 60s just before July 4th lol. And then we all remember what happened afterwards, a superheatwave of historic proportions with three days over 100 in NYC in a row and give in a row over 100 at EWR. EWR had a stunning total of 9 days of 100+ that year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny and pleasant. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 70° Newark: 73° Philadelphia: 70° Tomorrow will be another mild day but there will be a lot more cloud cover. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 70.2°; 15-Year: 71.1° Newark: 30-Year: 71.3°; 15-Year: 72.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 73.1°; 15-Year: 73.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 66degs.(58/74) or +3. Month to date is 56.5[-3.9]. Should be 60.7[-0.9] by the 19th. Reached 73 here yesterday. Today: 65-70, wind e. and breezy early, increasing cloud cover, 57 tomorrow AM. As I predicted 5 days ago (file has been archived) when the GFS replaced 70's with 90's for one run ( a total of 4 90's)---that it would not be long before it showed the first 100. Well it has happened: Pesty showers Sat. to Tues. Some of this is actually last week's stuff-come back! Potential for 80 if clouds stay away Sun./Mon.? 55*(33%RH) here at 7am. 62* at 10am. 68* at Noon. 72* at 2pm. 73* at 2:30pm then strangely enough the sun came out full and stayed out......but T went down to 64*(62%RH) at 3:30pm! 66* at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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