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May 2022


bluewave
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Clear skies today just to our NW.

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Looks like breaks of sun just to the north, would be nice to get a peek of sun this afternoon buts it's probably wishful thinking

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45 minutes ago, tek1972 said:

Looks like breaks of sun just to the north, would be nice to get a peek of sun this afternoon buts it's probably wishful thinking

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I am getting a few breaks of sun here in SW Suffolk.

 

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May 2020 NYC set a benchmark record low of 34 on the 9th...the latest 34 temp on record...Last May the max was 51 on the 30th...A benchmark record low max...it was the latest 51 degree max on record...yesterdays max/min was 50/45...not records but miserable just the same...

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2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Morning thoughts…

It will be mostly cloudy and continued cool from Philadelphia to New York City and eastward. Some drier air could work into the cities to allow for some breaks in the clouds during the afternoon. Across northwestern New Jersey and northeastern Pennsylvania, it will be a partly sunny day. High temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 56°

Newark: 58°

Philadelphia: 55°

The sun will return to the entire region tomorrow and temperatures will rise into the 60s.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 69.5°; 15-Year: 70.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 70.5°; 15-Year: 71.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 72.3°; 15-Year: 72.9°

 

47 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I am getting a few breaks of sun here in SW Suffolk.

 

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Good morning Don, BW. NOAA/NWS at CPK, recorded .01 of rain  falling in the hour ending 16:51 Saturday with an observation of light rain. Afterwords ending at 08:51 Sunday 10 of the  next 16 hours had observations of light rain with no additional volume recorded. See below. As of the 16:51 hour yesterday 1.61 inches had been recorded beginning the hour ending 07:51 Saturday morning. Could so many observation of light rain be made with no additional measure? As always ….

88ADA8F7-60B9-47E5-B9B6-138AFEDC6F6F.png

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it is so cold this morning with a gusty wind.. blustery conditions amazing for early may in the city..
This should be winter's last gasp. Looks like a more normal pattern temperature wise going forward. Maybe slightly cool along the coast, but this time of year that's still mild

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1 hour ago, ILoveWinter said:

Forecast in CPK for Wed-Sat has dropped since yesterday by several degrees. Went from upper 70s/near 80 to low 70s.
 

But even if it is in the low 70's, that's great for this time of year.  Way better than this terrible weekend.

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3 hours ago, tek1972 said:

This should be winter's last gasp. Looks like a more normal pattern temperature wise going forward. Maybe slightly cool along the coast, but this time of year that's still mild

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I sure am hoping so, I’ve yet to remove some of the heating supplies from my van and move the AC equipment in. Hoping to start getting some AC calls and not all at once.

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Temperatures finally getting back closer to normal this week into next weekend. Looks like a mix of 60s some days and 70s on the warmer days around NYC . The cutoff low stalling to our south will maintain the onshore flow. 
 

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It was nicer than I thought it would be today - sky out there tonight is pretty majestic with deep greys off to the south and east, and sunshine out to the north and west, it's creating a neat effect.  Temperatures got nice earlier - into the low 60s with light wind and some sun.  Cooler now.  

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Today was another cool day. Many locations saw temperatures remain below 60° for another day. Out West, there was more heat. San Antonio reached 100° for the second consecutive day. Prior to 2022, the earliest two consecutive days with 100° temperatures occurred during May 11-12, 1967.

The coldest weather of the month is now receding into the past. Readings will rise into the 60s tomorrow and then mainly in the 70s through the remainder of the week.

Northern New England, including Burlington, could ultimately see near record to record warm temperatures Thursday through Saturday. There, temperatures will likely top out in the lower and middle 80s.

Overall, the first 10 days of the month will probably feature a cool anomaly with temperatures averaging 3°-5° below normal with a few colder spots. The second half of the month will likely be warmer than normal and there remains some possibility of an overall warm monthly outcome.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around April 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.93°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of June.

The SOI was +23.38 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.246 today.

On May 6 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.573 (RMM). The May 5-adjusted amplitude was 1.351 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 49% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (normal).

 

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Morning thoughts…

It will be mostly sunny and noticeably milder. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 68°

Newark: 69°

Philadelphia: 68°

Tomorrow will be another mainly sunny day.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 69.7°; 15-Year: 70.5°

Newark: 30-Year: 70.7°; 15-Year: 71.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 72.6°; 15-Year: 73.2°

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The next 8 days are averaging  64degs. (53/75) or about +2.

Reached 62 here yesterday.

Today: 65-70, wind n. and breezy, m. sunny, 49 tomorrow AM.     Dry till the weekend.

48*(36%RH) here at 7am{was 46 at 5am}.      52* at 9am.       60* at Noon.       70*(24&RH) at 3pm.          72*(23%RH) at 3:30pm.        Reached 75*(21%RH) at 5:30pm.       60* at 10am.       58* at 11pm 

 

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