bluewave Posted April 28, 2022 Share Posted April 28, 2022 Looks like an omega block pattern to start May. EPS May 2-9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 28, 2022 Share Posted April 28, 2022 This pattern could definitely break towards the warmer side if blocking is weaker. However so far there's no hot weather on the horizon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 GFS more suppressed with the rains next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 This weather absolutely stinks. Not a 70 degree day in sight and it’s May. Horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 1 hour ago, psv88 said: This weather absolutely stinks. Not a 70 degree day in sight and it’s May. Horrible Average highs are still a couple degrees below 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 ah, how I miss the cool, northeast flow off the Atlantic in May... Said no one ever! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 1 hour ago, psv88 said: This weather absolutely stinks. Not a 70 degree day in sight and it’s May. Horrible I think 60s are nice, but I agree that we'd like to see some 70s soon. It's long range, but we are seeing some signs that warmer 70s will be coming in during the week of May 9th. At that point we're heading into mid May, so you would think it's likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 27 minutes ago, Fantom X said: ah, how I miss the cool, northeast flow off the Atlantic in May... Said no one ever! Nope. We have 4.5 months of decent weather here. No need to make it shorter than it already is 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Any early forecasts for the total lunar eclipse? May 15th night into May 16th ..... from 11:29 PM to 12:57 AM Just general conditions in terms of how much cloud cover there is expected to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 April ended at 52.8[-0.9] in Central Park, but at 51.0[+0.1] at JFK. YTD is -0.13. The first 8 days of May are averaging 56degs. (50/61) or -4. Check back in 31 days. Here is the "I Get Around" CFSv2: If the first 10 days are really going to be BN---we are in for a shock, say by the 19th...... Reached 67 here yesterday with 23%RH. Today: 63-67, wind variable, p. cloudy, drizzle 2AM-6AM tonight, 52 by tomorrow AM. The water vapor transport seems to stay mostly south of us next week. 51*(60%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 55* at Noon. 60* at 3pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 48 and clear here. Temp topped out at 67 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny into the afternoon before clouds increase. Some showers are likely overnight. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 67° Newark: 69° Philadelphia: 70° Cooler air will return tomorrow. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 67.6°; 15-Year: 68.2° Newark: 30-Year: 68.4°; 15-Year: 69.0° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 70.3°; 15-Year: 70.8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Looks like a good day for yard work. Mow, weedwack, edge,and use a tiller to rip up the small area dead spot and replant grass seed. Going to be a struggle, played in FD vs PD hockey game yesterday. A puck to the ribs still does not feel to well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting Cooler start to May than in recent years Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7 Missing Count 2021-05-07 86 0 2020-05-07 80 0 2019-05-07 78 0 2018-05-07 94 0 2017-05-07 76 0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Pretty strong signal that things turn warm after the 10th with blocking breaking down. It could turn coolish to hot in a hurry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 For the 4th night in a row I have hit the 30s but already up to 63 beautiful degrees and plenty of sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 At this point normal to slightly below is fine. Mid to high 60s will be a wonderful memory in 6 weeks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 74 degrees here. Certainly nice and warm today. Beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 2 hours ago, gravitylover said: At this point normal to slightly below is fine. Mid to high 60s will be a wonderful memory in 6 weeks a forgotten horror 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 i do not understand why anyone would want non stop heat from may till early september if you want it that warm move to florida.. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 Love the heat. Bring it on. Nothing better than warm summer nights outside.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 4 hours ago, gravitylover said: At this point normal to slightly below is fine. Mid to high 60s will be a wonderful memory in 6 weeks temps dont matter so much I just want a lot of sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i do not understand why anyone would want non stop heat from may till early september if you want it that warm move to florida.. there is no such thing as non stop heat at our latitude-- we just want a lot of sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 6 hours ago, bluewave said: The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting Cooler start to May than in recent years Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7 Missing Count 2021-05-07 86 0 2020-05-07 80 0 2019-05-07 78 0 2018-05-07 94 0 2017-05-07 76 0 How does this compare to May 2020 when we had snow around the 9th-10th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: there is no such thing as non stop heat at our latitude-- we just want a lot of sun what about August 1980?... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, uncle W said: what about August 1980?... the good old days-- have you noticed we dont get that anymore? 80s and especially 90s were our hottest decade now its all about high mins which isn't really "hot" it's stuffy and humid I'm not sure this stat is kept anywhere but I feel like the number of extreme heat waves (heat waves with 5 or more days in a row of 90+ has actually gotten less). We already know the 90s had the highest number of 90 degree days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: a forgotten horror 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 53 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i do not understand why anyone would want non stop heat from may till early september if you want it that warm move to florida.. trolling act...anyone that wants that kind of heat is likely sitting in AC 24/7 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 7 hours ago, bluewave said: The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting Cooler start to May than in recent years Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7 Missing Count 2021-05-07 86 0 2020-05-07 80 0 2019-05-07 78 0 2018-05-07 94 0 2017-05-07 76 0 Yeah but in general the rest of May has been lousy, and I've had to restart seedlings several years now because once anything in the nightshade family gets exposed to a cold shot, they don't really recover. We used to say plant after Mother's Day, last year I was starting new seedlings in June, because the Fall is warmer than in the past and adult plants can take a little cool weather. So I've been planting a little later. That said, we need some rain. Raised beds are dry, in ground garden spot is as dry as clay. We call NJ the garden state, but really aside from a few Cole family and lettuce crops, most of what we grow needs hot weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 47 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: there is no such thing as non stop heat at our latitude-- we just want a lot of sun You do get a lot of sun. Try living in the UK or anywhere in central/northern Europe and even parts of the Pac NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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