12Z Model runs Christmas Eve 2010

[Midlo Snow Maker]

out to 12hr

[Midlo Snow Maker]

sref came west

[Midlo Snow Maker]

snow in ric, cho, roa, lyh by 7am

[Midlo Snow Maker]

hr 30

[retusnmete8]

This NAM run is a biggie for my consensus with this storm. Little margin for error alg EC and

slight shift west last night.

[hckyplayer8]

NAM dangling a big hook disguised as a night-crawler. Leaving more Northern branch energy behind.

[forkyfork]

wow... lots more energy coming down than on 00z last night

[retusnmete8]

Initial Precip band way early Sat AM into cntral VA.. Merry Christmas.

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

Interesting.. already a pretty huge shift with the trough at 30hr from 00z and 06z

[Clinch Leatherwood]

wow... lots more energy coming down than on 00z last night

It's jaw dropping how much more intense everything is this run vs even the 6z. By 30-36 the digging energy is much further west, the gulf s/w much stronger and in a great position relative.

[Midlo Snow Maker]

wow... lots more energy coming down than on 00z last night

[Midlo Snow Maker]

hr 36

[stormtracker]

Noticeable differences with that northern stream energy....almost looks like its digging down south.south west at 30 hour

[Midlo Snow Maker]

this looks better

[mitchnick]

Noticeable differences with that northern stream energy....almost looks like its digging down south.south west at 30 hour

we're getting so late in the game

it will certainly help NE though

[Midlo Snow Maker]

2" for ric/roa/lyh?

[Midlo Snow Maker]

42 hr

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

Even compared to the GFS and Euro, the NAM is now much more negatively tilted

[mitchnick]

Even compared to the GFS and Euro, the NAM is now much more negatively tilted

we really need a 1/25/00 type trough to develop by 48 hours, or it won't be enough

[mitchnick]

look at that hole in the radar!

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

we're getting so late in the game

it will certainly help NE though

It's probably still a close miss, but we need 12z to shift a good bit to stay in the game and that idea is off to a pretty good start with the NAM.

[Midlo Snow Maker]

come along way in 3 runs 18z vs 12z stil a ways to go though

[usedtobe]

we really need a 1/25/00 type trough to develop by 48 hours, or it won't be enough

That had a close low to our south which will be hard to get. The probably bodes well for the cape and maybe boston but from dc to phl not uch more than a dusting.

[mitchnick]

as close as we all said it was, the end result for this run of the NAM does not seem to be too different except for some overrunning snows in the Southern MA on Christmas

[retusnmete8]

se VA now solidly 3-5".

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

as close as we all said it was, the end result for this run of the NAM does not seem to be too different except for some overrunning snows in the Southern MA on Christmas

It should be better up north

[mitchnick]

It should be better up north

well that's consoling

idk about that

this is through 48 hrs

[weathervswife]

Wow, nice white Christmas in central and southern va. I'll take the consolation prize.

[FPizz]

Better than previous runs. Maybe Boston can get some ok snows.

[stormtracker]

It should be better up north

yep, if I were in Boston, I'd be loving these trends. I think this is about as close as it gets for us