RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 11:16 AM, CoastalWx said: Saturday looks like the one day hot one. Expand I just find it funny when the humid humpers find a 384hr 2m temp map to support their cause but won’t post the next run when it doesn’t. MWD can go either way, we’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 11:10 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea, too stable towards kbos. Best chances are WOR, the severe capital of NewEng. Expand I'm not that far from Worcester fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 11:22 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I just find it funny when the humid humpers find a 384hr 2m temp map to support their cause but won’t post the next run when it doesn’t. MWD can go either way, we’ll see. Expand I'll be sure to set my alarm and be more proactive next time so you don't throw a tantrum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 11:32 AM, kdxken said: I'm not that far from Worcester fingers crossed Expand got to get further west... WOR = West of River in our strange world... Great Barrington ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 11:16 AM, CoastalWx said: Saturday looks like the one day hot one. Expand Smfh My wedding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/15/2022 at 10:32 PM, kdxken said: In Manchester? https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KMHT.html Expand well I don't live on the tarmac silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 6z GFS is actually hotter on Sunday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 COC men in suits everywhere taking annual brochure pics. Almost full leaf out 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 yeah ... we speculated last week that this would be an acceleration in the green-up. Back to back days of 80+ might do that in the 2nd week of May. Along this end of Rt 2, I'd say all trees are leafing now, some are 1/4 .. 1/2, ranging to the Norwalks which are nearly full. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:22 PM, Typhoon Tip said: yeah ... we speculated last week that this would be an acceleration in the green-up. Back to back days of 80+ might do that in the 2nd week of May. Along this end of Rt 2, I'd say all trees are leafing now, some are 1/4 .. 1/2, ranging to the Norwalks which are nearly full. Expand Almost there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:17 PM, Ginx snewx said: COC men in suits everywhere taking annual brochure pics. Almost full leaf out Expand Yea. Full blown coc, weather that everyone enjoys. What a week ahead. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 2:55 AM, Ginx snewx said: Eclipse is lit! Expand for you. Overcast with light RA here - knew last week we wouldn't see it. Last full lunar eclipse here came Jan. 20, 2019, during the end of that winter's biggest snowfall. We've fared quite poorly here on recent lunar eclipses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 This region of the continent doesn't typically get big heat from SW flow. Counter intuitive, perhaps, but the region gets more 'seasonal'/climate heat that way. It's kind of expected seeing the GFS/Euro trend away from the 99's, when considering the generally agreed upon standard warm sector synoptics through the tail end of the week and weekend. The big heat, those 95+ to 102's, have a different synoptic scaffolding. You end up in a scenario of light W to WNW wind at the surface, under a NW flow at 500 mb. And in betweeen.. Sonoran/SW heat release air layer has timed it's arrival ( 850 dragon belch 22.5 C) accordingly. In 2017 July, for example, we had the synoptic scaffold as such, but there was no kinetic layer delivered. We did well to cook locally, but boy did that week leave a lot on the table, despite maxing at 98 ( I think it was....). The longer term pattern looks oscillatory in nature tho. The models tend to too much amplitude beyond D7's regardless, but same here.. Warm(cool) signals, either direction, might be more like (seasonal + the unknown contribution of CC polynomial of terms)/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:53 PM, Typhoon Tip said: This region of the continent doesn't typically get big heat from SW flow. Counter intuitive, perhaps, but the region gets more 'seasonal'/climate heat that way. It's kind of expected seeing the GFS/Euro trend away from the 99's, when considering the generally agreed upon standard warm sector synoptics through the tail end of the week and weekend. The big heat, those 95+ to 102's, have a different synoptic scaffolding. You end up with a light W to WNW wind, under NW flow at 500 mb. Sonoran/SW heat release times it's arrival ( 850 dragon belch 22.5 C). In 2017 July, for example, we had the synoptic scaffold as such, but there was no kinetic layer delivered. We did well to cook locally, but boy did that week leave a lot on the table, despite maxing at 98 ( I think it was....). The longer term pattern looks oscillatory in nature tho. The models tend to too much amplitude beyond D7's regardless, but same here.. Warm(cool) signals, either direction, might be more like (seasonal + the unknown contribution of CC polynomial of terms)/ 2 Expand Couple ticks AN is the new normal, yup. Looks seasonal moving forward which is just fine to be able to enjoy the seasons, spring, which many have been waiting for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:42 PM, Ginx snewx said: Almost there Expand Doesn't look all that different than up here. Leaf-out went from <5% to well over 50% in about 5 days - quickest I've seen it. Maples are almost fully out, oaks 50%, ash still lagging as always. Yesterday's 60° RA probably didn't slow the process much. Only 0.24" thru this morning, needed 4-5 times that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:57 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Couple ticks AN is the new normal, yup. Looks seasonal moving forward which is just fine to be able to enjoy the seasons, spring, which many have been waiting for. Expand I could almost see it being like that (^ abv), + 1 or 2 ? Just not going crazy is what I mean. I mean...out of respect for the mean modal look, of -.5 PNA while also on-going around that same amount of anomaly in the +NAO. The mode tandem of those two tends to favor S/SE U.S. warm anomalies, and high pressure return flows tapping into that to some punny degree - heh - isn't an altogether terrible idea. We'll see. These zonal progressive means can also break one way or the other... I do sense that the westerlies are a bit over-active/lagging ( perhaps fitting the leitmotif over the last 20 years to do so, deeper and deeper into springs - the models won't stop until we've verified an ALB snow flurry on June 10 lol ). Anyway, eventually the ambient polar jet will likely retreat/break down into summer noodles, and I wonder if there's a big June heat wave out there after this oscillatory aspect inevitably moves into the next paradigm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 12:41 PM, MJO812 said: Smfh My wedding Expand Congrats, My cousins are also getting married next Saturday. 150 people, outdoor wedding in the Poconos. I guess I have been elected to be the official weather guy in the family. Hot and humid for sure but the cold front and line of storms could screw things up late afternoon. Lots of pressure on me, could come down to the wire and if I'm wrong I could be out casted from the family 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 Gorgeous day! 76 imby. LOL at Logan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 3:32 PM, wxeyeNH said: Congrats, My cousins are also getting married next Saturday. 150 people, outdoor wedding in the Poconos. I guess I have been elected to be the official weather guy in the family. Hot and humid for sure but the cold front and line of storms could screw things up late afternoon. Lots of pressure on me, could come down to the wire and if I'm wrong I could be out casted from the family Expand Family is overrated. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 3:32 PM, wxeyeNH said: Congrats, My cousins are also getting married next Saturday. 150 people, outdoor wedding in the Poconos. I guess I have been elected to be the official weather guy in the family. Hot and humid for sure but the cold front and line of storms could screw things up late afternoon. Lots of pressure on me, could come down to the wire and if I'm wrong I could be out casted from the family Expand Hopefully it won't be like Sunday, August 17, 1969 at a certain music festival... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 5:07 PM, MJOatleast7 said: Hopefully it won't be like Sunday, August 17, 1969 at a certain music festival... Expand I got married 6/8/69-Mickey Mantle Day. Night wedding and a deluge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 5:12 PM, weathafella said: I got married 6/8/69-Mickey Mantle Day. Night wedding and a deluge! Expand Good friends got married on July 20, 1996 in South Gardiner, Maine. Ceremony was inside the church while the reception was in a 3-pole tent on the adjacent lawn, with sprinkles and howling wind all afternoon Tent stakes were 4 feet long steel bars that the wind kept working upward, such that every 5-10 minutes we were pounding them back down. 70 miles west and 6,250 feet higher, MWN recorded a 24-hour average windspeed of 99 mph, strongest measured there in met summer, with a 154 mph gust. We'll never know how close it came to launching the tent into the nearby Kennebec. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 1:59 AM, 512high said: .45” in about 20 min or so, good light show. Expand Stein over! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 “It was over before it began...” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 6:32 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Stein over! Expand Don’t worry, it only takes 12hrs after the last drop of rain before he’s kneeling in his garden again like a lunatic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 He's all over me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 6:32 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Stein over! Expand We have had very little rain in Franklin Co the past few days. Missing us in all directions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 Man, night and day....was 85 and sunny until I hit 495..at home its was low 60s and rainy. Topped out at 74.7 60.4 and .23" in the gage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 On 5/16/2022 at 7:12 PM, weathafella said: “It was over before it began...” Expand Geeze--that's an oldie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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