Collegestudent11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Closed off over North Carolina at 51 hours That would imply a slow moving western solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So everyone is saying the NAM is looking better and then this post flies out of nowhere. Is it a miss, or is it looking better. I'm on a phone so I can't see any maps. hes a troll/weenie, dont listen to them. But the nam is looking pretty well maybe a tad bit east of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Scraper at 54 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 That would imply a slow moving western solution. That would imply a hit on this run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deano Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Watching CNN, they have all of NJ getting hammered in their snowfall forecast with up to 8 inches they said. The map looked like it had all of NJ and NYC in the 6-12 inch range with the max in about Passaic.County, NJ. Wow. The forecaster said this is based on latest model trends. Do they know something we don't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I know we always say - "it's the 18z NAM- Throw it out!" But is that applicable here? Does the NAM use the same data as the 12z GFS... Perhaps my question is ridiculous but the forecasting of this storm has been ridiculous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Surface low goes directly over the 40/70. Light QPF back to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Surface low goes directly over the 40/70. Light QPF back to NYC. So does LI do well this run?? Do you think there is any credence to this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Surface low goes directly over the 40/70. Light QPF back to NYC. That really doesn't make sense. If the sfc low is over 40/70, there should be heavier precip this far West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 ETA is west. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAEAST_18z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Probably 150 miles west/southeast of it's 12z solution at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I know we always say - "it's the 18z NAM- Throw it out!" But is that applicable here? Does the NAM use the same data as the 12z GFS... Perhaps my question is ridiculous but the forecasting of this storm has been ridiculous! It uses some 12Z data, but current satellite data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 That really doesn't make sense. If the sfc low is over 40/70, there should be heavier precip this far West. I remember the NAM has issues with the N/W extent of the precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Probably 150 miles west/southeast of it's 12z solution at least. west southeast??? thats an interesting direction lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Tucking in due north at 57 hrs. Nice hit for Central and Eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 nws just updated my forcast at the 9 am update they had 50 percent chance of snow for sunday,and 50 for sunday night at 3:25 its 40 for sunday,but 60 for sunday night.... kind of weird? on long island btw,franklin square Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 west southeast??? thats an interesting direction lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 ETA has the same exact solution. It hooks NW once it passes LI latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow, the CCB gets back to NYC at 60 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 ETA has the same exact solution. It hooks NW once it passes LI latitude. I couldn't imagine why the ETA and NAM would have a similar solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Lol I can tell you and Ray are getting drawn back in. I cant blame you guys-- it would be silly for anyone to dismiss this thing or say they know whats going to happen. The only certain thing at this point is continued uncertainty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WOW 18z NAM hour 36 12z GFS hour 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I couldn't imagine why the ETA and NAM would have a similar solution. not the same model anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Now we just need to get it to go negative sooner. What is preventing it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WOW 18z NAM hour 36 12z GFS hour 42 NAM looks even better than the GFS at 500 now no? Surface sucked this run. Upper levels looked fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 NYC .25 Central LI .5 Eastern LI .75 Montauk 1" Jersey Shore .25-.50 Still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 not the same model anymore. NAM is based on the ETA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 stop trolling....... I'm not trolling guys, the NAM isn't a hit like the GFS especially for NYC. While it's great to see a massive shift to the west, 0Z will give us the final results. Jeez lighten up, I wasn't being a weisenheimer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Big improvement on the NAM. Boston and the cape get rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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