PhineasC Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GfS,Fim, Jma vs Euro and ggem. Yeah, I'll take Euro and GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GfS,Fim, Jma vs Euro and ggem. hmmm i wonder who wins..... Let the weenie suicide continue..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 the ridge out west seem to be a bit further east also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 good step on the EURO IMO...brought it closer to the coast but not close enough....I can't even wanna imagine the suspense tonight when the 0z comes out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, I'll take Euro and GGEM. Metfan is hilarious sometimes. LOLOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 through hr 66 sub 980 about 150 miles east of cc...only precip is on cape cod and ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 it might be further east than 0z or just a shrunken down qpf field, boston barely gets anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The trough digs more than 0z but yields to a farther east solution...a bit odd if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 yea its way further east than 0z, atleast up in sne latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 frankly, after what the Euro has done the last few days, its a crap shoot with that model GFS was right all along with last week's storm so it certainly gives me pause JMA was ots with last week's storm as well and it too was right imho, I don't think we'll have an confident answer until tomorrow's 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah, I'll take Euro and GGEM. Yea, when the Euro says no snow its right much more often than not. When it says big snow and the GFS doesnt, then the EURO is usually wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 boston gets .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not sure I can trust the Euro on anything with this storm after it shifted before. We'll see if the GFS looks the same at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 so I guess its safe to say now that the gfs was wrong and def had errors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So we are in the same position we were in last sunday when predicting this storm... Right now, based upon what we're seeing- it's either going to snow or it's not... Pretty simple if you ask me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 so almost everything but the euro shifted west. oh god 0z runs tonight will either have weenies singing or weenies jumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The trough digs more than 0z but yields to a farther east solution...a bit odd if you ask me. it looks more positive tilted than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not sure I can trust the Euro on anything with this storm after it shifted before. We'll see if the GFS looks the same at 18z. Im not sure we can "trust" any model at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GfS,Fim, Jma vs Euro and ggem. You're forgetting about other models that also show a miss or brushing, like NAM and UKMET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 so almost everything but the euro shifted west. oh god 0z runs tonight will either have weenies singing or weenies jumping. Not if 18z GFS and NAM go way east. If they do, it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 the euro is known for making small run to run corrections. looks like we got exactly what we didn't want to see...a slight jog to the west leaving all of us wondering who to believe. Sounds like at the moment a comprimise between the GFS and Euro are on order. Perhaps similar too or slightly less than the JMA. All major models shifted northwest...some more than others...so it would appear their is something going on here a little deeper than initialization errors. I'll be interested to see if the euro ensemble mean shifts westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 How about I just wait until Sunday afternoon and see if it is snowing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 You're forgetting about other models that also show a miss or brushing, like NAM and UKMET. Yup. But u can add the crappy RSM to the GFS/JMA camp too. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Not if 18z GFS and NAM go way east. If they do, it's over. Right forgot about 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So basically Euro went from showing Coastal Bomb for days while everything else was OTS..now a lot more models have come west while it goes East.. Crazy stuff ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Right forgot about 18z I'll actually withold making any decisions until at least 0z lol-- that's at the 48hr mark before the event starts, and I've seen models often lock into a solution at that point. Though this one may be too complex for even that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TKFJ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The GFS could either be correct or horrendously wrong, it has its own ensemble support, but I definitely would not be putting my eggs in the GFS basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yup. But u can add the crappy RSM to the GFS/JMA camp too. Lol. didn't SREF's show big hit also ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So basically Euro went from showing Coastal Bomb for days while everything else was OTS..now a lot more models have come west while it goes East.. Crazy stuff ! Exactly- what a strange world.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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