Roger Smith Posted April 24, 2022 Share Posted April 24, 2022 For the four pirmary airport locations, DCA, IAD, BWI, RIC, predict the highest temperature to be recorded in the (extended) summer of 2022. Deadline for entries will be end of the day May 31, 2022. Edited revisions can be made to your earlier posts without notice as I will not record any forecasts until June 1st. Contest is based on lowest accumulated departure from actual, and ties are settled by the lower maximum error applied sequentially until a result is obtained. For example, two forecasters might share a total error of 5 from (2, 2, 1, 0) and (2, 1, 1, 1). The first check on tiebreaker is a "pass" (2) so then the three remaining numbers are compared and (1,1,1) beats (2,1,0). Two identical forecasts that cannot be separated will rank in order of earlier forecast submitted. Good luck, I will post some info on defending champs from previous two or three years, I know this is at least the third go for this contest, could be the fourth, will have to look back and see. Please use this order to post forecasts although I will check to make sure my tables reflect your actual order. DCA IAD BWI RIC =========================================================== Info on the first three contests: 2021 contest Rank __ FORECASTER _________ DCA _IAD _BWI _ RIC _______ Total error _________ Outcome ______________ 97 _ 100 __ 99 _ 96 _ 1 ___ tplbge (19) ______________ 98 _ 100 __ 99 _ 100 __________________________________ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 4 ____________ 5 _ 2 ___ biodhokie (17) ___________ 97 _ 100 __ 99 _ 102 ___________________________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 6 ___________ 6 _ 3 ___ GATech (23) _____________ 98 __ 98 __ 98 __ 99 ___________________________________ 1 ___ 2 ___ 1 ___ 3 ____________ 7 _ 4 ___ mattie g (4) ______________98 _ 100 __ 98 _ 101 __________________________________ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 5 _____________ 7 2020 conitest ___ Actual to date _____ 100 __ 99 __ 99 _ 101 nw baltimore wx ______ 101 __ 99 __ 98 _ 100 ____ 3 (currently tied leader) Rhino16 _______________ 99 __ 97 __ 99 _ 101 ____ 3 (currently tied leader) Wx Watcher 007 _______ 98 __ 99 __ 98 _ 101 ____ 3 (currently tied leader) (the tiebreaker was the October maximum at all four, the results of that were the same as the above and had the rules now used been in place, then the results would have been in the order shown in the table above as nwbaltimorewx entered before Rhino16 ...) 2019 contest was won by showmethesnow -- PrinceFrederickwx hosted that contest and unfortunately the contest tables are dead links now. This was the first summer max contest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted April 24, 2022 Share Posted April 24, 2022 2022 Max Temps: DCA: 88F IAD: 89F BWI: 87F RIC: 90F 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted April 24, 2022 Share Posted April 24, 2022 @Roger Smith I'm not sure what you mean by dead links, but I remember I did have to delete a bunch of images stored in my account awhile back, because I was running out of space. Anyway, I have a copy saved on my PC so I attached it. Showme didn't win in 2019 though- tplbge did. You came in last. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 26, 2022 Share Posted April 26, 2022 DCA: 101IAD: 98BWI: 99RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted April 26, 2022 Share Posted April 26, 2022 DCA 99 IAD 100 BWI 102 RIC 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted April 28, 2022 Share Posted April 28, 2022 On 4/24/2022 at 5:19 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said: @Roger Smith I'm not sure what you mean by dead links, but I remember I did have to delete a bunch of images stored in my account awhile back, because I was running out of space. Anyway, I have a copy saved on my PC so I attached it. Showme didn't win in 2019 though- tplbge did. You came in last. I'm going for the triple crown this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 DCA: 102 IAD: 100 BWI: 104 RIC: 103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 DCA: 103 IAD: 102 BWI: 101 RIC: 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 DCA: 99 IAD: 100 BWI: 101 RIC: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted May 6, 2022 Share Posted May 6, 2022 DCA: 99 IAD: 101 BWI: 100 RIC: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 7, 2022 Share Posted May 7, 2022 dca: 100 iad: 99 bwi: 100 ric: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 7, 2022 Share Posted May 7, 2022 2022 Max Temps: DCA: 99 IAD: 101 BWI: 101 RIC: 103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 7, 2022 Share Posted May 7, 2022 DCA 100 IAD 98 BAL 99 RIC 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 15, 2022 Share Posted May 15, 2022 DCA: 99IAD: 100BWI: 101RIC: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted May 15, 2022 Share Posted May 15, 2022 DCA 98 IAD 101 BAL 103 RIC 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted May 15, 2022 Share Posted May 15, 2022 DCA: 101 IAD: 100 BWI: 100 RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted May 16, 2022 Share Posted May 16, 2022 DCA: 99IAD: 100BWI: 100RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 DCA - 100 IAD - 101 BWI - 101 RIC - 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 DCA: 100 IAD: 100 BWI: 101 RIC: 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 DCA: 100 IAD: 103 BWI: 102 RIC: 102 I think I went relatively lower last year, but I think we'll really bake once or twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted May 20, 2022 Share Posted May 20, 2022 DCA-99 IAD-99 Bwi-100 Ric-101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 20, 2022 Share Posted May 20, 2022 DCA: 101 IAD: 100 BWI: 102 RIC: 104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted May 21, 2022 Share Posted May 21, 2022 DCA 98 IAD 100 BAL 99 RIC 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted May 23, 2022 Author Share Posted May 23, 2022 My entry is DCA 104 IAD 106 BWI 105 RIC 107 ... severe heat in TX already indicates potential for midsummer widespread severe heat waves. ... just hope you don't get a 500-yr return event like we got last summer (three days over 110 F here and this is no desert) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleVillageWx Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 DCA 98 IAD 97 BWI 99 RIC 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 On 4/24/2022 at 4:28 PM, George BM said: 2022 Max Temps: DCA: 88F IAD: 89F BWI: 87F RIC: 90F Aaaaaaand we're back! DCA: 108F IAD: 109F BWI: 110F RIC: 110F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 DCA: 102 IAD: 100 BWI: 101 RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 DCA: 101 IAD: 99 BWI: 100 RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 DCA: 99 IAD: 99 BWI: 100 RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 DCA: 101 IAD: 99 BWI: 101 RIC: 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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