weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 While there remains some uncertainty, there has been a strengthening consensus that a warm front boundary will penetrate at least Connecticut and the western half of Massachusetts Thursday with anomalously warm low-level airmass within the warm sector. Given the likelihood for partly sunny skies within the warm sector, this should yield temperatures climbing into the 70's to even near 80 away from coastal influences. While moisture will be lacking (dewpoints only into the 50's) the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates (6.5 - 7 C/KM) will help contribute to modest instability (~250 J/KG of MLCAPE). Combination of modest forcing from the approaching cold front and instability should aid in the development of a broken line of showers and thunderstorms. Given low-level jet ~30 knots plus inverted-V profiles this will result in the potential for some localized strong-to-damaging wind gusts within the line with the greatest potential west of the I-84 corridor. I am shocked at the Slight risk. Thought we would only see marginal. The forcing doesn't look that impressive (with only aid from the front) and the LLJ actually weakens through the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Marginal risk down here....although I'm thinking that's really for the southwestern parts of CT (and eastern NY) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 nothing expected here, but hopefully western areas overachieve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Slight risk here we go weeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Nice storms in NW CT. Could be some hail in that nasty core Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 NASTY cell over Norfolk . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 That cell is definitely riding a boundary. Some enhanced shear along it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That cell is definitely riding a boundary. Some enhanced shear along it In Agawam going to be close here I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: In Agawam going to be close here I think tyeah should be close. which side are you on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: tyeah should be close. which side are you on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: hoping for a slight more east trajectory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Thunder!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Please strengthen so the warning can be extended!!!!!! Don’t weaken…don’t pull this weakening shit. Everywhere I fooking go storms always gotta fooking weaken. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Yawn 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Lightning increasing around that broad meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 Getting chilly with the rain but it smells so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yawn Snooze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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