CentralNJwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 6z NAM has started rolling... Here is the hr 6, lets hope! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/06/images/nam_500_006l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 hr 12.. s/w slightly slower so far http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/06/images/nam_500_012l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 my untrained eye thinks significant more digging hr 36 of 6z compared to hr 42 of 00z. Any input ? http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/06/images/nam_500_036l.gif 6z http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_500_042l.gif 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Mid atl gets nothing....SNE looks to do ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 low is much closer towards the new england coast although the storm looks to get there quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wide right again. Looks like NE cashes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Its definitely "hooked" or whatever you want to call it, its alot closer to New England, specifically northern new england......who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 NAM 925 winds. Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 NAM 925 winds. Insanity. batten down the hatches. will that will create a flow off the lakes? That Low is ripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looking better for NE also down in NC. Ahh, maybe not in NC. 00Z 06Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ELCwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Sharper/more amplified at h5 on the NAM. Only a little bit of help at the surface but enough to stay up to see if the GFS can continue to come in (i.e. west) a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here's the 48 hr 06Z compared to the 18Z. Last map is the 00Z but 6 hours ahead. 06Z 18Z 00Z (6 hours difference) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looking good for NE still. Haven't compared yet but seems to me the precip makes it a little closer into the coast for the mid atlantic. 06Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJ Amenzo Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 6Z GFS should be sending shivers down the spines of meteorologists all along the i-95 Corridor and anyone in the path of the previous European solutions. Good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Low starts scooting out just before it hits NE. Cap Cod and the coastal regions get some snow. Totally off on thinking the precip had shifted to the west. 06Z 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like the best bet for a nice storm is going to be Cape Cod. Won't take much to take them out of the game as well though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The storm on 12/31-1/1 is going to be historic...book it...not for us unfortunately but its going to be a fun system to follow nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 06z gfs was ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like the Dakotas and Minn would cash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The storm on 12/31-1/1 is going to be historic...book it...not for us unfortunately but its going to be a fun system to follow nonetheless. Do you think it could match what Minny went through when the Metrodome collapsed? Im hoping they can get a 20 incher. If they get two blizzards in the same month, it will be like back in the early 90s when they jackpotted frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 There is an east based -NAO present on the GFS prior to the event, its possible that may ultimately force the track a bit mor SE than is currently shown so it has potential if you ask me to be more of a Chicago event or Milwaukee but time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Iowa and Kansas don't do to bad either. With those winds it would be something to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 There is an east based -NAO present on the GFS prior to the event, its possible that may ultimately force the track a bit mor SE than is currently shown so it has potential if you ask me to be more of a Chicago event or Milwaukee but time will tell. Didn't the previous models runs have it running more to the east? Thought I remembered thinking a trip to Chicago for the New Year would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 After the New Years day storm it looks like the pattern goes zonal across the us. Hello La NIna. Does start to buckle at the very end though. -NOA takes a beating with the New Years storm and looks like it has trouble coming back thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Ensembles don't look much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Compared to the 00Z ensembles looks very close. 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So the question I have is.... HM and others spoke about a "pattern changer" earlier this week and I am curious if the Christmas storm, though no longer the blizzard but still potent, is the game changer or does it now appear the New Years storm might be the real deal, in terms of flipping things? My hunch is New Years..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 So the question I have is.... HM and others spoke about a "pattern changer" earlier this week and I am curious if the Christmas storm, though no longer the blizzard but still potent, is the game changer or does it now appear the New Years storm might be the real deal, in terms of flipping things? My hunch is New Years..... No expert here but the x-mas storm looks to knock the -NAO values way down changing the pattern. Think that's basically why you see the New Years day storm driving up through the upper mid west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep....fs_pcp_192l.gif This storm would probably collapse the whole Metrodome. And who ever gets snow on the East coast Monday, better enjoy it for a few days cause it's gone pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 3Z SREF's were a bit better 9Z will be out in 30 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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