Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 And here we go... Severe Thunderstorm Warning TXC155-275-042030- /O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0061.220404T1947Z-220404T2030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 247 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Foard County in northern Texas... Northwestern Knox County in northern Texas... * Until 330 PM CDT. * At 247 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 15 miles southeast of Guthrie, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. * Locations impacted include... Benjamin, Gilliland and Truscott. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3399 9986 3371 9950 3342 9999 3383 10000 3384 10004 TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 228DEG 34KT 3352 10009 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH $$ Zwink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Sun is out in N. Dallas area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 10 minutes ago, vwgrrc said: Sun is out in N. Dallas area. Really? I'm right down the street from you and ever since the brief attempt at clearing I mentioned earlier, we've been stuck under a mix of residual stratus and cirrus debris. EDIT: Or when you mean "N. Dallas," do you mean The Colony (not the neighborhood North Dallas)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Powerball said: Really? I'm right down the street from you and ever since the brief attempt at clearing I mentioned earlier, we've been stuck under a mix of residual stratus and cirrus debris. EDIT: Or when you mean "N. Dallas," do you mean The Colony (not the neighborhood North Dallas)? Yes I should clarify it's far North Dallas, Tollway/PGBT area. Now back to overcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 1 minute ago, vwgrrc said: Yes I should clarify it's far North Dallas, Tollway/PGBT area. Now back to overcast There does seem to be good clearing to the west, south and east of here. Maybe it'll get here soon, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Some sun now in Farmers Branch, but just drove from Tarrant county and was much sunnier over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 A good day for margarita's in N TX this afternoon with those lime-sized hail pieces falling... I'll be watching for potential pre-MCS supercells in east Texas later this evening. Obviously there will probably be some QLCS tornado potential too with the main line, along with potential 60-70+ mph straight line winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 The latest HRRR shows some multicell storms coming into Fort Worth by 04z (11pm central). Surface-based CAPE is a decent 1500 J/kg at this time, and possibly similar most-unstable CAPE by this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 2 hours ago, Powerball said: @canderson I don't know if your flight is still set for 6:30pm, but you might be able to make it out of there. Models have trended slower with the storms getting into DFW. It’s been bumped to 7:45 pm but fingers crossed that is still early enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 Mesoscale Discussion 0396 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022 Areas affected...Southern Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 042200Z - 050000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated supercells may continue to mature over northern Mexico and cross the Rio Grande into southern Texas over the next 1-2 hours. If/when this occurs, storms will pose a severe hail threat and possibly damaging winds. Trends will be monitored, and a watch is possible if this scenario appears likely. DISCUSSION...Latest GOES imagery and reflectivity mosaics show thunderstorms developing off the terrain of northern Mexico to the southwest of the Del Rio, TX area. Cloud top cooling has been noted in IR imagery over the past hour, suggesting that this activity is becoming increasingly robust. These storms may drift east towards the Rio Grande over the next 1-2 hours and encounter improved boundary-layer moisture with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s. A 20Z sounding from Del Rio captures this moisture well and also reveals meager mixed-layer inhibition and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE as well as an elongated, nearly straight hodograph above 1 km. This environment will likely maintain the northern Mexico convection and support eventual storm splitting (with an attendant large hail/wind risk) across parts of southern TX. The severe risk will be conditional on this convection actually moving off the terrain, but has been depicted in latest HRRR guidance, which lends credence to the scenario. Trends will be monitored and a watch may be needed if confidence in this scenario continues to increase. ..Moore/Thompson.. 04/04/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 29570125 29960102 30350046 30420007 30319955 29739933 28739931 28369953 28269991 28410037 28580054 29080085 29300106 29570125 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 I'm getting a slight barrage of Positive Lightning Strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 Some cells are percolating in the northern suburbs of DFW. Just got what was attempting to be a downpour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 I had a THUNDERBANG from a Positive strike, it really jumpscared me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 :looks at radar sitting at C20: I’m hosed, methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Tornado watch coming for DFW. Strongly worded MD too. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 FWD is using some interested graphics that I've never seen before (apologies that I don't know how to resize the images) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 Mesoscale Discussion 0398 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022 Areas affected...Central/North-Central Texas and extreme South-Central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 042325Z - 050100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Tornado watch will likely be issued by 0030-0100z for portions of Central/North-Central Texas. DISCUSSION...Moist boundary-layer surge, characterized by mid 60s surface dew points, is advancing north across central TX and will soon spread into the Metroplex. Latest satellite and radar imagery support this with scattered showers now evident just east of Waco into Ellis County. Given the approaching short wave there is increasing concern that scattered supercells will evolve within this more buoyant, and strongly sheared environment. Current thinking is the warm frontal position may not advance appreciably north from its current position and given the amount of convection observed over southern OK this seems reasonable. As LLJ strengthens into the Arklatex this evening there is increasing concern for the potential for tornadoes. Tornado watch will likely be warranted by 01z across this region. ..Darrow/Thompson.. 04/04/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 31649784 34009674 33749523 31419622 31649784 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 I've noticed that for greater DFW, the closer you live to the Red River, the more often you get the worst weather (of all types). Obviously not in every instance, but rather on average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Witness Protection Program said: I've noticed that for greater DFW, the closer you live to the Red River, the more often you get the worst weather (of all types). Obviously not in every instance, but rather on average. There's another arch down around Mansfield/Burleson, over to Midlothoan/Waxahachie and then curling NE over to Forney/Rockwall/Terrell that gets hit a lot too. Gotta love Microclimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Another Thunderbang, but it's nothing compared to the first one. (Which caused a severe jumpscare) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Tornado warning coming for Montague and Cooke Counties. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 3rd Thunderbang, shook the ENTIRE HOUSE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Flight is boarding - can’t get much closer. Y’all be safe. Love everyone in this entire regions @Powerball @Iceresistance 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2022 Author Share Posted April 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, SmokeEater said: Tornado warning coming for Montague and Cooke Counties. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk Tornado Warning TXC097-337-050045- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0028.220405T0010Z-220405T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 710 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Montague County in north central Texas... Northwestern Cooke County in north central Texas... * Until 745 PM CDT. * At 710 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near St. Jo, or 10 miles southeast of Nocona, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Montague and northwestern Cooke Counties. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3389 9718 3384 9717 3380 9723 3365 9759 3374 9769 3391 9748 3389 9745 3384 9746 3382 9743 3382 9737 3388 9733 3386 9733 3387 9731 3389 9731 3386 9726 3390 9725 3392 9723 TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 226DEG 16KT 3372 9757 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2022 Author Share Posted April 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2022 Author Share Posted April 5, 2022 Just got the most intense downpour for about 10 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2022 Author Share Posted April 5, 2022 Nearly 300 lightning strikes/minute with the storms in Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Tor warning for northern Denton and Collin counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2022 Author Share Posted April 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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