Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 1:02 AM, losetoa6 said: JMA gets it Expand Cold enough? Have seen several depictions of lows sweeping under us with an airmass that is not good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 1:09 AM, losetoa6 said: 850s look just good enough once the low is at our lat . Surface would probably need work as in early morning overnight timing . It's fun just entertaining this mid late April opportunity to see some white stuff . Expand I am punting the second third of spring in my circles. And I have noted that May is no gimmie for a frying pan either but too far out to make too much of a call there. Main driver is constant fluxes of the jet stream down over us when lows pass to our West and drag down fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Looks like there's a Slight risk for severe storms tomorrow mostly on the eastern part of PA with Marginal risk for most of the eastern half of the state. Wondering if the slight risk ends up getting extended further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 At 9:30pm it's 71 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 1:29 AM, Itstrainingtime said: At 9:30pm it's 71 degrees. Expand I did my first mow of the season this evening! Maybe I’ll need to do an April snow mow next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 1:29 AM, Itstrainingtime said: At 9:30pm it's 71 degrees. Expand AC is on. Was 76 in the house this afternoon. F that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/13/2022 at 4:38 PM, paweather said: LOVE IT! Expand This quote from the MU article makes me happy & sad at the same time… “I can't help but point out that snow-lovers would have had plenty to get excited about had this large-scale weather pattern existed in January and February.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 The 0z Euro gets snow into many parts of PA on Monday pm into Tuesday am. Post Easter snow…? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Here is more from the 0z Euro for the Monday pm into Tuesday am storm chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Here is the 0z Euro snow map through Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 The 0z Canadian is onboard with the Monday into Tuesday snow chance. This run brings more snow to @paweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Here is the 0z Canadian snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 This storm chance is now only 4 or 5 days away. Maybe we will have the chance to track a little very very late season snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 10:35 AM, losetoa6 said: Ukie on board ... Need a 30-50 mile shift fmby. Expand Looks like PAweather forgot to buy his ticket for that train? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 The results of the latest ne.wx seasonal weather forecast contest. @TimBand I did fairly well so up it goes. :-). Last year, I did not do so well so up it did not go. Ha Having TQ so low on the list shows how crazy of a winter it was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:10 AM, Bubbler86 said: The results of the latest ne.wx seasonal weather forecast contest. @TimBand I did fairly well so up it goes. :-). Last year, I did not do so well so up it did not go. Ha Having TQ so low on the list shows how crazy of a winter it was. Expand Wow, congrats on the top 5 finish. Looks like I wasn’t too far behind you. I’ll take it for it being my first one of these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:36 AM, TimB said: Wow, congrats on the top 5 finish. Looks like I wasn’t too far behind you. I’ll take it for it being my first one of these. Expand Thanks. Yea, you were basically 1-2" behind me on total forecast. Good thing Pitt was not one of the cities as you may have beaten me :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:43 AM, Bubbler86 said: Thanks. Yea, you were basically 1-2" behind me on total forecast. Good thing Pitt was not one of the cities as you may have beaten me :-). Expand If I had only been a little less generous with the 22” that I forecast for MDT. And PIT wouldn’t have helped me, I would have lowballed it and we ended up right at our normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:10 AM, Bubbler86 said: The results of the latest ne.wx seasonal weather forecast contest. @TimBand I did fairly well so up it goes. :-). Last year, I did not do so well so up it did not go. Ha Having TQ so low on the list shows how crazy of a winter it was. Expand PORN just below you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 70 at 8am. On what date would that be normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 10:21 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z Canadian is onboard with the Monday into Tuesday snow chance. This run brings more snow to @paweather Expand CMC 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:59 AM, Itstrainingtime said: 70 at 8am. On what date would that be normal? Expand Wow, it is 62 here. Still too warm though. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 72 on my truck in Sunbury right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:59 AM, Itstrainingtime said: 70 at 8am. On what date would that be normal? Expand You may have posted this in jest but it appears there is no day where a low of 70 is normal. I did a quick scan and 68 or 69 are the low's for normal at MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 11:10 AM, Bubbler86 said: The results of the latest ne.wx seasonal weather forecast contest. [mention=18177]TimB[/mention]and I did fairly well so up it goes. :-). Last year, I did not do so well so up it did not go. Ha Having TQ so low on the list shows how crazy of a winter it was. What is MPRV? How is everything scored/ranked?. Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 12:05 PM, Bubbler86 said: Wow, it is 62 here. Still too warm though. LOL Expand It feels very much like a mid June morning. Breeze is refreshing and humidity is not at mid-June levels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 12:23 PM, Bubbler86 said: You may have posted this in jest but it appears there is no day where a low of 70 is normal. I did a quick scan and 68 or 69 are the low's for normal at MDT. Expand Thank you! My post wasn't so much in jest, but when looking at my station my first thought was "is this even normal in the middle of summer?" Caveat - my low was 64, but that occurred at 5am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 12:28 PM, Jns2183 said: What is MPRV? How is everything scored/ranked? . Pro Expand The '%MPRV over PORN' metric indicates how much the forecast was an improvement over climatology.- Skillful forecasts beat climatology. Rules: http://www.newx-forecasts.com/#RULES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted April 14, 2022 Author Share Posted April 14, 2022 MU has raised Saturday's projected high to 74. 50s for a 4 day stretch Sunday - Wednesday, then back to the mid 60s to near 70 by next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/14/2022 at 1:02 PM, Itstrainingtime said: MU has raised Saturday's projected high to 74. 50s for a 4 day stretch Sunday - Wednesday, then back to the mid 60s to near 70 by next Thursday. Expand GFS has relented some and will allows 60's now :-). No more near 50 highs as the front slowed down on that depiction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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