NorthArlington101 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Let’s see what the euro does I guess, but very model that’s already run has trended toward a more wintry solution. models are just now picking up on the cad, or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 8 hours ago, mappy said: UGH 8 hours ago, nj2va said: I used to like you Yea when it’s 40 and rain/snow mix it will suck. But if it was 50 and raining would it change your reality that much? Were you going to be outside during the rain if the temp was more seasonal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea when it’s 40 and rain/snow mix it will suck. But if it was 50 and raining would it change your reality that much? Were you going to be outside during the rain if the temp was more seasonal? I like what I like and I’m not gonna defend myself for it. 75>>>55 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 hour ago, mappy said: I like what I like and I’m not gonna defend myself for it. 75>>>55 But then isn’t the bigger issue simply that there is a storm Monday? Even if we were in a warmer pattern it’s not going to be 75 in mid April during a rain storm. The cold pattern everyone is lamenting means 42 and rain instead of 52 and rain but it wasn’t going to be 75 during a rainstorm in any pattern this time of year. That’s how I choose to look at it and it makes the “cold April” patterns much more bearable. It will be in the 60s and pushing 70 again as soon as the storm is gone. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 42 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But then isn’t the bigger issue simply that there is a storm Monday? Even if we were in a warmer pattern it’s not going to be 75 in mid April during a rain storm. The cold pattern everyone is lamenting means 42 and rain instead of 52 and rain but it wasn’t going to be 75 during a rainstorm in any pattern this time of year. That’s how I choose to look at it and it makes the “cold April” patterns much more bearable. It will be in the 60s and pushing 70 again as soon as the storm is gone. Cool. You do you. Have a wonderful weekend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 The general model trends support a widespread soaking rain early next week. GFS still with a further east track/later developing low than the Euro/CMC/ICON. WPC trending wetter with qpf, but still giving significant weight to the GFS, although it has moved towards consensus. As for snow, the usual places where climo supports it in mid April would be at some risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 I like what I like and I’m not gonna defend myself for it. 75>>>55 Another issue is why does it have to be above normal for people to consider it spring? 75 is not normal for April. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 WB 21Z SREF NMB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 WB OZ NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 WB 5pm Mon NAM is pretty impressive cold for western suburbs with it 30 degrees below normal…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 28 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 5pm Mon NAM is pretty impressive cold for western suburbs with it 30 degrees below normal…. Someone go wake Ji up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 8 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Hey I'd be happy just to see a flake--that in and of itself would be hilarious for mid-April, lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 Since I have a family event on Easter, I have been tracking this for two weeks. Just glad the storm is later Monday rather than tomorrow. Still amusing to see the NAM…. If I see any flakes it will be great, but I will take the precip for my new grass and plants. WB 6Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 8 hours ago, peribonca said: Someone go wake Ji up Why he doesn't live in Western Loudoun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 We need rain so I'll allow it. I'm planting my peppers and tomatoes outside this week so there better not be a freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 WB 15Z SREF NMB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 WB 18Z GFS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 Nice little -NAO here .. we are going to carry this strong-NAO/-PNA/+EPO Pacific thing into next Winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 A few of the GFS ensembles looks close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 46 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Nice little -NAO here .. we are going to carry this strong-NAO/-PNA/+EPO Pacific thing into next Winter You promised a -PNA all winter and we had Z near continuous +PNA from Jan 1 through March. But …. -PNA all the way!!! Next 27 winters!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 53 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: A few of the GFS ensembles looks close They look to be within 500 miles or so with the 850 line, which is about all you can tell from those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 3 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You promised a -PNA all winter and we had Z near continuous +PNA from Jan 1 through March. But …. -PNA all the way!!! Next 27 winters!!! How much snow? I said the Pacific 1/3 would even out +650dm December..no alarms. 2010 did the same thing, for the Winter it was very RNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 2 hours ago, Amped said: They look to be within 500 miles or so with the 850 line, which is about all you can tell from those maps. Actually, it's snow for northern Va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 Yeah, that's a pretty good +PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 12Z WB 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 Yeah, ok … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 12Z WB GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 12Z WB GFSIf I see anything measurable I’ll buy everyone on this forum a drink when we have an in-person meet up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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