CIK62 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 50degs.(44/55) or about +1. Reached 57 here yesterday around 5pm. Today: T steady 44-46, cloudy, a few hours of rain, wind e. to s. to w. to nw. and breezy late, 38 by tomorrow AM. Still watching for a run at 80 degrees during April 12th-16th. The 5-Day Period centered on the 15th.: 44*(81%RH) here at 7am. 48* at 9am. 50* at 10am. 46* at Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Snow in the high terrain of the Poconos this morning. Looks like you need to be around 1600 ft or higher to see snow on the ground. Only a coating so far this morning around Mt. Pocono. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Say hello to summer after the 10th. Mega ridge on the Euro with widespread 80s. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Say hello to summer after the 10th. Mega ridge on the Euro with widespread 80s. I think this is going to be an 80's summer. Not hot but warm, humid and stormy. We'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will become partly to mostly cloudy with some showers and periods of light rain. Parts of northwest New Jersey and adjacent Pennsylvania and New York State could see some early snow. High temperatures will likely reach the lower and middle 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 52° Newark: 52° Philadelphia: 58° Temperatures will be near or somewhat below normal through midweek. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 56.6°; 15-Year: 57.5° Newark: 30-Year: 57.4°; 15-Year: 58.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 59.7°; 15-Year: 60.3° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 3, 2022 Author Share Posted April 3, 2022 It will be interesting to see how long the mid month more spring-like pattern can last. The week 3 EPS and GEFS try to bring back some blocking around the 20th. While there will still be a SE Ridge, it could mean occasional back doors and stalled frontal zones between the warmer days. We’ll get some hints when the new extended EPS comes out tomorrow. April 18-25 EPS April 20th GEFS 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 56 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Say hello to summer after the 10th. Mega ridge on the Euro with widespread 80s. Long range 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Rain has just changed to snow here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 My god this weather sucks. Rain all week too. 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: It will be interesting to see how long the mid month more spring-like pattern can last. The week 3 EPS and GEFS try to bring back some blocking around the 20th. While there will still be a SE Ridge, it could mean occasional back doors and stalled frontal zones between the warmer days. We’ll get some hints when the new extended EPS comes out tomorrow. Probably going to be the classic back and forth pattern. Get a tease of 70+ for a week and then be met with backdoors and rain the next. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 3 hours ago, Tatamy said: Snow in the high terrain of the Poconos this morning. Looks like you need to be around 1600 ft or higher to see snow on the ground. Only a coating so far this morning around Mt. Pocono. Thats probably what they have at my other place then. 2000 ft but south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 It’s snow here above 700’.. Above 1000’ it’s accumulating on non paved surfaces. Above 1500’ there is 2-3” on all surfaces. Just came back from MSV (1600’) and it felt like January 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 52 minutes ago, snywx said: It’s snow here above 700’.. Above 1000’ it’s accumulating on non paved surfaces. Above 1500’ there is 2-3” on all surfaces. Just came back from MSV (1600’) and it felt like January Mix of rain and snow down here at only 400’, no accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Mix of rain and snow down here at only 400’, no accumulation All rain here at an elevation of 125’. Temp. 38 rainy week coming up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 44 for a high here today, currently 42 under cloudy sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 So here in Sussex County, I did a ride up to High Point State Park (attached)... that 1/2" grass is just under 1500' 2 hrs after max accumulation and temp in the mid 30s. Snow accumulation began around 1250' up there (as of 1PM equated to 2 hours of melting). The HP Monument had 1.5" and many reports in the Poconos of 1-2", also generally above 1500 feet. R/S mix down to 700 feet here in Wantage but barely could see the snow except windshield splatter-most folks at 700 feet probably didn't notice. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Dry conditions with near normal temperatures will return on tomorrow. However, the dry conditions will be short-lived. Rain and showers will return Tuesday and could linger through at least Thursday. Overall, the week will see mainly near normal temperatures. Late in the second week of the month, there are some hints on the guidance that noticeably warmer air could try to move into the region. It is possible that New York City's Central Park has seen its last freeze of the season. Overall, April could wind up near to somewhat warmer normal overall in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.9°C for the week centered around March 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.92°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into at least mid-April. The SOI was +4.25 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.457 today. On April 1 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.686 (RMM). The March 31-adjusted amplitude was 0.772 (RMM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny with readings near or just below seasonable levels. High temperatures will likely reach the middle 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 55° Newark: 56° Philadelphia: 57° Temperatures will be near or somewhat below normal through midweek. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 57.0°; 15-Year: 57.5° Newark: 30-Year: 57.9°; 15-Year: 58.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 60.1°; 15-Year: 60.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 50degs.(44/56) or +1. Reached 50 here yesterday. Today: 51-54, wind nw. and calming down, p. sunny, 45 tomorrow AM. Still looking for 70 to 80 degrees April 12-16. Then back to Normal or less. Any 80 might hold for a while after that---as highest T to date. 40*(67%RH) here at 7am. 45* at 10am. 49* at Noon. 50* at 1pm. 53* at 2pm. 54* at 3pm. 51* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Reached 44 here yesterday, overnite of low was 37. Currently it's 39 with clear sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 Looks like a wet week coming up. There is still a bit of spread on the exact storm tracks and rainfall amounts. I wonder if the missing balloon soundings have degraded some of the model output? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Looks like a wet week coming up. There is still a bit of spread on the exact storm tracks and rainfall amounts. I wonder if the missing balloon soundings have degraded some of the model output? The gfs nam and euro seem to agree on at least .5 perhaps up to 1" for each round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: The gfs nam and euro seem to agree on at least .5 perhaps up to 1" for each round they keep jumping around with the north edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 4, 2022 Author Share Posted April 4, 2022 The latest extended EPS has only a brief relaxation of the blocking for mid month before it reloads again by the 18th. Apr 4-11 Apr 11-18 Apr 18-25 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 the fourth april in a row with -nao blocking. 2019 had a more east based block so the se ridge was able to build north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Glad this is after it would be a snow event. Next storm tomorrow night is trending to how others did this winter into a shredded suppressed mess. Hopefully it can be salvageable for places SW of here now in a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 I am so tired of these cold, cloudy, rainy, and dreary springs. Hopefully no snow this May. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 5 hours ago, jm1220 said: Glad this is after it would be a snow event. Next storm tomorrow night is trending to how others did this winter into a shredded suppressed mess. Hopefully it can be salvageable for places SW of here now in a drought. the driest models came a bit north so far on the 0z runs so maybe we can still get 1" from this system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Snow on the sides of the road started west of Middletown this morning and above 1500, all the way to Binghamton and then above about 800 up to Syracuse had fresh accumulations from yesterday. It wasn't much but made for a nice ride with greenery doing its best in the face of our stupid new spring weather pattern, the contrast between fresh white and green was nice. Tuesday night should be just wet right? I'll be driving in late, won't be leaving Buffalo until about 3 then making a beeline for home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Rain and showers will return late tomorrow and could linger through at least Thursday. Overall, the week will see mainly near normal temperatures. Late in the second week of the month, there are some hints on the guidance that noticeably warmer air could try to move into the region. It is possible that New York City's Central Park has seen its last freeze of the season. Overall, April could wind up near to somewhat warmer normal overall in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around March 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into at least mid-April. The SOI was +14.85 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.360 today. On April 2 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.496 (RMM). The April 1-adjusted amplitude was 0.667 (RMM). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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