LibertyBell Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 On 4/13/2022 at 7:59 AM, bluewave said: Looks like it’s related to the record SSTs north of Australia and around Indonesia. So a continuation of this persistent La Niña background state. Unprecedented rainfall in Australia during recent months producing the extreme flash flooding. Models are forecasting a big drop in the IOD this summer. This would enhance the La Niña and contribute to an active hurricane season for the Atlantic. It also means that we could be on track for a rare 3rd year La Niña for next winter. and Australia had record wildfires and an extreme drought just a few years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 29 minutes ago, uncle W said: hit 90 imby...87 now... 90?! wow, that was a positive bust It didn't even make it 80 at NYC and hit 80 here in Nassau County even on the south shore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Happens all the time in places like Long Beach. It finally warms up this time of year after the cold front passes and winds come from the land. So there it’s actually a warm front. Crazy, it got to 80 here near Sunrise Highway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 34 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Crazy, it got to 80 here near Sunrise Highway! Currently in the 50s at the beaches. Hit 77 at my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 1 hour ago, uncle W said: hit 90 imby...87 now... That seems unusually high. I don't see any other location hitting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That seems unusually high. I don't see any other location hitting that. It's reasonable, I expect Staten Island to be similar to Newark, where it hit 88. I don't understand how Central Park only hit 79 when 80 was reached even on Long Island. There isn't even any foliage there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Beautiful day. First day wearing short sleeves to work, makes you feel alive. Unfortunately, it looks like we're back to the usual (in recent years) Spring chill next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Beautiful day. First day wearing short sleeves to work, makes you feel alive. Unfortunately, it looks like we're back to the usual (in recent years) Spring chill next week. i feel very much alive with temps in the 50's... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 20 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i feel very much alive with temps in the 50's... The Yankees lose in that kind of weather because it's much harder to hit home runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 34 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That seems unusually high. I don't see any other location hitting that. I'm at the bottom of a hill to my west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: The Yankees lose in that kind of weather because it's much harder to hit home runs they lose in all kinds of weather... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Looking north in my back yard, looks like a nasty storm over the sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Good evening all. Ref: NOAA, CPK hit 79 for a high. Noticeably cooler as conditions deteriorate. A roll of thunder and a few heavy drops. Stay safe and dry, as always ….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Heavy rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Truck temp was 88 before a solid :15 minute downpour. Temp down to 62. Sunday-Tuesday will be a slap in the face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Down to 63 from a high of 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 8 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Some snowfall amounts from North Dakota: GLENBURN ND 30.5 3 NNW MINOT ND 30.0 NORWICH ND 28.0 3 ENE VELVA ND 28.0 LANSFORD ND 27.5 4 W RED LODGE MT 27.0 1 NW HEBRON ND 26.5 1 W DUNN CENTER ND 26.0 BURLINGTON ND 26.0 UNDERWOOD ND 24.3 3 S NYE MT 24.0 GLENBURN ND 24.0 10 NE RICHARDTON ND 24.0 10 NE SENTINEL BUTTE ND 24.0 LANSFORD ND 24.0 CARPIO ND 24.0 36" now just N of Minot. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, jm1220 said: 36" now just N of Minot. It's good to see some of the Minot area numbers starting to come in. That was where the heaviest snow was expected to fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Under partly sunny skies, temperatures soared into the upper 70s and lower 80s away from the coastline. Newark reached 88°, which tied the daily record set in 1941. Thunderstorms moved through the region during the late afternoon and early evening as a front came eastward. Following the frontal passage, tomorrow and Saturday will remain on the warm side of normal. However, a strong cold front will slice across the region on Saturday bringing showers and perhaps gusty thunderstorms. Noticeably cooler air will then pour into the region and persist through at least the middle of next week. The duration and magnitude of the upcoming cool spell could determine whether April finishes with a cool or warm anomaly. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.9°C for the week centered around April 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.92°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of May. The SOI was +21.63 today. Today was the 10th consecutive day that the SOI was +20.00 or above. The last time that happened was January 8-17, 2011 when the SOI reached +20.00 or above on 10 consecutive days. This is only the 7th time on record that the SOI has been at or above +20.00 for at least 10 consecutive days. Daily figures go back to 1991. The last time a streak of 7 or more such days occurred in April was March 28-April 5, 2011 when the SOI reached at least +20.00 on 9 consecutive days. Then, there was a brief period of much warmer than normal temperatures following the end of that stretch and a longer period of much warmer than normal temperatures starting about 2 1/2 weeks later. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.459 today. On April 12 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.750 (RMM). The April 11-adjusted amplitude was 0.712 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 45% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 53.5° (0.2° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Rained everywhere but here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Where's here ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Where's here ? Sorry, Brightwaters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Sorry, Brightwaters Didn’t miss much. Here it was a brief moderate shower amongst drops here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Didn’t miss much. Here it was a brief moderate shower amongst drops here and there. Lots of lightning offshore, but needed some liquid for the fertilizer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 From the New York Botanical Garden early this afternoon: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 54degs.(48/60) or about Normal. Only reached 73 here yesterday. Newark was 88, CPK 79, JFK 70. Today: 66-70, wind nw., m. sunny till late PM, 54 by tomorrow AM. Next T outburst near 4/25-27. 54*(48%RH) here at 7am. 60* at 11am. 62* at Noon. 60* at 12:30pm. 63* at 1:30pm. 58* at 4pm. 56* at 7pm. How the T's looked near the peak yesterday. Don't Worry Coastal Areas---we will be the envy of all in J/A. lol............ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 Continuation of the big weather swings pattern coming up. Areas that were in the 80s last few days will have another freeze by Monday morning. This is followed by a storm system that could have higher elevation wet snows and heavy rains near the coast. This coming week looks to feature the strongest -AO blocking pattern of the year so far. Late April will be a battle between the -AO block and the SE Ridge trying to flex. This will probably mean more back and forth with some cooler back door days and warmer days if the warm front can push to our north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly to mostly sunny and warm today. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 67° Newark: 69° Philadelphia: 70° The unseasonable warmth will continue into the start of the weekend. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 61.8°; 15-Year: 62.1° Newark: 30-Year: 62.5°; 15-Year: 62.9° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 64.7°; 15-Year: 65.1° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 52 here currently. Temp topped out at 73 yesterday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now