BxEngine Posted April 9, 2022 Share Posted April 9, 2022 Playing golf in a hail storm is a new one for me…that was interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted April 9, 2022 Share Posted April 9, 2022 It’s early, but there are signs that after the cooldown in Week 3 the last week of April might be warm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 9, 2022 Share Posted April 9, 2022 Tomorrow will be partly to mostly sunny and cooler. Noticeably warmer air will likely move into the region early next week. The warmth will likely continue through much of the week before cooler air returns. There could be brief interruptions of the warmth from backdoor cold fronts. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around March 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into at least mid-April. The SOI was +24.30 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.208 today. On April 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.420 (RMM). The April 6-adjusted amplitude was 0.520 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 53.9° (0.2° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Playing golf in a hail storm is a new one for me…that was interesting. I was down in Nyack today at the mall to get my irons regripped. While I wss waiting I went to the Kia dealership to look at vehicles. The pea sized hail came down fast and furious for about two minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 55degs.(47/62) or about +2. Reached 62 here yesterday. Today: 50-53, wind nw. and breezy, clearing late, 41 by tomorrow AM. The big warmup shown last week for this week---looks muted by clouds and some rain. Two 70's still possible. 850mb. T's go from -4 to +13 rather quickly---back to -4 in 10 days. 45*(57%RH) here at 7am. 48* at 1pm 51* at 5pm. 48* at 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2022 Author Share Posted April 10, 2022 The record cold at the end of March was a real outlier. Our area is pretty close to average for the first 9 days of April. Just enough SE Ridge influence to push the coldest temperatures to our west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 34 here in White Haven , PA Maybe some snow showers later this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 A lovely cool spring so far. I genuinely prefer when spring is not just an extension of our hot and humid summers, we’re to have quite enough of that in the coming months. For us spring should be light to moderate jacket weather with daytime highs that don’t make you feel like you’re in a sauna with a massive UV lamp overhead. I have no idea how humans survive in the deep inland South. I would expire within one season… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: A lovely cool spring so far. I genuinely prefer when spring is not just an extension of our hot and humid summers, we’re to have quite enough of that in the coming months. For us spring should be light to moderate jacket weather with daytime highs that don’t make you feel like you’re in a sauna with a massive UV lamp overhead. I have no idea how humans survive in the deep inland South. I would expire within one season… I prefer winter 6 months a year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 12 hours ago, bluewave said: Less high pressure over New England now for Thursday so the warm front can push further north. 12z EPS today 12z run yesterday Chris, the run from yesterday actually looks warmer than the one from today (notice the blues over our area on the more recent run.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny and cool today. High temperatures will likely reach the lower 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 52° Newark: 53° Philadelphia: 53° It will turn warmer starting tomorrow and much of the week will see above to much above normal temperatures. Back door cold fronts could briefly interrupt the warmth in some areas. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 59.6°; 15-Year: 60.0° Newark: 30-Year: 60.9°; 15-Year: 61.3° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 62.6°; 15-Year: 63.2° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 44 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 34 here in White Haven , PA Maybe some snow showers later this morning is that close to the Poconos? I wonder if it's been snowing in the mountains around Lake Harmony this weekend? For some reason parts of the south are colder than we are, with freezing temps down to Georgia? I also heard it might snow next week in Seattle. We're going down into the 30s tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2022 Author Share Posted April 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Chris, the run from yesterday actually looks warmer than the one from today (notice the blues over our area on the more recent run.) The warm front is further north now for Thursday than it was on the older runs. This means that the highs for the warmer parts of the region will reach the mid to upper 70s if the clouds and showers get in the way. But if places like NJ can get more sun, then the 850 mb temps support low 80s. So it’s a conditional forecast based on if we can clear out during peak daytime heating. New run Old run 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The warm front is further north now for Thursday than it was on the older runs. This means that the highs for the warmer parts of the region will reach the mid to upper 70s if the clouds and showers get in the way. But if places like NJ can get more sun, then the 850 mb temps support low 80s. So it’s a conditional forecast based on if we can clear out during peak daytime heating. New run Old run and that's a full on Dakota blizzard isn't it? I believe that's also going to give Seattle snow on Wednesday. When was the last time Seattle had accumulating snow in April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said: A lovely cool spring so far. I genuinely prefer when spring is not just an extension of our hot and humid summers, we’re to have quite enough of that in the coming months. For us spring should be light to moderate jacket weather with daytime highs that don’t make you feel like you’re in a sauna with a massive UV lamp overhead. I have no idea how humans survive in the deep inland South. I would expire within one season… We're still several degrees AN for March 1 - April 9. It hasn't been a cool spring at all and this coming week will further solidify that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: is that close to the Poconos? I wonder if it's been snowing in the mountains around Lake Harmony this weekend? For some reason parts of the south are colder than we are, with freezing temps down to Georgia? I also heard it might snow next week in Seattle. We're going down into the 30s tonight. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: We're still several degrees AN for March 1 - April 9. It hasn't been a cool spring at all and this coming week will further solidify that. But we're in a cool 3 week period after some warm stretches in early to mid March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: We're still several degrees AN for March 1 - April 9. It hasn't been a cool spring at all and this coming week will further solidify that. Dont care how "warm" it's been, today is !@#$% cold I have my heat up at 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2022 Author Share Posted April 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Dont care how "warm" it's been, today is !@#$% cold I have my heat up at 80 April 2002 set expectations unreasonably high with 4 days in a row reaching the 90s. 4/16 92 in 2002 88 in 2012 88 in 2003 4/17 97 in 2002 88 in 1976 83 in 1941 4/18 93 in 2002 93 in 1976 85 in 1964 4/19 92 in 1976 91 in 2002 89 in 1985 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 felt like a winters day this morning wore my coat gloves and hat.. felt refreshing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 I was driving in this before . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 33 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Dont care how "warm" it's been, today is !@#$% cold I have my heat up at 80 80? You're nuts. Also big waste of energy to keep a house at that temperature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: 80? You're nuts. Also big waste of energy to keep a house at that temperature Need it, the wind is making it cold and no sol for natural solar heating. It's snowing at my other house in the Poconos right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 36 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I was driving in this before . Yup snowing south of I-80 near Jim Thorpe now. Where is that-- is it near I-80? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: Need it, the wind is making it cold and no sol for natural solar heating. It's snowing at my other house in the Poconos right now. Sounds like you need Windows and/or insulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 43 minutes ago, bluewave said: April 2002 set expectations unreasonably high with 4 days in a row reaching the 90s. 4/16 92 in 2002 88 in 2012 88 in 2003 4/17 97 in 2002 88 in 1976 83 in 1941 4/18 93 in 2002 93 in 1976 85 in 1964 4/19 92 in 1976 91 in 2002 89 in 1985 That was amazing and low humidity too! To be fair I have certain benchmarks for the highest temperatures I expect to see each month-- it's 70s in March, 80s in April, 90s by June. I consider that we should have a four month snow season (DJFM), two months of spring weather (AM), four months of summer (JJAS), and two months of autumnal weather (ON). Ant's 6 months of winter is unreasonable, even when we get snow in November or April it's not really part of our snow season....4 months is the most we should reasonably expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: Sounds like you need Windows and/or insulation I have it but it still somehow gets in, I'm going to look at 3M window insulation kits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 Just now, LibertyBell said: I have it but it still somehow gets in, I'm going to look at 3M window insulation kits. The heat shrink stuff works good. Only downfall is if u get a torch mid winter, u can't open windows unless u take it off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: The heat shrink stuff works good. Only downfall is if u get a torch mid winter, u can't open windows unless u take it off. Some of my windows are better insulated than others so I'm thinking I'll leave it off those windows and just use the kits on the windows that need it, like the one in my bathroom and bedroom where my door actually slams when the wind blows =\ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 just had what looked like wet flakes falling for a brief time...only in the spring can you see snow reach the ground with temperatures in the upper 40's... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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