bluewave Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Looks like a cooler start to the month with lingering blocking followed by an eventual warm up as the SE Ridge returns. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Been dry as of late. Haven't see a big gullywasher in the last month or so (except parts of LI/NJ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Been dry as of late. Haven't see a big gullywasher in the last month or so (except parts of LI/NJ) Sounds like we could get some decent rains later today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 here is a list of the coldest snowiest first ten days of April in Central Park since 1950...1950 had more cold with two inches of snow after the 10th...other years with one cold day or one light snowfall I left out...1982 has the greatest April wintry period...2003 the second greatest... 1950............................................. dates...max min precip snow depth 01........48....32......0.......0.......0 02........57....46....0.01....0.......0 03........63....48......T.......0.......0 04........76....46....0.02....0.......0 05........63....44....0.06....0.......0 06........48....31....0.13....0.......0 07........50....27.......0......0.......0 08........55....32.......0......0.......0 09........46....27....0.05....T.......0 10........57....29.......0......0.......0 1954............................................. 01........47....31....0.03...0.3......T 02........55....36.......0......0.......0 03........49....24.......0......0.......0 04........43....23.......0......0.......0 05........43....33.......T......T.......0 06........64....43....0.01....0.......0 07........74....53.......T......0.......0 08........77....43....0.17....0.......0 09........56....35.......0......0.......0 10........53....39.......0......0.......0 1956.................................................... 01........52....33.......0......0.......0 02........48....37.......0......0.......0 03........50....40.......T......0.......0 04........51....43....0.01....0.......0 05........66....46.......0......0.......0 06........65....46....0.13....0.......0 07........46....37....0.75....0.......0 08........37....33....0.72...4.2.....3 09........52....34.......0......0.......1 10........57....36.......0......0.......0 1957........................................................ 01........59....39....0.02....0.......0 02........62....41....0.78....0.......0 03........50....36.......0......0.......0 04........42....33....0.85...2.5.....2 05........58....34....0.77....0.......0 06........58....44....0.25....0.......0 07........61....43.......0......0.......0 08........50....37....0.31....0.......0 09........45....34....0.15....T.......0 10........51....35.......0......0.......0 1972..................................................... 01........58....41.......0......0.......0 02........54....39....0.13....T.......0 03........48....36.......0......0.......0 04........42....38....0.31....0.......0 05........54....32.......0......0.......0 06........62....42.......0......0.......0 07........42....28....0.03....T.......T 08........43....26.......T......T.......0 09........51....29.......0......0.......0 10........54....37.......0......0.......0 1975....................................................... 01........67....40.......0......0.......0 02........54....37.......0......0.......0 03........55....33....1.02....0.......0 04........37....27.......0......0.......0 05........41....27.......0......0.......0 06........41....30.......0......0.......0 07........47....29.......0......0.......0 08........47....31.......T......T.......0 09........52....33.......0......0.......0 10........58....32.......0......0.......0 1982................................................ 01........65....46.......0......0.......0 02........58....36.......0......0.......0 03........56....43....1.86....0.......0 04........52....32.......T......T.......0 05........48....27.......0......0.......0 06........41....21....1.11...9.6.....3 07........30....21.......0......0.......9 08........43....25.......0......0.......6 09........39....34.......T......T.......3 10........53....34.......0......0.......2 1995....................................................... 01........55....37.......0......0.......0 02........49....35.......0......0.......0 03........56....34.......0......0.......0 04........68....28....0.04....0.......0 05........39....23.......0......0.......0 06........49....28.......0......0.......0 07........61....43.......0......0.......0 08........44....39....0.14....T.......0 09........68....41....0.56....0.......0 10........56....34.......T......0.......0 2003........................................................ 01........43....30....0.11....T.......0 02........57....39.......T......0.......0 03........54....40.......0......0.......0 04........44....35.......0......0.......0 05........43....35.......0......0.......0 06........47....33.......0......0.......0 07........38....30....0.56...4.0.....1 08........37....31.......0......0.......3 09........39....35....0.30....0.......1 10........52....36.......0......0.......0 2007................................................ 01........50....42....0.06....0.......0 02........56....42....0.06....0.......0 03........63....42.......0......0.......0 04........42....40....0.85....0.......0 05........44....34.......T......T.......0 06........42....31.......T......T.......0 07........43....31.......0......0.......0 08........41....30.......0......0.......0 09........49....32.......0......0.......0 10........51....33.......0......0.......0 2012.................................................. 01........41....37....0.13.....0.......0 02........42....33....0.16.....0,,,,,,,0 03........56....42....0.12.....0.......0 04........45....36........0......0.......0 05........44....28........0......0.......0 06........44....25........0......0.......0 07........62....37........0......0.......0 08........71....53........0......0.......0 09........64....37....0.02.....0.......0 10........43....29........0......0.......0 2016................................................ 01........79....61....0.02.....0.......0 02........61....49....0.16.....0.......0 03........50....34....0.09.....T.......0 04........45....29....0.47.....T.......0 05........43....26........0......0.......0 06........48....30........0......0.......0 07........58....48....0.09.....0.......0 08........50....40....0.01.....0.......0 09........43....36....0.11.....T.......0 10........50....31........0......0.......0 ......................................................... 2018.... 01...….60....43...….0......0...….0 02...….43....33....0.59...5.5......3 03...….43....39....0.26.....0...….0 04...….56....40....0.04.....0...….0 05...….45....34...….0......0...….0 06...….62....37....0.11.....0...….0 07...….49....37...….0......0...….0 08...….46....32...….0......0...….0 09...….49....32...,...T......0...….0 10...….51....38....0.01....0...…..0 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 years with days in the 20's and later in the month 90's... 1896....24...90 1915....29...92 1976....25...96 1977....25...90 near misses... 1923....12...87 1938....28...89 1974....28....89 1985....28...88 2002....30...96 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 4 hours ago, uncle W said: here is a list of the coldest snowiest first ten days of April in Central Park since 1950...1950 had more cold with two inches of snow after the 10th...other years with one cold day or one light snowfall I left out...1982 has the greatest April wintry period...2003 the second greatest... 1950............................................. dates...max min precip snow depth 01........48....32......0.......0.......0 02........57....46....0.01....0.......0 03........63....48......T.......0.......0 04........76....46....0.02....0.......0 05........63....44....0.06....0.......0 06........48....31....0.13....0.......0 07........50....27.......0......0.......0 08........55....32.......0......0.......0 09........46....27....0.05....T.......0 10........57....29.......0......0.......0 1954............................................. 01........47....31....0.03...0.3......T 02........55....36.......0......0.......0 03........49....24.......0......0.......0 04........43....23.......0......0.......0 05........43....33.......T......T.......0 06........64....43....0.01....0.......0 07........74....53.......T......0.......0 08........77....43....0.17....0.......0 09........56....35.......0......0.......0 10........53....39.......0......0.......0 1956.................................................... 01........52....33.......0......0.......0 02........48....37.......0......0.......0 03........50....40.......T......0.......0 04........51....43....0.01....0.......0 05........66....46.......0......0.......0 06........65....46....0.13....0.......0 07........46....37....0.75....0.......0 08........37....33....0.72...4.2.....3 09........52....34.......0......0.......1 10........57....36.......0......0.......0 1957........................................................ 01........59....39....0.02....0.......0 02........62....41....0.78....0.......0 03........50....36.......0......0.......0 04........42....33....0.85...2.5.....2 05........58....34....0.77....0.......0 06........58....44....0.25....0.......0 07........61....43.......0......0.......0 08........50....37....0.31....0.......0 09........45....34....0.15....T.......0 10........51....35.......0......0.......0 1972..................................................... 01........58....41.......0......0.......0 02........54....39....0.13....T.......0 03........48....36.......0......0.......0 04........42....38....0.31....0.......0 05........54....32.......0......0.......0 06........62....42.......0......0.......0 07........42....28....0.03....T.......T 08........43....26.......T......T.......0 09........51....29.......0......0.......0 10........54....37.......0......0.......0 1975....................................................... 01........67....40.......0......0.......0 02........54....37.......0......0.......0 03........55....33....1.02....0.......0 04........37....27.......0......0.......0 05........41....27.......0......0.......0 06........41....30.......0......0.......0 07........47....29.......0......0.......0 08........47....31.......T......T.......0 09........52....33.......0......0.......0 10........58....32.......0......0.......0 1982................................................ 01........65....46.......0......0.......0 02........58....36.......0......0.......0 03........56....43....1.86....0.......0 04........52....32.......T......T.......0 05........48....27.......0......0.......0 06........41....21....1.11...9.6.....3 07........30....21.......0......0.......9 08........43....25.......0......0.......6 09........39....34.......T......T.......3 10........53....34.......0......0.......2 1995....................................................... 01........55....37.......0......0.......0 02........49....35.......0......0.......0 03........56....34.......0......0.......0 04........68....28....0.04....0.......0 05........39....23.......0......0.......0 06........49....28.......0......0.......0 07........61....43.......0......0.......0 08........44....39....0.14....T.......0 09........68....41....0.56....0.......0 10........56....34.......T......0.......0 2003........................................................ 01........43....30....0.11....T.......0 02........57....39.......T......0.......0 03........54....40.......0......0.......0 04........44....35.......0......0.......0 05........43....35.......0......0.......0 06........47....33.......0......0.......0 07........38....30....0.56...4.0.....1 08........37....31.......0......0.......3 09........39....35....0.30....0.......1 10........52....36.......0......0.......0 2007................................................ 01........50....42....0.06....0.......0 02........56....42....0.06....0.......0 03........63....42.......0......0.......0 04........42....40....0.85....0.......0 05........44....34.......T......T.......0 06........42....31.......T......T.......0 07........43....31.......0......0.......0 08........41....30.......0......0.......0 09........49....32.......0......0.......0 10........51....33.......0......0.......0 2012.................................................. 01........41....37....0.13.....0.......0 02........42....33....0.16.....0,,,,,,,0 03........56....42....0.12.....0.......0 04........45....36........0......0.......0 05........44....28........0......0.......0 06........44....25........0......0.......0 07........62....37........0......0.......0 08........71....53........0......0.......0 09........64....37....0.02.....0.......0 10........43....29........0......0.......0 2016................................................ 01........79....61....0.02.....0.......0 02........61....49....0.16.....0.......0 03........50....34....0.09.....T.......0 04........45....29....0.47.....T.......0 05........43....26........0......0.......0 06........48....30........0......0.......0 07........58....48....0.09.....0.......0 08........50....40....0.01.....0.......0 09........43....36....0.11.....T.......0 10........50....31........0......0.......0 ......................................................... 2018.... 01...….60....43...….0......0...….0 02...….43....33....0.59...5.5......3 03...….43....39....0.26.....0...….0 04...….56....40....0.04.....0...….0 05...….45....34...….0......0...….0 06...….62....37....0.11.....0...….0 07...….49....37...….0......0...….0 08...….46....32...….0......0...….0 09...….49....32...,...T......0...….0 10...….51....38....0.01....0...…..0 I thought 2018 exceeded 2003 in snowfall in April? Also what date in April in 1950 did we get those 2 inches of snow? Thanks! I believe 1983 also had 1-2 inches of snow in April, on the 19th-- was that our latest measurable snowfall? Note that April 2006 had 1-2 inches of snow which was recorded as 0.1 at NYC but 1.0 at JFK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Currently 62 here as of 4PM, RH @ 72%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 Cool and rainy pattern on the EPS through March 11th with lingering blocking and a fast La Niña Pacific flow. Storm systems will be racing across the country every few days. Then a warm up with more of SE Ridge in mid-March. April 4-11 April 11-18 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 8 hours ago, bluewave said: Looks like a cooler start to the month with lingering blocking followed by an eventual warm up as the SE Ridge returns. Hopefully we can get the ridging to the east of us somewhat. That EPS look screams back door fronts when it does get mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 89 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 415 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Delaware Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 415 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are currently intensifying over central Pennsylvania will track eastward into the watch area this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds and a tornado or two may accompany the stronger cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Pittsfield MA to 30 miles south of Wilmington DE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 It's still March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I thought 2018 exceeded 2003 in snowfall in April? Also what date in April in 1950 did we get those 2 inches of snow? Thanks! I believe 1983 also had 1-2 inches of snow in April, on the 19th-- was that our latest measurable snowfall? Note that April 2006 had 1-2 inches of snow which was recorded as 0.1 at NYC but 1.0 at JFK 1950... http://bklyn.newspap...image/52910802/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/52911107 1950...city hires rain maker... http://www.nytimes.com/1999/07/06/nyregion/wallace-e-howell-84-dies-famed-rainmaker-in-drought.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 3 hours ago, jm1220 said: Hopefully we can get the ridging to the east of us somewhat. That EPS look screams back door fronts when it does get mild. What exactly was the pattern that gave us March 2012 or April 2010? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 13 hours ago, bluewave said: Cool and rainy pattern on the EPS through March 11th with lingering blocking and a fast La Niña Pacific flow. Storm systems will be racing across the country every few days. Then a warm up with more of SE Ridge in mid-March. April 4-11 April 11-18 Pretty good agreement among all ensembles now that the pattern breaks come mid-month. It may get quite warm mid-April and beyond with that SE ridge flex. I have a feeling we are in for some early season heat come May 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Morning thoughts... Clouds and light rain will slowly yield to clearing. Temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures include: New York City (Central Park): 58° Newark: 58° Philadelphia: 59° A cooler weekend lies ahead. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 55.8°; 15-Year: 56.3° Newark: 30-Year: 56.6°; 15-Year: 57.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 58.8°; 15-Year: 59.5° 30-Day Verification: New York City (Central Park): Average daily forecast: 52.9° Average temperature: 53.3° Average error: 1.9° Newark: Average daily forecast: 54.2° Average temperature: 54.3° Average error: 1.8° Philadelphia: Average daily forecast: 57.5° Average temperature: 57.1° Average error: 1.8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 March ended at 45.3[+2.5]. YTD is -0.1 at Central Park, essentially Normal. The first 8 days of April are averaging 49degs.(43/55) or about +1. Reached 63 yesterday at 10pm. Today: Falling T's from 61 at midnight to 54 at 7am to 50 at sunset to 38 by tomorrow AM, wind w. and breezy, m.cloudy till sunset. 54*(86%RH) here at 7am. 55* at Noon. 57* at 2pm. 50* at 6pm. 46* at 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, Torch said: Can’t come soon enough. Worst weather(temperature wise) this coming week. Lovely cool weather on the gfs 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, Torch said: Can’t come soon enough. Worst weather(temperature wise) this coming week. This is April weather. What you’re looking for is not early April weather haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 1, 2022 Author Share Posted April 1, 2022 The potential for some needed rainfall in early April as the southern and western parts of the area have been dry recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The potential for some needed rainfall in early April as the southern and western parts of the area have been dry recently. Better here than in the SW where things will continue to worsen for important water reserves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 1, 2022 Author Share Posted April 1, 2022 22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Better here than in the SW where things will continue to worsen for important water reserves. The megadrought continues in the West. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 41 minutes ago, bluewave said: The megadrought continues in the West. Frightening preview of things to come. some interesting wind obs last night on buoy 44025 gusting to 52 knots. I wonder what caused this wind burst. It was way out ahead of the front. 03 31 11:00 pm - 27.2 38.9 - - - - 29.51 - - 43.7 - - - - 03 31 10:50 pm - 29.1 36.9 12.1 9 6.5 S 29.51 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:40 pm - 29.1 48.6 - - - - 29.52 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:30 pm - 31.1 52.4 - - - - 29.51 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:20 pm - 29.1 44.7 - - - - 29.51 - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 1, 2022 Author Share Posted April 1, 2022 32 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Frightening preview of things to come. some interesting wind obs last night on buoy 44025 gusting to 52 knots. I wonder what caused this wind burst. It was way out ahead of the front. 03 31 11:00 pm - 27.2 38.9 - - - - 29.51 - - 43.7 - - - - 03 31 10:50 pm - 29.1 36.9 12.1 9 6.5 S 29.51 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:40 pm - 29.1 48.6 - - - - 29.52 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:30 pm - 31.1 52.4 - - - - 29.51 - - 43.9 - - - - 03 31 10:20 pm - 29.1 44.7 - - - - 29.51 - It was with the special marine warning. Enough MUCAPE above the inversion. So the stronger winds were able to mix down with the very heavy downpours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 3 hours ago, bluewave said: The potential for some needed rainfall in early April as the southern and western parts of the area have been dry recently. We’ve already seen some early hints of drought-heat feedback in the Southwest. More heat—possibly record-challenging heat—could develop there next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 we need an el nino...a strong one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 I hope next weekend is nice Going to the Poconos for my bachelor party. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 some hail with these showers rolling through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: some hail with these showers rolling through Good call on that by Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I hope next weekend is nice Going to the Poconos for my bachelor party. You wouldn’t want it to snow? Lots of elevation there, it’s a great late season snow spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Pea-sized hail in Goshen, NY 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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