Brian D Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 WSW for NE MN. Rain to snow. Couple inches for me here in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Saturday looks like a big loser. Hopefully the really crappy weekend days are limited from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: Saturday looks like a big loser. Hopefully the really crappy weekend days are limited from here on out. Well, at least there's this to look forward to on Friday: As the low broadens and shifts into the MI/OH/Lake Erie area during the day Friday expect to see a wintry mix of precipitation with continued raw and breezy conditions through the afternoon and evening. With the location of the low and the slow movement there is a possibility for convective instability to support graupel and possibly even some thunders snow...but the confidence of exact timing and location is uncertain. With abundant cloud cover GFS MUCAPE increases briefly to over 400 over NE IN/NW OH...but again a LOT can change with the model runs and have introduced a slight chance of -T for a brief period Friday afternoon/evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 7 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: GFS bouncing around as usual at this range but some runs bring some pretty big CAPE values well up into the sub mid-next week. It looks like an active pattern with warmth trying to build north out of the southern plains once the weekend trough moves out. The GFS isn't really honing in a particular system amping though, so I don't trust it. GFS almost never amps the correct wave coming out of the SW US. Op ECMWF is amped early with more warmth but less moisture return. Ensembles are still spread all over. It looks like there will be a battle between spring and winter shaping up, but its not really within range as to how it plays out. No matter where the frontal zone actually ends up, a SW flow pattern will materialize at some point, which is more exciting than what we're having now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 High of 16C / 61F for today which is 3C higher than expected, close to the 4 over I was pining for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Looking forward to the 70s Mon-Wed, and springlike humidity Wednesday. 12z Euro pretty ominous at first glance for severe Wed over a good chunk of the sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Looking forward to the 70s Mon-Wed, and springlike humidity Wednesday. 12z Euro pretty ominous at first glance for severe Wed over a good chunk of the sub. It looks like a hailer setup with dews in the 50s and steep lapse rates. It's just that the instability doesn't make it very far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 15 minutes ago, frostfern said: It looks like a hailer setup with dews in the 50s and steep lapse rates. It's just that the instability doesn't make it very far east. For MI, perhaps. For IA/IL/WI confluence... Looking for redemption after sitting out 3/5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 18 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: For MI, perhaps. For IA/IL/WI confluence... Looking for redemption after sitting out 3/5. I prefer a share-the-wealth more. Don't need tornadoes, but I'd like enough instability to actually hear some thunder. It's been a long time here. 3/5 had a lot of wind but no thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 All day rain here with more in store overnight, then mixing with flakes tomorrow. Looks like a spring heart attack storm for the north shore. NWS suggesting up to 18” of heavy wet snow possible in the higher terrain. My April 23-25 ski trip in Lutsen is looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 The warmest day of the week turned into another stuck-in-the-40s stinker. We may go the first nine days of April without hitting 50º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 gfs trying to sell better times in the mid range, so far been a p typical spring here locally recent soaking rains and wet soils should make for a great leaf out period here over the coming weeks with some early flowers already in bloom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 All night rain has turned to slushy snow imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 30 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: gfs trying to sell better times in the mid range, so far been a p typical spring here locally recent soaking rains and wet soils should make for a great leaf out period here over the coming weeks with some early flowers already in bloom i'm ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 Pseudo spring in high gear. Hopefully start to see some sustained warmth late April into Mother's Day which would be typical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 Picked up 0.49" last night/early this morning. We're definitely behind on the greening up this year. Most lawns are still brown/dormant. Only the early budding trees have swollen buds, many still have buds the size they were in January. Need some prolonged warmth to kick in to finally get things going. The 3-day string of 70s Mon-Wed should help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 6, 2022 Author Share Posted April 6, 2022 got .59" of rain with the system overnight at the house. Already up to 1.48" this month after 4.27" in March. Definitely grateful for all the rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 got .59" of rain with the system overnight at the house. Already up to 1.48" this month after 4.27" in March. Definitely grateful for all the rainGrass at my work is starting to green up in the sunshine this morning.Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 Only 0.23" here last evening, but that puts me at about an inch for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 56 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Grass at my work is starting to green up in the sunshine this morning. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk The grass is trying to green up here. It has lost its Winter Brown look but it's nowhere near the emerald green yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 4 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Picked up 0.49" last night/early this morning. We're definitely behind on the greening up this year. Most lawns are still brown/dormant. Only the early budding trees have swollen buds, many still have buds the size they were in January. Need some prolonged warmth to kick in to finally get things going. The 3-day string of 70s Mon-Wed should help. Interesting observation on the lawns. Grass has gone from brown to pretty green here in the last week or two. I wonder why there is such a difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 3-6" of slop around here with higher totals in some areas to the north of up to 12". Round 2 begins tonight as the low slowly moves eastward. Lesser amounts forecast with a general 1-3" to top it off. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 6, 2022 Author Share Posted April 6, 2022 38 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Interesting observation on the lawns. Grass has gone from brown to pretty green here in the last week or two. I wonder why there is such a difference? Antecedent drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 6, 2022 Share Posted April 6, 2022 25 minutes ago, madwx said: Antecedent drought? Precip wise, I don't think it's been that dry where cyclone is, though I got substantially more snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 14 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: gfs trying to sell better times in the mid range, so far been a p typical spring here locally recent soaking rains and wet soils should make for a great leaf out period here over the coming weeks with some early flowers already in bloom If current op runs verify it could get very warm and very windy. Haven’t seen a 980 low in April in recent years. A little scary if there’s any instability with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 Another morning with “white rain” and slushy accumulations on the grass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 Second best climo after severe weather. Hopefully, we can flip the switch back and forth next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 .62" of rain the past two days with temps in the mid 30's for the most part. Looks like the porkies are going to get buried with 15-20" of snow the next two days. Could approach a foot here as colder air works in later today into tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 21 minutes ago, weatherbo said: .62" of rain the past two days with temps in the mid 30's for the most part. Looks like the porkies are going to get buried with 15-20" of snow the next two days. Could approach a foot here as colder air works in later today into tonight. Snowing here right now. Looking for a couple inches today, and maybe a couple more tonight. Looks like the south shore of the Big Water in for a good snow. Still have old snow on the ground here in town. A testament to the snow of this past winter, and the cooler spring so far. Usually here in town, because it's so open, the snow melts off pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 March prelim data is in, showing a pretty average month for the Midwest. Colder in the northern areas, and warmer in the southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now