madwx Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 The month of April has been a mixed bag around here recently. Varying from very cold and snowy(2018) to warm and wet(2017) and mild and dry(2021). Looks like the first week of the month will be seasonal to cool but the active storm track looks to continue. Those who know more than I are thinking the active weather will continue and possibly pick up for the second half of the month, which means more severe for the SE half of the sub and rain/snow chances for the NW half. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 It appears that, at least based on long term models, April will end up on the cooler than average side. Though I'm sure with the usual ups and downs. After a cold and often wintry April 2018, an interesting thing of note is that each of the past 3 april's have had advisory level snowfalls late in the month in our sub. Apr 27/28, 2019- 3-5" of snow falls in Chicago's far NW burbs Apr 17/18, 2020- 3-6" of snow falls from Detroit to Toledo Apr 20/21, 2021- 3-6" of snow falls from Detroit to Toledo Apr 2022...hold my beer???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 5 hours ago, madwx said: The month of April has been a mixed bag around here recently. Varying from very cold and snowy(2018) to warm and wet(2017) and mild and dry(2021). Looks like the first week of the month will be seasonal to cool but the active storm track looks to continue. Those who know more than I are thinking the active weather will continue and possibly pick up for the second half of the month, which means more severe for the SE half of the sub and rain/snow chances for the NW half. Hope we in the NW sub can get into some of that severe action, too. It's always annoying when we get a significant event way earlier in the season than seems right at this latitude (Winterset day) and then get plunged back into winter with nothing else of note until late May or June. If we can get sufficient Gulf juice for an EF4 up here on March 5th, we can jolly well do it on April 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Looks like no thunder north of Dixie for the first half of April. I don't really see a snowstorm either. Just 40s and blah... maybe some 50s if we see the sun. Pretty boring... as usual for April these past few years. Can only hope for a pattern change in the latter half at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 12 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: It appears that, at least based on long term models, April will end up on the cooler than average side. Though I'm sure with the usual ups and downs. After a cold and often wintry April 2018, an interesting thing of note is that each of the past 3 april's have had advisory level snowfalls late in the month in our sub. Apr 27/28, 2019- 3-5" of snow falls in Chicago's far NW burbs Apr 17/18, 2020- 3-6" of snow falls from Detroit to Toledo Apr 20/21, 2021- 3-6" of snow falls from Detroit to Toledo Apr 2022...hold my beer???? You can add April 13-16 2018 - Minneapolis and central Minnesota 15-20” of snow, capping off the snowiest April on record with over 26” of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 43 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: You can add April 13-16 2018 - Minneapolis and central Minnesota 15-20” of snow, capping off the snowiest April on record with over 26” of snow. Wow quite a storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 It's deja vu all over again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Wow quite a storm! https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/journal/thunder-blizzard-april-13-16-2018.html full write up from the DNR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Models are showing a nice burst of snow Saturday morning, with perhaps 1-3". The latest Euro has a nearly identical system Sunday night that drops another thin band of snow in the same area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Is Beavis doing the LOT AFD's these days: "TODAY, NORTHWEST WINDS WILL EASE GIVING WAY TO A PLEASANT DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S." It's April. And yes, it may feel pleasant which is the ultimate insult. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Dropping parachutes right now, giving a quick dusting. This would be pretty cool in November through February. In April? Naso much 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 18 hours ago, madwx said: It's deja vu all over again I dont trust the GFS in 6 hours, much less 366 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 The system tomorrow looks sneaky and one capable of delivering a little surprise. The main questions are how wide the snow band will be and can it maintain itself into the afternoon given the marginal airmass and now early April sun angle trying to push the boundary layer toward rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 On 3/30/2022 at 5:39 PM, madwx said: The month of April has been a mixed bag around here recently. Varying from very cold and snowy(2018) to warm and wet(2017) and mild and dry(2021). Looks like the first week of the month will be seasonal to cool but the active storm track looks to continue. Those who know more than I are thinking the active weather will continue and possibly pick up for the second half of the month, which means more severe for the SE half of the sub and rain/snow chances for the NW half. JB is on board! Though I might take the under on April 2011. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 The snow looked quite lovely this morning…even if the calendar does read April 1st. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Even tho I'm ready for a new season, the beauty of snow never gets old. Walking in the woods today, the birds were singing, the sun felt warm. It was nice just to soak it all in knowing winter is in retreat and that days like this are numbered. I'm looking forward to spring and outdoor chores, projects, riding my dirt bike, enjoying sun and warmth, but always knowing in the back of my mind, in the UP winter is always coming! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: JB is on board! Though I might take the under on April 2011. Wait, don't you ban people for following JB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 6 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: I dont trust the GFS in 6 hours, much less 366 The general GL troughyness developing in the 6-10 period after a brief zonal pattern looks real though.... unfortunately. Wish it was just the OP GFS so I could throw it out. I'm over winter when "cold" is upper 30s and melting pellet snow. Only high elevation plains and far north still get proper big dog snows this time of year. I don't really understand season total stat nerds. Just can't get excited about stat padding. If it's no longer on the ground I just don't care anymore. Not even 6" of concrete will really excite me this time of year. Winter had it's last chance in March. It's over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: The system tomorrow looks sneaky and one capable of delivering a little surprise. The main questions are how wide the snow band will be and can it maintain itself into the afternoon given the marginal airmass and now early April sun angle trying to push the boundary layer toward rain. Diurnal timing has a huge impact this time of year. Pray the system is a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 18z HRRR The HRRR had the snow farther south earlier this morning, but it has trended north toward the other models. Cyclone and I may end up just barely south of the 1-4" snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 18z HRRR The HRRR had the snow farther south earlier this morning, but it has trended north toward the other models. Cyclone and I may end up just barely south of the 1-4" snow band. Ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 ready 2 b buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 10 hours ago, Spartman said: Looks good to me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 4 hours ago, Baum said: Wait, don't you ban people for following JB? Things are going to be changing around here. Weatherbell/JB have been negotiating the purchase of American Weather, and my sources indicate that it is just about finalized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Things are going to be changing around here. Weatherbell/JB have been negotiating the purchase of American Weather, and my sources indicate that it is just about finalized. dam. I hope he doesn't sniff me out as a guy he blocked on twitter. Of course, I was using my Alek alias over there. I had an auto reply "ready to b buried" every time he tweeted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 23 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Things are going to be changing around here. Weatherbell/JB have been negotiating the purchase of American Weather, and my sources indicate that it is just about finalized. April Fools (?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 26 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: April Fools (?) Indeed. You got me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Cold rain and 35, with the rain snow line missing about 20 miles to the north. If this weren't April it'd be kind of irritating, but it does go along with how the winter has gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Precip started as snow about thirty minutes ago. Very light so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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