CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Wonder if I am done with 32 temps. Unless somehow late month is chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 And there's the CAD showing up next week....hopefully we can sneak in a 70 burger before it hits us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 16 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Miracles can still happen. We did have a nice inland/elevated snow storm this time last season. The NE hills to ORH jackpotted. 4/16/21 that storm was sweet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 I credit the state of the art of the technology in modeling to be so petty detailed in mangling the surface PP around BD presentation from 7 days away the way all models are for next week's warm head "fake" - we'll see on the later. That's pretty good. When I was coming of Met age in the 1990's, ...no model had much of any clue about those sort of no warm or fun for you features at all. They only saw the larger synoptic ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 06z GFS might be a little less coherent with BDFs but ... again, our climate begs the caveat emptor - man... you assume any 70 to 80 ridge housing opportunity ends up not an opportunity, excluding everywhere NE of NYC( and no snow either. give that up). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder if I am done with 32 temps. Unless somehow late month is chilly. Jesus. What's the avg last freeze there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 The other aspect I am noticing is ...well two-fold. One, this has moved up in time. It's not been temporal-stable in the guidance. It was supposed to be ~ the 15th through the 20th ( the end uncertain...)... Now it's more like the 13th through the 16th - so it has also shrunk. This overall trend to me suggests the models are attempting to morph this into just a warm sector given time. It is all still 7+ days away... Two, the models are also speeding up the hemisphere a little bit. Not as much so as January, no, but as that extended range has come from D11-15 to D7 to 11 ... the flow is trying to add progressive behavior. That's probably why this has moved closer in time by a couple three days, but it tells me that we are not really ready to surge out of winter into a deep spring - I was thinking that may occur with this thing, but my confidence on that being the case is a bit rattled based on these observations. Again...it's a week+ away ... The the models will wax and wane in allowing seasonality into the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus. What's the avg last freeze there? I’m not sure, but I don’t radiate. 37 here this morning. My guess is we’ll probably sneak another after next week. My hood is definitely a local anomaly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not sure, but I don’t radiate. 37 here this morning. My guess is we’ll probably sneak another after next week. My hood is definitely a local anomaly though. The cold is basically done. Nature gave us hints with the AN Morch and early greenup /etc. Mowings are starting over the next week or two.. flowers and shrubs well ahead. Look at signals provided by Mother Nature .. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 53 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus. What's the avg last freeze there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 ^ got me looking at some of the first / last dates on the BOX climate page .. how about this for latest 33 on record: Must have been quite the airmass to radiate like that 4 days before the solstice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: And there's the CAD showing up next week....hopefully we can sneak in a 70 burger before it hits us I'll be 50 and drizzle all week up here.....maybe Kev has a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not sure, but I don’t radiate. 37 here this morning. My guess is we’ll probably sneak another after next week. My hood is definitely a local anomaly though. I hit 28.8 this AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Torch!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 18 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Miracles can still happen. We did have a nice inland/elevated snow storm this time last season. The NE hills to ORH jackpotted. 4/16/21 As noted on the loop, we were right on the rain/snow line and stayed there thru most of the storm - 1.11" LE, 1.4" SN. Blecch. (But likely more snow than we see this April.) Down to scattered patches, and here the wood frog "quacks" are heard a week or 2 before peepers. A couple upper 50s days and the frogs may sound off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 hour ago, ma blizzard said: ^ got me looking at some of the first / last dates on the BOX climate page .. how about this for latest 33 on record: Must have been quite the airmass to radiate like that 4 days before the solstice CON had 36F that day. 1926 has record low mins at ORH on 6/20 and 21 too. Also lots of top 3s right into July. Maybe an unshielded thermo that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: On lawns? well if you're a furry, in a litter box hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: CON had 36F that day. 1926 has record low mins at ORH on 6/20 and 21 too. Also lots of top 3s right into July. Maybe an unshielded thermo that year? It may be right though. The 1926 had quite a few cP days. 6/17 up here had a low of 33F and 6/20 had 31F (Franklin COOP). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It may be right though. The 1926 had quite a few cP days. 6/17 up here had a low of 33F and 6/20 had 31F (Franklin COOP). The days of yore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: The cold is basically done. Nature gave us hints with the AN Morch and early greenup /etc. Mowings are starting over the next week or two.. flowers and shrubs well ahead. Look at signals provided by Mother Nature .. Peepers are out already. Way early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: It may be right though. The 1926 had quite a few cP days. 6/17 up here had a low of 33F and 6/20 had 31F (Franklin COOP). https://www.nytimes.com/1926/06/18/archives/frost-hits-new-england-farm-and-garden-crops-blighted-by.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Well, clouds have moved in, at least we had a sunny morning. Car Thermo says 53° in Amherst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: https://www.nytimes.com/1926/06/18/archives/frost-hits-new-england-farm-and-garden-crops-blighted-by.html Trousers over thy knickers were necessitated while attending thy oxen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch!!! Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 32 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Peepers are out already. Way early Right on time for me, 3/31 was the first observed peeper this year. For 3 of the last 5 years, peepers have first sang on March 31, with 4/5/20 & 3/24/21 being the other two years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, tunafish said: Right on time for me, 3/31 was the first observed peeper this year. For 3 of the last 5 years, peepers have first sang on March 31, with 4/5/20 & 3/24/21 being the other two years. They were a week early here at most but first - second week of April is usually when I expect them in Greenfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, tunafish said: Right on time for me, 3/31 was the first observed peeper this year. For 3 of the last 5 years, peepers have first sang on March 31, with 4/5/20 & 3/24/21 being the other two years. hmm. Maybe it's on time for our area, but I usually recall mid-april or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 12z GFS back to Mehpril next week. 6z looked much better, so I guess it's still up in the air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 51 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: 12z GFS back to Mehpril next week. 6z looked much better, so I guess it's still up in the air. Would be fitting after Mehrch 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Maybe I can hit 70F in Mehy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now