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April Pattern/obs thread.


weathafella
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mm.   The AO flips dramatically positive in the GEF/American telecon - decent agreement among members considering the time of year, too. 

The NAO neutralizes over the next week, then... the mean creeps positive into the 2nd week of May.

The PNA has corrected down, now sloping negative for a total -D(index) of 2 standard deviations in 10 day? 

Despite where we've been and/or how ever impossible it is to imagine that being the case in this Stockholm prison camp known as the month of Anus in New England, that's a heat signal out there.   Yup -

But by heat signal I don't mean "heat wave" per se.  It means a paradigm shift away from achieving above normal temps in a cold pattern ( :wacko2: ) bullshit, toward one where every metric is above normal - measure and feel.   We'll have to see how persistent this signal is.. It's a mode change - but all fields involved signaling, it's a hemispheric guard change.  Nods given due to the weight of having all these fields flagging warmth ... I'd say post to the 7th at minimum but more like approaching May 10 -    could be faster with radiative forcing ...

 

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  On 4/30/2022 at 2:24 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

mm.   The AO flips dramatically positive in the GEF/American telecon - decent agreement among members considering the time of year, too. 

The NAO neutralizes over the next week, then... the mean creeps positive into the 2nd week of May.

The PNA has corrected down, now sloping negative for a total -D(index) of 2 standard deviations in 10 day? 

Despite where we've been and/or how ever impossible it is to imagine that being the case in this Stockholm prison camp known as the month of Anus in New England, that's a heat signal out there.   Yup -

But by heat signal I don't mean "heat wave" per se.  It means a paradigm shift away from achieving above normal temps in a cold pattern ( :wacko2: ) bullshit, toward one where every metric is above normal - measure and feel.   We'll have to see how persistent this signal is.. It's a mode change - but all fields involved signaling, it's a hemispheric guard change.  Nods given due to the weight of having all these fields flagging warmth ... I'd say post to the 7th at minimum but more like approaching May 10 -    could be faster with radiative forcing ...

 

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One can hope.   I’m planning to remove the ac compressor cover tomorrow.

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