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March 30th & 31st Severe Weather for Southern Plains & Dixie Alley, Very Dangerous Nighttime Outbreak ongoing in Alabama


Iceresistance
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27 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

I was thinking the same thing. Ours is obviously being buoyed by the ocean as that mirrors the ocean temp, but dews drop hard to below 50 once you reach even Charlotte. 

image.png.38955d082998982974f1c3453329edaa.png

So Cen AL is in a "dry" dewpoints slot? They're higher east & west of here. I didn't know east GA & SC were 60+ too. 

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38 minutes ago, Witness Protection Program said:

So, what, 8 simultaneous tor warns in LA right now?

That makes me wonder if our squall line/QLCS could line up tornado warnings along an even-longer stretch of the line.

Although associated with a much stronger storm system, I recall how the squall line/QLCS on October 26, 2010 had almost-continuous tornado warnings across almost the entire north-south extent of Indiana and Ohio as it crossed eastern IN and western OH.  The tornadoes that occurred that day were also embedded within the main squall line/QLCS. 

I do wonder if something similar could happen with our QLCS across Mississippi today (maybe not the entire north-south extent of the state).  10/26/2010 had a 15% hatched tornado risk too (albeit much further north); the high risk was only for wind.  I'm not saying that 10/26/2010 is an analog for today (that was a historic storm that occurred further north); I'm rather referring to the manner in which the tornadoes occurred that day.

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3 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Seems there was already some pretty significant (probable) tornado damage in Springdale, AR.

Yes both Springdale and Fayetteville. I've been looking at the damage myself. Several businesses and an elementary school was trashed. Minor damage also occurred by the NWA Mall and Razorback Movie Theater. a country club was heavily damaged along with dozens of trees and a destroyed cell tower up the road. I will post up a couple pics after awhile.

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70/60 tor probs on the new watch

 SEL8

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 78
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   145 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Southeast Louisiana
     Southern Mississippi
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM
     until 900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
       mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms currently over western Louisiana will move
   eastward through the afternoon, affecting the watch area.  Locally
   damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are possible.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Mc Comb MS
   to 45 miles south of Houma LA. For a complete depiction of the watch
   see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 24035.

   ...Hart
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A well embedded EF1 was confirmed in Rockwall County from early this morning:

57 
NOUS44 KFWD 302026
PNSFWD
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-302130-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
326 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 03/30/22 WEATHER EVENT...

.OVERVIEW... A BRIEF TORNADO EMBEDDED WITHIN A LINE OF STORMS 
IMPACTED THE BLUEBONNET RANCH NEIGHBORHOOD IN THE MCLENDON-
CHISHOLM AREA OF ROCKWALL COUNTY. OTHER DAMAGE IN THE AREA WAS 
DETERMINED TO BE CAUSED BY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

.MCLENDON-CHISHOLM...

RATING:                 EF1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND:    100 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/:  0.492 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/:   50.0 YARDS
FATALITIES:             0
INJURIES:               0

START DATE:             03/30/2022
START TIME:             04:34 AM CDT
START LOCATION:         2 ESE MCLENDON-CHISHOLM / ROCKWALL COUNTY
/ TX
START LAT/LON:          32.834 / -96.3474

END DATE:               03/30/2022
END TIME:               04:36 AM CDT
END LOCATION:           3 E MCLENDON-CHISHOLM / ROCKWALL COUNTY /
TX
END LAT/LON:            32.84 / -96.3427

SURVEY SUMMARY:
A BRIEF TORNADO, LIKELY EMBEDDED WITHIN STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
IMPACTED A FEW HOMES ON CANDICE CIRCLE TO THE EAST OF MCLENDON-
CHISHOLM. THE TORNADO BEGAN NEAR BLUEBONNET DR WHERE A FEW TREES
WERE DAMAGED. ON CANDICE CIRCLE, THE  PORTE-COCHERE OF ONE HOME
COLLAPSED, AND THE ATTACHED ROOF BROKE OFF THE GARAGE. POLES WERE
ALSO BENT AROUND A BASKETBALL COURT. NEXT DOOR, THE TORNADO
CAUSED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO THE TOP FLOOR ATTIC OF THE HOUSE,
MOVED SEVERAL TRAILERS, AND DESTROYED A SHED. THE TORNADO
CONTINUED A SHORT DISTANCE DOWN THE ROAD AND LIKELY LIFTED IN THE
FIELD NORTHEAST OF THE HOMES.

&&

 

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Big tornado outbreak and once again people can log into their local NWS pages.

I might buy the inevitable "Russia musta hacked us!" excuse if it hadn't been happening off and on for many months.  And even if it actually is, agencies have been instructed for several years now to upgrade their cyberdefenses.  "What would you say you do here?"

National Weather Service
NOAA LOGO
Wed Mar 30 2022 15:51:45 GMT-0500 (Central Daylight Time)

The page you requested cannot be found. Please check your URL and try again.

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70/50 tor probs

SEL0

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 80
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   530 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Northern and Central Alabama
     Middle Tennessee

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning from
     530 PM until 100 AM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant
       gusts to 80 mph possible

   SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of storms will continue quickly
   east-northeastward this evening into Middle TN and northern/central
   Alabama. Very strong low-level/deep-layer winds will support the
   potential for tornadoes and widespread damaging winds as additional
   moistening occurs into the region.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Nashville
   TN to 25 miles west southwest of Selma AL. For a complete depiction
   of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU0).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...WW 78...WW
   79...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
   storm motion vector 23045.

   ...Guyer
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There was a lot of extensive damage around the Nilfisk Plant & Warehouse with debris lofted and deposited across much of the Springdale Municipal Airport across the road. There was also some impressive scenes with many trees and fence posts twisted and ripped clean out of the ground. The Malco Razorback Theater below the mall also sustained damage along with a large cell tower that was destroyed.

277721827_10159826680817232_3343669711258353785_n.jpg

277706315_10159826682192232_4957870670040835223_n.jpg

277679978_10159826685782232_1931476169522662259_n.jpg

277706490_10159826685022232_3402984589441103128_n.jpg

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24 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said:

There was a lot of extensive damage around the Nilfisk Plant & Warehouse with debris lofted and deposited across much of the Springdale Municipal Airport across the road. There was also some impressive scenes with many trees and fence posts twisted and ripped clean out of the ground. The Malco Razorback Theater below the mall also sustained damage along with a large cell tower that was destroyed.

277721827_10159826680817232_3343669711258353785_n.jpg

277706315_10159826682192232_4957870670040835223_n.jpg

277679978_10159826685782232_1931476169522662259_n.jpg

277706490_10159826685022232_3402984589441103128_n.jpg

I've been to Springdale once and met a few people there through my work. It was a cute, prosperous, bustling little town. It definitely sucks to see this.

Hopefully they'll have a smooth and speedy recovery.

 

 

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21 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Looking like it will, discrete looks unlikely at this point.

The temps definitely warmed up with the very strong southerly winds but the dewpoints never increased. Last time they at least got close to 60 but today in Bham the temp briefly got to 55 before falling back to 52. Even right now with rain nearby its only 54. But I did hear that the low moisture content could make straight line winds worse than otherwise. 

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