weatherwiz Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Consider this the spring training of severe weather season. These early spring convective setups are good training tools for when real severe season arrives. A vigorous cold pool aloft characterized by temperatures as cold as -35°C to -36°C at the core is set to traverse southern New England during peak heating hours: This feature will be associated with mid-level lapse rates potentially exceeding 8 C/KM which should help aid in upwards of several hundred J/KG of SBCAPE, despite cool surface temperatures. Wind shear will be supportive of organized updrafts. While moisture availability will not be very abundant, the combination of very steep mid-level lapse rates, adequate wind shear, and modest instability should support the development of scattered-to-numerous showers by early afternoon. Given degree of cold air aloft and potential for some mid-level rotation, grauple or small hail will be likely with the stronger updrafts. Gusty winds are likely as well. Activity will rapidly diminish towards evening as the cold pool exists. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Hope we get something.. many many years ago can't remember the year but I remember we had small hail from one of these.. I happened to look up and saw a small area of clouds above me was spinning pretty rapidly lasted about a minute but never saw a funnel or anything.. any idea what would cause that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Gonna have to watch for very intense localized snow squalls too into Saturday night....esp high terrain. The lapse rates are crazy insane for a cold season event. This is the ORH sounding at 03z Saturday evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 24, 2022 Author Share Posted March 24, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Gonna have to watch for very intense localized snow squalls too into Saturday night....esp high terrain. The lapse rates are crazy insane for a cold season event. This is the ORH sounding at 03z Saturday evening Holy crap...full out saturation to the tropopause. There are some signals for a line of snow squalls to organize within eastern NY and moves across Mass during the evening 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Holy crap...full out saturation to the tropopause. There are some signals for a line of snow squalls to organize within eastern NY and moves across Mass during the evening Yeah... TTs spike above 60 for a time. Definitely has a squall look for the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 24, 2022 Author Share Posted March 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah... TTs spike above 60 for a time. Definitely has a squall look for the higher elevations. Yeah that's pretty impressive...don't usually see TT values that high around here. This is one of the more impressive cold pools I think I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah that's pretty impressive...don't usually see TT values that high around here. This is one of the more impressive cold pools I think I've seen. Cold pools overperform in late March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 24, 2022 Author Share Posted March 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Cold pools overperform in late March Certainly can, especially if timed during peak heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 22 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Hope we get something.. many many years ago can't remember the year but I remember we had small hail from one of these.. I happened to look up and saw a small area of clouds above me was spinning pretty rapidly lasted about a minute but never saw a funnel or anything.. any idea what would cause that? I believe that was in 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 8 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said: I believe that was in 2002. I want to say 2010? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 25, 2022 Author Share Posted March 25, 2022 Here we go!!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Lightning flashes are a few of my favorite things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Decent look for Saturday. Some hail/graupel plus a change to snow in the hills. GFS has TTs spiking to 64 around here which is about as high as you'll see... and the instability doesn't just peak for an hour and abate... it's there for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Decent look for Saturday. Some hail/graupel plus a change to snow in the hills. GFS has TTs spiking to 64 around here which is about as high as you'll see... and the instability doesn't just peak for an hour and abate... it's there for a few hours. Saw that. Omega thru the roof right across the D zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Any damage ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 25, 2022 Author Share Posted March 25, 2022 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: Decent look for Saturday. Some hail/graupel plus a change to snow in the hills. GFS has TTs spiking to 64 around here which is about as high as you'll see... and the instability doesn't just peak for an hour and abate... it's there for a few hours. Wow...yeah just saw that on bufkit. I don't think I've ever really seen TT's above like 56-58 here before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 7 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: Lightning flashes are a few of my favorite things Flashes or crashes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 16 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Wow...yeah just saw that on bufkit. I don't think I've ever really seen TT's above like 56-58 here before. We had TTs around 60 in the 1/28/10 WINDEX event. The main reason it was so prolific. You had saturation up higher than 500mb. Similar look today except we might not have quite as much lift focused along one area…but the higher lapse rates in the low levels can make up for some of that. Id expect any potent storms or squalls to be frozen precip whether it’s graupel/hail or just flipping to straight snow in the higher terrain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: We had TTs around 60 in the 1/28/10 WINDEX event. The main reason it was so prolific. You had saturation up higher than 500mb. Similar look today except we might not have quite as much lift focused along one area…but the higher lapse rates in the low levels can make up for some of that. Id expect any potent storms or squalls to be frozen precip whether it’s graupel/hail or just flipping to straight snow in the higher terrain. Ahhh yes now I remember that. That was something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Ahhh yes now I remember that. That was something else. Tony Laconte has legit snowflakes at 51 degrees in PA. That's incredible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Tony Laconte has legit snowflakes at 51 degrees in PA. That's incredible That’s remarkable…wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 20 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Wow...yeah just saw that on bufkit. I don't think I've ever really seen TT's above like 56-58 here before. We were in the 60s last squall. Omega was unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We were in the 60s last squall. Omega was unreal Waiting for the goodies in Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Waiting for the goodies in Springfield. What goodies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What goodies? Grauple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Grauple Have you looked radar? It’s not materializing today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Have you looked radar? It’s materializing today I have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I have And?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2022 Author Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And?? Materialized as thought. Was just hoping to get some here in Springfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Wild grauple/hail right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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