WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The blocking started breaking down around mid-January and by the last week of the month, that winter was over Nope! Last day of January had to shovel roofs with 42 plus inches on them caving everything in. Early Feb brought more snow…then it shut down…but it was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 8 hours ago, snowman19 said: Yes, there is mounting evidence that late November and December are cold, i.e. a true front-loaded canonical La Niña, typical with Maritime Continent forcing. However, Maritime Continent forcing works well until you get into the end of December and January/February with the wavelength change, then it’s torch city Isn’t the best month in La Niña patterns usually January? Yeah the blocking breaks down in Jan but often that’s when you get the strongest blizzards, when the blocking breaks down (like during late Jan last year). Then yeah, Feb and March are usually ass because like you said, the same forcing that helps in earlier in the winter starts working against us later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 10 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Nope! Last day of January had to shovel roofs with 42 plus inches on them caving everything in. Early Feb brought more snow…then it shut down…but it was epic. We had a moderate overrunning event everyone forgot too. Think it was early March. Had 4.5 when I was in Norwalk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Dec10-Jan11 is the best stretch of winter experienced. Just big dawg after big dawg. No pennies, all benjis. It faded in Feb but the damage was done. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dec10-Jan11 is the best stretch of winter experienced. Just big dawg after big dawg. No pennies, all benjis. It faded in Feb but the damage was done. The pack stuck around all of Feb, had an icy top, my puppy at the time use to run on top of the deep pack, even I could walk on top after a while. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dec10-Jan11 is the best stretch of winter experienced. Just big dawg after big dawg. No pennies, all benjis. It faded in Feb but the damage was done. Yes…that was a great run, with the very rare elusive Norlun thrown in for good measure. A very Fun/exciting 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Was the boxing day storm in 2010 the one where it wasn't showing on models 48 hours prior, then there was seemingly some glitch with the GFS model and many blamed that when it started showing a hit? I could be wrong. Either way..I was initially excited when the storm starting showing on the models..but as usual, my excitement waned when it trended to be too much of a hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 13 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, the PNA took over and we rocked into early Feb. Into early March here, though the good snow events ended with 2 advisory storms 2/25-28, resulting in winter's tallest pack. We narrowly (like, 20 miles) missed a big dump on March 7, getting only IP/ZR and about 20 hours w/o power. Lots of 15-20" reports from the mountains. The 3 big dawgs in Dec/Jan were merely 2 nice storms and a 1.5" fringe here, while the first 2 had verified 3+ hour blizzard conditions at BGR, WVL and AUG. Drove to/from AUG in both and the conditions were way worse on Boxing Day than on Jan 12 - wind seemed well below 35 in the latter one, 50+ in the former. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Was the boxing day storm in 2010 the one where it wasn't showing on models 48 hours prior, then there was seemingly some glitch with the GFS model and many blamed that when it started showing a hit? I could be wrong. Either way..I was initially excited when the storm starting showing on the models..but as usual, my excitement waned when it trended to be too much of a hugger. I think you were in Acushnet? You definitely had decent snow. But yeah that was the storm. That storm was disappointing for many though outside of the low level forcing and deformation band. Other than the 95 corridor into RI and NYC to the Berks...it wasn't much to right home about...but winds in the interior were blowing near 50kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 24 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Was the boxing day storm in 2010 the one where it wasn't showing on models 48 hours prior, then there was seemingly some glitch with the GFS model and many blamed that when it started showing a hit? I could be wrong. Either way..I was initially excited when the storm starting showing on the models..but as usual, my excitement waned when it trended to be too much of a hugger. My recollection was that the Euro and GFS kept swapping run to run - in opposite directions - between slammer and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think you were in Acushnet? You definitely had decent snow. But yeah that was the storm. That storm was disappointing for many though outside of the low level forcing and deformation band. Other than the 95 corridor into RI and NYC to the Berks...it wasn't much to right home about...but winds in the interior were blowing near 50kts. Wareham at the time, right on Swifts Beach. iirc we had a 3-4" before sleet/rain. yeah I'm sure the part of acushnet I ended up moving too did a bit better..maybe like 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: Wareham at the time, right on Swifts Beach. iirc we had a 3-4" before sleet/rain. yeah I'm sure the part of acushnet I ended up moving too did a bit better..maybe like 6-8" If I only looked down at your sig lol. That's right, I recall. PYM on down to the Cape sort of got porked that winter relatively speaking. I recall even Duxbury getting rain in one event and my folks in Marshfield one town NW, getting pasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If I only looked down at your sig lol. That's right, I recall. PYM on down to the Cape sort of got porked that winter relatively speaking. I recall even Duxbury getting rain in one event and my folks in Marshfield one town NW, getting pasted. Although we ended up a bit above normal..that was probably the year I peaked with my weather related angst. I think after getting blue balled the year prior with the Mid-Atlantic season, then missing out by like 5-10 miles on several storms during 10/11, it was too much to take at the time. There were several seasons that I had less snow recently, but they just weren't THAT frustrating. Found this for 12/26/10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 On 10/22/2022 at 12:48 AM, snowman19 said: His profile says he’s a “winter weather expert” He's actually a meteorologist. Since 2008. Now is he correct..not entirely sure. But.. he is a professional, so I'm sure there is some truth in his post. He is also calling for a mostly positive PNA for the winter. I guess we will see how this plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: Was the boxing day storm in 2010 the one where it wasn't showing on models 48 hours prior, then there was seemingly some glitch with the GFS model and many blamed that when it started showing a hit? I could be wrong. Either way..I was initially excited when the storm starting showing on the models..but as usual, my excitement waned when it trended to be too much of a hugger. Ya that’s the one….GFS had the glitch, and when it did show the big hit after sending it out to sea for a few days, NWS said to ignore that run due to convective feedback, but it was finally catching on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dec10-Jan11 is the best stretch of winter experienced. Just big dawg after big dawg. No pennies, all benjis. It faded in Feb but the damage was done. same deal here - loved it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2022 Author Share Posted October 26, 2022 Officially writing this year's installment now that all of the past verification stats are up to date....goal is to issue at the end of next week, in time for winter weather awareness week. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Officially writing this year's installment now that all of the past verification stats are up to date....goal is to issue at the end of next week, in time for winter weather awareness week. Cancelling winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2022 Author Share Posted October 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cancelling winter? Beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Beer. Will that be needed in order to digest what you are about to say? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2022 Author Share Posted October 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Will that be needed in order to digest what you are about to say? For me, writing these always poses an inherent risk of relapse, sprinkled with a moderate chance of divorce and unemployment. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: For me, writing these always poses an inherent risk of relapse, sprinkled with a moderate chance of divorce and unemployment. Well better watch out, LL is calling for warmest winter on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2022 Author Share Posted October 26, 2022 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well better watch out, LL is calling for warmest winter on record. Who is LL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Who is LL? LL Warm J 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Boxing day was a good storm here. Must have had a foot and a half or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Boxing day was a good storm here. Must have had a foot and a half or so. Not so good here, I think it started as graupel and then light snow, think I ended up with maybe 5-6 inches while to the west and east got hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Officially writing this year's installment now that all of the past verification stats are up to date....goal is to issue at the end of next week, in time for winter weather awareness week. Hey well I wanna know too!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 And just like that all the hype on Twitter about Eurasian snowcover, recurving super typhoons and GOA/western North America warm blobs stopped: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 23 minutes ago, snowman19 said: And just like that all the hype on Twitter about Eurasian snowcover, recurving super typhoons and GOA/western North America warm blobs stopped: Well the toughing gets replaced by ridging in AK so that looks like a change to me. Also, nobody cares about Eurasian snow cover any more. I don't care if the snowpack extending into Beijing, it means jack dick to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well the toughing gets replaced by ridging in AK so that looks like a change to me. Also, nobody cares about Eurasian snow cover any more. I don't care if the snowpack extending into Beijing, it means jack dick to me. Jack Meoffer? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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