BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2022 Author Share Posted July 24, 2022 Pretty rare day across Upstate 5% tornadic hatch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2022 Author Share Posted July 24, 2022 Mesoscale Discussion 1575 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022 Areas affected...Northeast Ohio to southwestern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 241710Z - 241915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop through the afternoon hours and will pose a threat for strong to severe winds. A watch is likely within the next hour. DISCUSSION...A field of growing cumulus is noted from northeast OH into northwest PA with a few deeper convective towers becoming evident, one of which has rapidly intensified within the past 20 minutes. In the absence of stronger surface/low-level forcing, this activity is likely being fostered by broad ascent ahead of a mid-level perturbation across the Great Lakes, aided by rapidly decreasing MLCIN as surface temperatures warm into the mid 80s (based on a modified 15 UTC BUF sounding). While thunderstorm coverage in the near-term is somewhat uncertain given the weak/broad forcing for ascent, continued destabilization through the day should support the maintenance of the deepening convection. Strong winds (upwards of 40-50 knots) are noted within the lowest 3 km of regional soundings and VWP observations, which suggests that any developing storm will pose a strong to severe wind risk. 0-6 km bulk shear values near 35-40 knots will support storm organization, including the potential for supercells capable of large hail. A watch will likely be needed within the hour to address this concern as addition thunderstorms mature through the early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2022 Author Share Posted July 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 25, 2022 Author Share Posted July 25, 2022 Few videos of storm chasing today. 2nd video is the best. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 25, 2022 Author Share Posted July 25, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 On 7/22/2022 at 4:27 PM, brentrich said: Looks like summer will be over in 2 weeks. We only had ONE day of 90's so I was right once again. Looks like another heatwave may be on the way in the August 6th timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 On 7/20/2022 at 2:36 PM, Syrmax said: This sort of loose talk would get you banned from OT. Or at the very least called a f@cktard by the intelligentsia there...such as it is. OT seems kind of one side - like a combination of the CBC and MSNBC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 Just now, Ottawa Blizzard said: OT seems kind of one side - like a combination of the CBC and MSNBC. Not that I'm a fan of Fox either....I'm always searching for balance, that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 On 7/20/2022 at 2:44 PM, BuffaloWeather said: I've tagged you 20 times in discord with no response, come back to us. By the way, thanks for inviting me to the Discord group BuffaloWeather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 Super torch coming for first 2 weeks of August as the central ridge builds east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS and EURO says what torch? It's showing bunch of low 80's so how is that super torch? Just stop trolling for hundredth times. Thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2022 Author Share Posted July 27, 2022 It is worth noting that there are signals indicating a significant warmup to close out the first week of August as a strong 590-595dam H500 ridge expands across the central and eastern CONUS. As of this forecast update, the Climate Prediction Center still has much of the Great Lakes region under a moderate risk for excessive heat from 8/3-8/6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 42 minutes ago, brentrich said: GFS and EURO says what torch? It's showing bunch of low 80's so how is that super torch? Just stop trolling for hundredth times. Thank you. Did I ever tell you I’m a fortune teller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 4 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Did I ever tell you I’m a fortune teller? Umm, where's the 90's? It's showing only ONE day of 90's out of 2 weeks. you guys are f... busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 On 7/26/2022 at 4:43 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: By the way, thanks for inviting me to the Discord group BuffaloWeather. We're you able to join? I don't see you in here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Looks like a legit tornado on the ground in Wyoming county. You can see debris in the air on the radar apps. Crazy gate to gate shear too. Seems like a long track for around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 25 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Looks like a legit tornado on the ground in Wyoming county. You can see debris in the air on the radar apps. Crazy gate to gate shear too. Seems like a long track for around here. Yep. We've been talking about it in discord. 100% a tornado on the ground and likely a decent one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 5 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Looks like a legit tornado on the ground in Wyoming county. You can see debris in the air on the radar apps. Crazy gate to gate shear too. Seems like a long track for around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: resend me a link in Discord and I'll join so I don't have to come back on here and see completely retarded posts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 28 minutes ago, champy said: resend me a link in Discord and I'll join so I don't have to come back on here and see completely retarded posts Sent check pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 On 7/27/2022 at 9:38 PM, BuffaloWeather said: We're you able to join? I don't see you in here yet. Yes. In the Discord group, I'm Toronto Blizzard 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 https://www.weather.gov/buf/2022July28WyomingCountyTornado?fbclid=IwAR2w-xTRMugtyoUGvlGkO2kAR9uSWqDDasa8VxcqBTQsCFcEIyIM5QQ_W6E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 30, 2022 Author Share Posted July 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted July 30, 2022 Share Posted July 30, 2022 16 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Weather channel is a joke, they never get it right so why post it here. you troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 5 hours ago, brentrich said: Weather channel is a joke, they never get it right so why post it here. you troll. Mega MAGA Torch coming, straight thru winter. Can't Stop Won't Stop! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 Goofus says what torch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Remember this that you posted from few days ago for August 4th - SUPER TORCH? This is another example why you suck at weather forecasting. You have no knowledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 9 hours ago, CNY_WX said: Goofus says what torch? I approve of this message. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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