cny rider Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 1 hour ago, brentrich said: Funny thing is I'm there in discord with you guys. Now you see why this group is bunch of lying trolls. I can almost always find the good in people. With you though, not so much. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 13, 2022 Author Share Posted August 13, 2022 We made it 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 13, 2022 Share Posted August 13, 2022 41° this morning was great! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted August 13, 2022 Share Posted August 13, 2022 5 hours ago, Flying MXZ said: 41° this morning was great! Now you see, where's the torch? I was right all long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 17 hours ago, Flying MXZ said: 41° this morning was great! You got me beat by several degrees, but this is another summer morning as it ought to be up here: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Freezing levels are very low today and some sizeable hail is pounding areas just South of my location, looks Henrietta to Scottsville is getting the brunt. I should have chased! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 So where's the torch you bunch of trolls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 21, 2022 Share Posted August 21, 2022 Nice little soaking this morning, starting to clear out now..Let's see what this afternoon brings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 22, 2022 Author Share Posted August 22, 2022 Cool lightning show last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 22, 2022 Share Posted August 22, 2022 Finally got some rain. About .5" so far, can almost hear the grass gulping it... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted August 22, 2022 Share Posted August 22, 2022 After a dry few weeks we had several heavy downpours yesterday that added up to 1.51 inches as of 8 AM. We are currently experiencing an extremely heavy downpour and are probably pushing another inch since 8 AM. Any rainfall deficit for the month is now erased. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 22, 2022 Share Posted August 22, 2022 Several inches of rain in Baldwinsville last week. Several inches since yesterday morning. The grass is turning nice and green. Perfect timing for hopefully some beautiful Fall colors starting to show in a month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 23, 2022 Author Share Posted August 23, 2022 Looks like August will finish above normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 On 8/22/2022 at 9:31 AM, vortmax said: Finally got some rain. About .5" so far, can almost hear the grass gulping it... Up to 1.5" now. Very happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 23, 2022 Author Share Posted August 23, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 Any guesses when the region sees it first widespread frost? Only 3 weeks from now on average and decent chunk of Southern Ontario (Muskoka, Orangeville, Eastern Ontario) can easily see 30s for nighttime lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 24, 2022 Share Posted August 24, 2022 Probably around a dozen or so showers over the past few days.. Equalled out to 2" of precipitation.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 24, 2022 Author Share Posted August 24, 2022 As we get into the busier fall/winter season please send me private message if you would like to join our discord. We have 28 members that joined and its pretty active daily. Lots of great weather discussion. We kind of decided we would do big storm threads here and day to day weather talk on the discord. Its much easier to post videos/pictures and links compared to this forum. We have a weather channel and a general discussion channel. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 On 8/23/2022 at 3:57 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Interesting... crazy to see my hometown has warmed over 3.5F since 1961, but not shocking. One thing I'll say is these are based on linear regressions, which are also used to estimate the trend. However - and maybe it's just me - but I've noticed these temperature trend linear regressions tend to have the majority of early years lying below them and the majority of the recent years lying above them. If the change were truly linear, you would expect a mix of years above and below throughout the period of examination. What this suggests to me is the trend is actually increasing - that is, as more and more years go by, we should expect to see the slope of the trend lines increase over time. Not a good sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Interesting... crazy to see my hometown has warmed over 3.5F since 1961, but not shocking. One thing I'll say is these are based on linear regressions, which are also used to estimate the trend. However - and maybe it's just me - but I've noticed these temperature trend linear regressions tend to have the majority of early years lying below them and the majority of the recent years lying above them. If the change were truly linear, you would expect a mix of years above and below throughout the period of examination. What this suggests to me is the trend is actually increasing - that is, as more and more years go by, we should expect to see the slope of the trend lines increase over time. Not a good sign. Just to illustrate. Here is the U.S. annual mean temperature trend: The early years are fairly well mixed, but there's definitely some bias below the trend line up until about 1920. However, recent years are almost exclusively above trend - in some cases, way above trend. Since 1998, only 4 years have been colder than the trend, with one additional year (2010) almost smack dab on the trend line. So it looks to me like the warming is accelerating at an alarming pace - not to sound too alarmist! Trend would probably also steepen if they included data from the 1870s and 1880s. While limited most of the available data suggests this period was significantly colder than the turn of the 20th century. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 26, 2022 Author Share Posted August 26, 2022 Temps through the 25th BUF: +2.2 ROC: +1.6 WAT: +2.7 SYR: +3.4 BING: +2.8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Sizzle… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2022 Author Share Posted August 27, 2022 First taste of fall this coming week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Rain chances increase Monday night/Tuesday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2022 Author Share Posted August 28, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 On 8/27/2022 at 9:56 AM, wolfie09 said: Rain chances increase Monday night/Tuesday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: I hope this happens. We have missed out on most of the recent rain events for the past week or so….after not having any chances for a few weeks before that. Gorgeous weather, but could really use the rain now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 29, 2022 Share Posted August 29, 2022 9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: A little above normal temps in September is delightful. October as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted August 29, 2022 Share Posted August 29, 2022 28 minutes ago, cny rider said: A little above normal temps in September is delightful. October as well. Agreed. We’re heading into kids’ field hockey and football seasons. I recall two years ago having a game one weekend at something like 85° and high humidity followed by 45° and steady mist the following weekend. You never know what you’re going to get this time of the year! If I remember correctly, last year the games happened to land on almost all beautiful days. Doubt we’ll see that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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