vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 46 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: You’re in a better position than I am. Just outside the typical shadow We'll see. 4000+ CAPE doesn't happen around here very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Buffalo to roc looks firmly entrenched in the stable Lake Erie marine layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 surface based CAPE values are slightly above 5000j/kg. That’s pretty amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: surface based CAPE values are slightly above 5000j/kg. That’s pretty amazing. Wow, things lighting up over Ontario... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 You can see the marine layer from Erie on radar. These storms are going north and south of Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 * At 315 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Youngstown, or 8 miles north of Niagara Falls, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, vortmax said: * At 315 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Youngstown, or 8 miles north of Niagara Falls, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. That storm just east of you is the real mvp so far. Lake Erie marine layer is going to win this battle further west. Looking pretty ragged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: That storm just east of you is the real mvp so far. Lake Erie marine layer is going to win this battle further west. Looking pretty ragged I watched it form just to my south, really popped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Warning for roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 520 PM EDT Thu Jun 16 2022 NYC011-053-067-099-162145- /O.CON.KBGM.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-220616T2145Z/ Seneca NY-Madison NY-Cayuga NY-Onondaga NY- 520 PM EDT Thu Jun 16 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN SENECA...NORTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHWESTERN CAYUGA AND CENTRAL ONONDAGA COUNTIES... At 520 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Cayuga to near Kirkville, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Onondaga, Syracuse, Auburn, De Witt, Van Buren, North Syracuse, Seneca Falls, Solvay, Waterloo and Chittenango. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 hour ago, tim123 said: Warning for roc. That cell crapped out. Only a gust came through here. Not even a drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Not one drop of rain today. Lake Erie is a bastard in these early summer setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: Not one drop of rain today. Lake Erie is bastard in these early summer setups. In Florida but watched that thing get absolutely shredded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 4 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Not one drop of rain today. Lake Erie is a bastard in these early summer setups. Same here. Nada. Pretty amazing when you think about how much moisture was in the atmosphere. Maybe we'll see some with the actual frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 I had 1.12" rain yesterday, mainly in afternoon with a garden variety thunderstorm. Severe threat looked to generally not materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 4 hours ago, Syrmax said: I had 1.12" rain yesterday, mainly in afternoon with a garden variety thunderstorm. Severe threat looked to generally not materialize. It seems even when severe parameters are quite favorable, the marine air wins out every time. The only storms that seem to survive/thrive are the elevated warm frontal ones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 1 hour ago, vortmax said: It seems even when severe parameters are quite favorable, the marine air wins out every time. The only storms that seem to survive/thrive are the elevated warm frontal ones. Well the boundary of the marine layer proved to be a massive trigger for a pretty high end event yesterday. The damage in Livingston and Ontario counties was pretty extensive. 100mph microburst/downburst really rocked portions of 20a. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Well the boundary of the marine layer proved to be a massive trigger for a pretty high end event yesterday. The damage in Livingston and Ontario counties was pretty extensive. 100mph microburst/downburst really rocked portions of 20a. Wow, pretty intense. Totally agree, you could watch all those cells just pop on the east side of that layer, one after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 11 hours ago, Syrmax said: I had 1.12" rain yesterday, mainly in afternoon with a garden variety thunderstorm. Severe threat looked to generally not materialize. There was golf ball sized hail not too far west of us in Victory. I ended up with 0.82 inch of rain but nothing severe. Winds were stronger here this afternoon probably in the 25-30 mph range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 On 3/14/2022 at 4:14 PM, brentrich said: With NAO going negative after March 23rd to April 10th, I would say there's a high chance we will be seeing PV in that tim frame. I see UrAnus has a high chance of appearing also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 18, 2022 Author Share Posted June 18, 2022 A little warm down here in Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 44 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: A little warm down here in Florida You have no idea what youre missing. It's 49F here, solid overcast with intermittent drizzle and a brisk NW wind. Classic Trick or Treating weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 18, 2022 Author Share Posted June 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, cny rider said: You have no idea what youre missing. It's 49F here, solid overcast with intermittent drizzle and a brisk NW wind. Classic Trick or Treating weather. Glad I’m here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted June 18, 2022 Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Glad I’m here lol I knew that would make you feel better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted June 19, 2022 Share Posted June 19, 2022 20 hours ago, cny rider said: You have no idea what youre missing. It's 49F here, solid overcast with intermittent drizzle and a brisk NW wind. Classic Trick or Treating weather. Our son had a double header for baseball yesterday in the Binghamton area. It was in the 50s all day (exactly 50 to start the first game) with steady wind, clouds, and intermittent rain showers during the morning. Everyone agreed it felt like an October football day, not a June baseball day. Low of 39° this morning which is the 3rd time we have dropped into the 30s this month. It’s shaping up to be a gorgeous day, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted June 19, 2022 Share Posted June 19, 2022 22 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Glad I’m here lol Yo troll - what happened to your kiddo discord. Looks like everyone is back here and chatting. I wonder why? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted June 20, 2022 Share Posted June 20, 2022 35.7 this morning, 36.8 yesterday. Scattered frost in some fields this morning. It is the second half of June isn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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