BuffaloWeather Posted April 11, 2022 Author Share Posted April 11, 2022 Hit 71 degrees here with sunshine before the clouds moved in. Not sure what KBUF hit as it was much warmer just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 Couple nice hits up in that area this year, some misses as well which is going to happen, all depends which way the wind blows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 On 4/10/2022 at 9:29 AM, CNY_WX said: There were a few snow showers here a couple of hours ago. It’s already transitioned to rain. LEK, what’s your elevation in Cazenovia? 1250' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 How nice would this be! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 I was just reading about that...like a 3-day blizzard...I'd take that in any month...lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Syracuse's expected high is 62 today. I bet a ton of money it will be above that. I'll go with 67. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Looks like the 6z GFS wants to keep winter around periodically through months end… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 13 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: How nice would this be! The front range and Dakotas have amazing springs as well as falls... awesome shorts and T-shirt days to blizzards in the 10's and 20's with no worries of an extended period of shitty 40° rain and overcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 35 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: The front range and Dakotas have amazing springs as well as falls... awesome shorts and T-shirt days to blizzards in the 10's and 20's with no worries of an extended period of shitty 40° rain and overcast. Super windy. Very hot in the summer. Very cold in the winter. Very little average snowfall. Flat. Otherwise it’s awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Haha. They don’t give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 12, 2022 Author Share Posted April 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 12, 2022 Author Share Posted April 12, 2022 Storm for the record books in the North Dakota 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 I have a friend near Williston and they are not pleased about the weather there. They get true blizzards that we very rarely get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 13, 2022 Author Share Posted April 13, 2022 Snowstorm for my hike next week? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 13, 2022 Author Share Posted April 13, 2022 Over 40" in the mountains of ADK 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Up to 67 already at 10am. Sky clearing up nicely after that miserable looking morning. Maybe squeak in a storm of two here today? Looks like a chance around lunchtime and then again 5-6pm. Could go for a nice thunderstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Over 40" in the mountains of ADK More importantly what does Kuchera say??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 All of these fantasy charts are 384hrs, not really believing anything outside of 5 days. My guess the above snowfall comes 10+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, vortmax said: All of these fantasy charts are 384hrs, not really believing anything outside of 5 days. My guess the above snowfall comes 10+ days out. Bingo! But it’s still fun to watch. Active, cold pattern. The chance is there. I wouldn’t rule out a final snow storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Bingo! But it’s still fun to watch. Active, cold pattern. The chance is there. I wouldn’t rule out a final snow storm. Always need to count on the mid-late April final season ending snow. Had just shy of 5” last year on April 21st. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 37 minutes ago, vortmax said: All of these fantasy charts are 384hrs, not really believing anything outside of 5 days. My guess the above snowfall comes 10+ days out. Yeah pretty much right at the 10 day mark lol GFS does continue to try and mix in some snow on Saturday morning with the next front.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 At the very least looking like a cooler air mass.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Nam showing this as well.. Could see some wet fatties mix in lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 12 hours ago, Leelee said: I have a friend near Williston and they are not pleased about the weather there. They get true blizzards that we very rarely get. I feel like blizzard warnings on the plains are far more tame than if we got a blizzard warning here, they seem to throw them around like candy for even the most minor events. They can get 3 inches of snow and high winds and its a "blizzard" because of low visibility for 12 hours. Underwhelming in my opinion. Our blizzards almost always entail extremely heavy snow along with the reduced visibilities and winds. Now all that said, this current storm is a true blizzard by any definition with both heavy snow, extremely strong winds, and very low visibilities...not to mention a duration of nearly 3 days. One of the biggest plains storms in recent memory. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Lol doubtful but you never know haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Lol doubtful but you never know haha White Easter holiday periods are becoming more wintry than Christmas periods. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 13, 2022 Author Share Posted April 13, 2022 April is the new December 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 The next issue...when will this next front push into the forecast area and then how fast will it exit on Saturday. There is some suggestion that it will hang up and then slow its forward progression with a tightening of the thermal gradient and strong baroclinic zone developing across the forecast area from SW to NE Friday night. This could bring a fairly decent period of precipitation as it slowly works through the region. P-type may even become a bit tricky as it could get just cold enough to support a mix of rain and snow across the higher terrain overnight. Have added a mix of rain and snow across the higher terrain to cover this potential beginning the second half of Friday night. Saturday...the cold front appears to move ever so slowly through the region and then it turns sharply colder on the backside. We might even see precipitation mix with or change completely over to snow late in the day at all locations. This is considering 850 hPa temps are forecast to fall to -7C then to -10C by evening. Saturday night...its looking more likely that it will be cold enough aloft (-10C/-11C) to encourage a bit of a lake response. This is taking into account that Lake Erie and Ontario are now in the upper 30s to low 40s...marginal over lake instability. Nothing significant but nonetheless impressive for this late in the season. Could see some minor snow accumulations on grassy areas across the higher terrain SSE of the lakes overnight. Temperatures wise...lows will be found in the 20s to low 30s across the forecast area by daybreak Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 35 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The next issue...when will this next front push into the forecast area and then how fast will it exit on Saturday. There is some suggestion that it will hang up and then slow its forward progression with a tightening of the thermal gradient and strong baroclinic zone developing across the forecast area from SW to NE Friday night. This could bring a fairly decent period of precipitation as it slowly works through the region. P-type may even become a bit tricky as it could get just cold enough to support a mix of rain and snow across the higher terrain overnight. Have added a mix of rain and snow across the higher terrain to cover this potential beginning the second half of Friday night. Saturday...the cold front appears to move ever so slowly through the region and then it turns sharply colder on the backside. We might even see precipitation mix with or change completely over to snow late in the day at all locations. This is considering 850 hPa temps are forecast to fall to -7C then to -10C by evening. Saturday night...its looking more likely that it will be cold enough aloft (-10C/-11C) to encourage a bit of a lake response. This is taking into account that Lake Erie and Ontario are now in the upper 30s to low 40s...marginal over lake instability. Nothing significant but nonetheless impressive for this late in the season. Could see some minor snow accumulations on grassy areas across the higher terrain SSE of the lakes overnight. Temperatures wise...lows will be found in the 20s to low 30s across the forecast area by daybreak Sunday. Sounds like a rerun of the entire winter. Stalling cold front, with rain in Sizzlecuse...then it finally moves through and we get some slush...and then N or NW winds kick in and the Finger Lakes down into BGM get the lake effect while we get flurries. Even getting trolled in Mid April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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