tombo82685 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Why does that area south of cuse in the tully to cazenovia area always max out pretty will? Is it a bit of upslope, I mean they are decently removed from the lake and would need nw flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2022 Author Share Posted March 27, 2022 Colden with almost a foot of snow too. Absolutely dumping there at kissing bridge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Why does that area south of cuse in the tully to cazenovia area always max out pretty will? Is it a bit of upslope, I mean they are decently removed from the lake and would need nw flow The flow is out of the NW..We get that wind direction a lot in the winter, obviously..I feel like"majority" of big events (feet) happen east of the lake but you probably see more consistent snow SE of the lake with the constant northerly flows..They obviously have some elevation as well.. The tug can upslope from various wind direction which is why they have it made lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2022 Author Share Posted March 27, 2022 Colden is 20 minutes from here, going to take the dog for a walk at Emery park which is pretty close. Those are chaseworthy conditions at Kissing bridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: The flow is out of the NW..We get that wind direction a lot in the winter, obviously..I feel like"majority" of big events (feet) happen east of the lake but you probably see more consistent snow SE of the lake with the constant northerly flows..They obviously have some elevation as well.. The tug can upslope from various wind direction which is why they have it made lol I guess what I mean, while it probably snows a lot, it seems like its a lot of minor like 2-4 3-5 constant type events and chance of a big event like 12+ is tough to come by 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 16 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The flow is out of the NW..We get that wind direction a lot in the winter, obviously..I feel like"majority" of big events (feet) happen east of the lake but you probably see more consistent snow SE of the lake with the constant northerly flows..They obviously have some elevation as well.. The tug can upslope from various wind direction which is why they have it made lol It always astounds me when the tug can cash in on a NW flow. It makes no sense. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2022 Author Share Posted March 27, 2022 11” at Emery park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 24 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: It always astounds me when the tug can cash in on a NW flow. It makes no sense. Lol I hate the tug lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2022 Author Share Posted March 27, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Yawn. The Syracuse suckfest continues on. I hate NW flow lake effect. We maybe have gotten two inches, but it melts, then a new dusting, then melts... somewhat of a snowcover, but hard to get much more with the crap elevation and the ever-so-typical showery scope of lake effect. We rarely ever see consistent snowfall like the Tug and Buffalo areas. I am sure this will put BGM over SYR even though we were "supposed" to get more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 This was never going to be much at lower elevations unless there was surprisingly long lasting heavy snow that doesn't happen this time of year with cellular lake effect or extreme cold. I don't know why NWS and some mets put up the clown maps, but I complain about that enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Yawn. The Syracuse suckfest continues on. I hate NW flow lake effect. We maybe have gotten two inches, but it melts, then a new dusting, then melts... somewhat of a snowcover, but hard to get much more with the crap elevation and the ever-so-typical showery scope of lake effect. We rarely ever see consistent snowfall like the Tug and Buffalo areas. I am sure this will put BGM over SYR even though we were "supposed" to get more. Your expectations always exceed reality. The 2 inches I got today exceeded my expectations and if the majority hadn’t fallen during the night I wouldn’t have gotten that. Don’t forget our sun angle is now the same as mid September’s and the normal high is in the mid 40s and rising every day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 I think it's more due to the NWS expectations lol Forecast is still for some snow this evening SE of the lake.. They continue to update event total which started yesterday at 5 pm through tomorrow AM.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I think it's more due to the NWS expectations lol Forecast is still for some snow this evening SE of the lake.. They continue to update event total which started yesterday at 5 pm through tomorrow AM.. Exactly. Lol... Thanks! BGM is usually more conservative with their maps, and I know to follow theirs. So, when they usually show a healthier amount, I think they're seeing something that would make it more of a reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I think it's more due to the NWS expectations lol Forecast is still for some snow this evening SE of the lake.. They continue to update event total which started yesterday at 5 pm through tomorrow AM.. That map for N Cayuga toward Onondaga county is bonkers. C'mon divide by 2... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 About to leave Queens to come back home and even here got some shitty flakes and graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Starting to cover the grass now with the sun dropping. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 3" total here. Poundtown right now!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 The most organized lake effect snow will be closely tied to upstream connections. A Georgian Bay connection is likely to tie into Lake Ontario lake effect this evening and continue through Monday morning. There is low confidence in the exact placement of this band, but most 12Z model guidance has shifted the most persistent band southeast of Lake Ontario from Monroe to Oswego counties with potential secondary band to the west of this. An additional 2-4 inches is likely in most persistent bands tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Probably the heaviest snow of the day so far, which is not saying much lol Down to 23°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Snowed pretty heavily late this afternoon and early evening. I picked up a couple of inches with pavement even getting covered. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 On 3/26/2022 at 4:53 AM, rochesterdave said: Sure. Lol. I’ll call it a win if the grass goes white. On 3/26/2022 at 6:07 AM, tim123 said: Would think advisories would be out tonight for south shore for Sunday into monday Win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Win. No snow in Pittsford but my cams show heavy snow in Irondequoit with maybe a couple inches already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 Check that. Extremely heavy snow in Irondequoit. Like listen for thunder stuff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 This band is legit. Jeb walk time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 Where u at Matt? Radar says you're getting hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 30 minutes ago, vortmax said: This band is legit. Jeb walk time. It’s a real banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 24 minutes ago, vortmax said: Where u at Matt? Radar says you're getting hammered. I just looked out. It's snowing decently, but the best stuff is definitely to the south of the Thruway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I just looked out. It's snowing decently, but the best stuff is definitely to the south of the Thruway. For some reason, I thought you were south. LEK should be getting it good in Caz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: For some reason, I thought you were south. LEK should be getting it good in Caz. No, I'm in the Northwest corner of the county. It's been a "better" winter here than most of the rest of the county (with the exception of the Route 20 corridor from Skan. to Caz) where they've been the jackpot zone. One of the wintriest nighttime shots of downtown Syracuse for the season tonight: Armory Square Webcam in Syracuse, NY | Armory Cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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