wolfie09 Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Maybe we catch an inch or two sat night/Sunday morning lol Temps are right around freezing when precipitation starts but drops pretty quickly overnight..It's going to be chilly either way, might as well have a little snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 GFS wants to keep it going right into April lol It's looking like a pretty wintry Sunday as it stands now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Looking at the patterns and it’s very obvious that we’ve flipped to a spring pattern. Lows jumping around. Retrograding and spinning up on themselves with multiple vortex centers. P-type is a guessing game mostly determined by elevation. Accumulations very unlikely in the valleys. I don’t see much hope of anything meaningful. Just crappy weather. Disappointing March to be sure. Back to a C+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Some needs to add the old chevy "like a rock" commercial music to this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: Some needs to add the old chevy "like a rock" commercial music to this. Should be another good outbreak today. 15% hatched TOR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 38 minutes ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: Some needs to add the old chevy "like a rock" commercial music to this. I was just about to post this. INCREDIBLE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 57 minutes ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: Some needs to add the old chevy "like a rock" commercial music to this. You can’t beat that kind of advertising! “I was driving down the road when my truck and I got tossed around by a tornado. Almost made me late to dinner!” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 On 3/21/2022 at 10:57 AM, vortmax said: Is Winter really over? One day difference... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 GEFS show a couple inches for all 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 GEM actually has a storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Yeah we have several spokes of energy rotating around the trough..The Ggem sends another one over S/W NY, GFS not so much lol The first"event" is looking to be more of a NW flow/wrap around regime..As it stands now we should see a light accumulation sat night through Sun morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 NWS graphical forecast shows light snow from Saturday night through Sunday night, not fully ending until Monday AM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Definitely not impossible since Toronto normally sees 2-3" a year in April but winter storm chances in the GTA is normally over by April 1st. Not saying winter itself is over as GTA can easily wake up to a fresh inch of snow and temperatures in the 20s or even a mixed winter weather advisory event where its 2-4" and freezing rain (more rare) but big dog 6-12" winter storm warning amounts 99% of the time don't happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 April 20th of last year 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 If we don't get snow its going to be a miserable next 2 weeks. Worst climo 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Euro fwiw First event and through it's entirety.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Trough after trough for next 2 weeks, just beautiful. Hope we get to see snow in April and May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Little bit of "winter" chill in the air today with mainly 30s, although we did briefly hit 40° before dropping back into the upper 30s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: April 20th of last year 85 degrees 2 weeks before that too. Again please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: April 20th of last year Yep, you guys for some reason get better April snow compared to GTA. My only guess is elevation for your side? I know over here KW-Orangeville-Barrie can see legit snow 6+ in April but they also have a lot of elevation compared to GTA. Edit*** Had to find the CTV new article. So the 2-3" snow. Though getting 4-8cm in mid-late April is impressive. Environment Canada has issued a weather advisory for Toronto and much of the GTA, warning that the city could see between 4 cm and 8 cm of snow, as well as slippery road conditions, between Tuesday night and Wednesday afternoon. “Snow will move into the area this evening. Snowfall amounts of 4 to 8 cm are possible by noon on Wednesday, with lower snowfall amounts expected along the shores of Lake Ontario,” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: If we don't get snow its going to be a miserable next 2 weeks. Worst climo Im heading to Hawaii for the honeymoon. Good luck to the lower Great Lakes in early April, I hope to return to full on spring haha 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Ah, so refreshing to read rational, adult conversation after falling into the pit of despair that is known as OT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 April may end up snowier than November, December, and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2022 Author Share Posted March 22, 2022 27 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ah, so refreshing to read rational, adult conversation after falling into the pit of despair that is known as OT. The OT drama is great, when I'm bored at work it gets me through the day. Its like a soap opera. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The OT drama is great, when I'm bored at work it gets me through the day. Its like a soap opera. As I typed, it's like an angel on one shoulder and the devil on the other. Buffalowx on one shoulder saying, "Don't do it! Stay away!" and Blue Moon on the other saying, "Type! type! You know you waaaaant to!" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Latest GFS meh lol At least for the majority of lower elevations which I guess is to be expected lol Nice hit for the north country verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Kbuf Though cold air advection, a mild boundary layer should keep precipitation that falls Thursday Night and Friday as plain rain, and not until after an upper level low passes by will it become cold enough aloft to support snow showers. These snow showers, Friday Night across the higher terrain will become possible everywhere by Saturday morning as temperatures at 850 hPa cool to -5 to -7C. As these 850 hPa temperatures drop towards the negative teens Saturday Night lake effect instability will begin to produce lake effect snow downwind of the lakes on a northwest flow. With favorable moisture within the snow DGZ, it is possible that several inches of snow will accumulate SE of the Lakes. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... There is very high confidence that we will be experiencing below normal temperatures throughout this period...especially Sunday and Monday when the mercury will average a solid 10 deg f below typical late March values. The reason for the cold weather will be phased negatively tilted longwave trough that will be start the period over James Bay and eastern Canada. As we move out of the weekend...there will be a deamplification of the longwave pattern so that the coldest air will eventually be shunted to the east. The cold northwest flow with H85 temps in the minus teens c will support at least scattered lake snow showers with likely pops being introduced southeast of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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