anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HRRR peak snowfall rates…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Latest HRRR is noice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Latest HRRR is noice Candy … I spy a 15” lollipop up in Steve’s neck of the woods and deep in the poconos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: HRRR peak snowfall rates…. for some reason, I don't believe there's going to be 5.6" in a hour in Burlington county tomorrow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HRRR 10:1 maps vs model ratio Not much difference in the lehigh valley where temps are going to be colder but down by 95 and the burbs, ratio's are only like 5:1/6:1 despite the heavy precip. That could still be dense enough to cause some issues on trees/powerlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, The Iceman said: for some reason, I don't believe there's going to be 5.6" in a hour in Burlington county tomorrow... That looks to be just about over NWS Mount Holly, so I will let you know. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, The Iceman said: for some reason, I don't believe there's going to be 5.6" in a hour in Burlington county tomorrow... Even 2"/hr is pretty rare around these parts. I consider 1"/hr heavy stuff... 55F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Went with 3-6” for the Lehigh Valley on my page. I could see some spots up to 10” in the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: Went with 3-6” for the Lehigh Valley on my page. I could see some spots up to 10” in the Poconos. What is your page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: What is your page? https://www.facebook.com/lehighvalleyweather/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Still a decent hit in Bucks (and other areas) on the 12k at 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: https://www.facebook.com/lehighvalleyweather/ I was afraid that was you, the one people confuse with mine… lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Damn 12k n 3k NAM with 10” at ABE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Still a decent hit in Bucks (and other areas) on the 3k at 18z Here's the juicy 3k. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Here's what the 18z NAM is doing with the low... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Here's what the 18z NAM is doing with the low... Wow, that is exactly what the wrf was showing yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Winter Weather Advisory issued here for 1-3" of snow expected tomorrow. A Wind Advisory has also been issued here for wind gusts up to 50 mph. Tomorrow should be an interesting day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Went from a watch to a warning up here. Feisty! It'll be nice to be able to hunker down on the weekend and enjoy one last winter blast. Especially after getting a bunch of outside chores taken care of in today's beautiful weather. We got up to 60°F (now around 58) and I was actually working up a sweat in full sunlight. Starting to cloud up a bit now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Current hazards lofted - Quote Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 NJZ001-007-PAZ060>062-121100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0007.220312T1100Z-220313T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.WS.W.0005.220312T1100Z-220313T0000Z/ Sussex-Warren-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton- Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...In New Jersey, Sussex and Warren. In Pennsylvania, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ Quote Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 DEZ001-NJZ008>010-012-015-PAZ070-071-101>106-121100- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0014.220312T1100Z-220313T0000Z/ New Castle-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Mercer-Delaware- Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Wilmington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Trenton, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ MPS Quote Wind Advisory URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055- 060>062-070-071-101>106-121100- /O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0006.220312T1500Z-220313T0600Z/ New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD- Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon- Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem- Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland- Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh- Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester- Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown, Rehoboth Beach, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville, Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City, Long Beach Island, Wharton State Forest, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown 319 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania, the eastern shores of Maryland and Delaware. * WHEN...From 10 AM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong winds develop late Staurday morning and continue into the afternoon. There may be a lull Saturday evening before increasing once again. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ MPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I can’t recall the last time I saw a winter storm warning and a wind advisory couple together 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 If things go as modeled there should be some heavy snow in our area during the late morning/early afternoon hours. I don't care how much accumulates as long as I can enjoy the snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 WPC hot off the press - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 SPC last updates SWDY1 and SWDY2 - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Love this kind of talk from the WPC (even if we aren't in the bullseye): 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Super fast flow and no blocking how the NAM retrogrades the storm I'll never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 47 minutes ago, RedSky said: Super fast flow and no blocking how the NAM retrogrades the storm I'll never know 2 lows. The 6z GFS hinted at it and the 12z Euro was showing it more significantly. You have one rolling in from the GOM and the other spins up off the coast of the Carolinas and the 18z NAM is switching focus between them just like the 12z Euro. On 3/10/2022 at 3:08 PM, Hurricane Agnes said: As the NAM is in process, this was the 12z EC. Kinda went "all-in" and even has a couple storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 18z Euro (10:1 and Snow Depth)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Fwiw euro just dropped the goods 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Mt. Holly's latest snow map - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Wouldn’t be surprised at all to see some thundersnow in the heavy banding tomorrow. The HRRR is hinting at the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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