ravensrule Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 41 minutes ago, mappy said: no, he meant head. Randy is short. Could have fooled me. From what i have seen he isn't very short. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Could have fooled me. From what i have seen he isn't very short. .... okay, I think we can all move along from the jokes now... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 WB 15Z SREF Mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Refresh my memory, how reliable is HRRR outside a few hours? In the past it had a tendency to be wildly inconsistent beyond 12 hours. The last 2 years I've noticed its been much better...or at least no worse than the other high resolution guidance in that regard. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 12k NAM is more delayed than other models on the changeover and it *looked* like the heaviest stuff was headed but it slams us regardless. It actually moistened up a ton to the south... 1.5" inches of precip in 6 hours around Williamsburg. Very juicy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 the 3k backs up the 12k... when do we start buying into a 2-4"+ storm for everyone (outside SE MD/DE) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 24 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Refresh my memory, how reliable is HRRR outside a few hours? 12z high res Canadien actually looks a lot like the HRRR 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: the 3k backs up the 12k... when do we start buying into a 2-4"+ storm for everyone? this may be the only snowstorm that we dont get Nam'd.....thats takes alot of the fun out of it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Damn, NAM. Looks nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: 12z high res Canadien actually looks a lot like the HRRR this is probably our last snow of the season. Just take the snowiest model and run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 18Z WB 3K NAM sleet to snow between 6 am and 9am in DC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, Ji said: this may be the only snowstorm that we dont get Nam'd.....thats takes alot of the fun out of it it's all about getting HRDPS'd these days. but I'd count the 6" the NAM gives most of us as being NAM'd anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: this may be the only snowstorm that we dont get Nam'd.....thats takes alot of the fun out of it Gonna start moving your posts to banter 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Heavy snow changes everything. We aren’t ever going to do well in Mid March with light to moderate rates during the day. But if Heavy snow materializes it’s game on. I’m in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: Heavy snow changes everything. We aren’t ever going to do well in Mid March with light to moderate rates during the day. But if Heavy snow materializes it’s game on. I’m in. For those interested: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 WB 3K NAM …. Maybe even PSU will be impressed with the mid March midday cold tomorrow… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 When is the winter storm watch going to be issued? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 This storm may rival my "favorite smaller event." Currently it's the Feb. 14, 2015 Arctic front that dumped 2" where I'm at in under 2 hours, on a blast of wind and cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: When is the winter storm watch going to be issued? Not sure what Ji is talking about but we totally got NAM’d 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Not sure what Ji is talking about but we totally got NAM’d From the 3k no less. Gotta be all in on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 If this storm occurred on a weekday, it had the potential for another 'commutageddon' scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: When is the winter storm watch going to be issued? Yes!!! Now this is what matters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * WHERE...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND, NORTHERN VIRGINIA, AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA INCLUDING THE DC AND BALTIMORE METRO AREAS. * WHEN...FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS COULD BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS MAY PERSIST INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Yea, advisory up for close in Metro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, GATECH said: Yea, advisory up for close in Metro! It includes the Metros Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 LWX updated it's maps with the advisory: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Quote Visibility may be reduced to below one- quarter mile at times. Brief near blizzard conditions are possible between 8 and 11 AM. 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Love me some of this * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Visibility may be reduced to below one- quarter mile at times. Brief near blizzard conditions are possible between 8 and 11 AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * WHERE...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND, NORTHERN VIRGINIA, AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA INCLUDING THE DC AND BALTIMORE METRO AREAS. * WHEN...FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS COULD BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS MAY PERSIST INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. Close, but duration is unlikely to qualify ... Blizzard Warning criteria: Issued for frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35 mph accompanied by falling and/or blowing snow, frequently reducing visibility to less than 1/4 mile for three hours or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: Close, but duration is unlikely to qualify ... Blizzard Warning criteria: Issued for frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35 mph accompanied by falling and/or blowing snow, frequently reducing visibility to less than 1/4 mile for three hours or more 8 to 11 is 3 hours, but I get what you are saying. Don't think we'll quite make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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