snowfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, mappy said: Seriously though, I hope you guys get a good last snow before spring returns next week. don't mind me. Vibe killer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowfan said: Vibe killer I'm sorry. Seriously, I won't post here anymore. Yall enjoy. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowfan said: Vibe killer She did say y’all can get what you hope for. I’m on her side with this. Gimme nice warm spring weather 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: She did say y’all can get what you hope for. I’m on her side with this. Gimme nice warm spring weather This is the perfect kind of storm though -- one to two days of cold and snow before warmth returns. Check out this panel. How can you turn this down! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, mappy said: I'm sorry. Seriously, I won't post here anymore. Yall enjoy. I’ll be away tomorrow so I’m hoping you’ll post pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HRRR looks pretty much in line with its 6z run. Perhaps about an hour slower with everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: HRRR looks pretty much in line with its 6z run. Perhaps about an hour slower with everything. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The heaviest snow is gonna come down to the timing of the cold push. Faster equals farther east, slower farther west. That low is really blowing up though. I wonder if it that happens a little sooner what things might look like. Might hold the front up a bit is my guess but I don’t know enough to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 31 minutes ago, mappy said: I'm sorry. Seriously, I won't post here anymore. Yall enjoy. Lol. You know we’re kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, H2O said: She did say y’all can get what you hope for. I’m on her side with this. Gimme nice warm spring weather Least surprising post today….you agree with mappy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 51 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 06z EURO steady from overnight, puts the heaviest snow over the metro. Image order is Kuchera/10:1/Snow Depth I’ll take it! When is the changeover happening in the metro areas. It looks like it will change to snow earlier than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I’ll take it! When is the changeover happening in the metro areas. It looks like it will change to snow earlier than expected. EURO/HRRR have the changeover at about 8:00am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 38 minutes ago, H2O said: She did say y’all can get what you hope for. I’m on her side with this. Gimme nice warm spring weather We are getting it. Starting Monday. This might be fun in the meantime. No reason to shit on it. It's gonna be cold for two days with that front anyway - why not go for legit snow with it rather than puddles icing over? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I haven't been paying attention at all, so this is a nice surprise. As mentioned above...it's going to be cold anyway, so might as well get some snow with it before we spring up next week! To all my fellow beer geeks, this is looking like a nice reason to crack a big barrel-aged stout or two early on in the day... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I don’t hate the NAMs. Let’s hope it works out and the Hokies make it to the ACC title game Saturday night! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3k NAM with ~4 hours of 1"+ rates at DCA with 30-40mph wind gusts... really could be a fun one. I'd think the depth map is an underestimate. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 NAM cut back though! I mean, I think it is probably more realistic than the nice 6Z run, but I was hoping for a hold or increase (aren't we always!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Whatever happens, the NAMs have been awful. They’ve been all over the place. The comparison from 12z to 6z is stark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HRRR really showing the influence of terrains. Has a Parrs Ridge and Catoctin Mt jackpot well into warning criteria snowfall. Not expecting much on the roads, but this could be the kind of setup for some places that kills trees and powerlines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Whatever happens, the NAMs have been awful. They’ve been all over the place. The comparison from 12z to 6z is stark Remember NAM= Not A Model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 26 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The heaviest snow is gonna come down to the timing of the cold push. Faster equals farther east, slower farther west. That low is really blowing up though. I wonder if it that happens a little sooner what things might look like. Might hold the front up a bit is my guess but I don’t know enough to say. Ive been mostly out on this event. But it looks like I am going to be wrong again. The part that interests me is the winds. NWS calling for gusts to 55 out here with heavy snow. Literal blizzard would be a nice way to end the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 3k NAM with ~4 hours of 1"+ rates at DCA with 30-40mph wind gusts... really could be a fun one. I'd think the depth map is an underestimate. Do you have this for west virginia Alleghany front? Including upslope? Trying to decide if it's worth it to make 1 more ski trip to timberline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said: Do you have this for west virginia Alleghany front? Including upslope? Trying to decide if it's worth it to make 1 more ski trip to timberline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 44 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said: Do you have this for west virginia Alleghany front? Including upslope? Trying to decide if it's worth it to make 1 more ski trip to timberline Wind is gonna be awful. You really wanna be on a lift when a 50-60 mph gust comes? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3k is still showing that pesky warm layer around 800mb during the transition period. BWI looking to not go all snow til the 15-16z window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Pretty tasty soundings on the 3K. Dumping mashed potatoes. It also gets LE squalls into NOVA all afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Wind is gonna be awful. You Anna be on a lift when a 50-60 mph gust comes? That’s be something….crappy season for them to get a powder day in march with a lift hold due to wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Wind is gonna be awful. You Anna be on a lift when a 50-60 mph gust comes? Would be there through Sunday if I went. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I’m going with the Kuchera 12:1 daytime March snow ratios 1 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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