WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:06 AM, feloniousq said: The “professionals” have had a rough few months Expand I know where I’d still put my money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:12 AM, midatlanticweather said: Zone forecast for Purcellville just went to 3 to 5 inches of snow. Seems WAY bullish by NWS. I am thinking 1 to 3 at best! That seems to line up with the LWX Winter maps. Not sure why the Local went so high. Saturday: Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 36. Breezy, with a northwest wind 16 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Expand Be sure to take a long jebwalk and pile that snow way up! Post pics or it never happened! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I see you guys still chasing unicorns lol lol lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Presence of a deepening MAUL (moist absolutely unstable layer) on these forecast soundings makes me think the wind gust potential will overperform here. Cold advection powerful enough to produce that usually has no issues in transporting momentum to the surface. Also, the frontal slope gradient is so sharp, it's very possible that ptype flips earlier and stays sleet longer than forecast. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:41 AM, jlewis1111 said: I see you guys still chasing unicorns lol lol lol Expand Well, nobody is forcing you to join the quest! It's almost St. Patrick's Day, so it's the time of leprechauns, pots of gold at the end of a rainbow, and I guess unicorns too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 00z HRRRRRRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:41 AM, jlewis1111 said: I see you guys still chasing unicorns lol lol lol Expand I feel sorry for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 NWS upped totals, at least in the cities. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 One could laugh at this but one could also understand this could be a sneaky event. It would be fitting given the winter we have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The nam hates this event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 2:16 AM, Ji said: The nam hates this event Expand It's a step in the right direction -- less sleet for you, more snow. The way it shows the sleet is pretty funny, lol. The 10:1 map looks great for you in particular, surprised so little translates to snow depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 2:25 AM, NorthArlington101 said: The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome. Expand I hate this event..I just have no where else to go…this is all I got 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 FV3 Hi-Res looks like a really fun Saturday. Hoping it signals a nice GFS run in an hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 We've missed every good storm at our place in Canaan this year...I just want one good storm with snow blowing everywhere and I'm happy to bring on spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just looked at the point and click for my yard. 3 to 7? Heavy Snow wording? Really shocked nws is going that high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 2:52 AM, NorthArlington101 said: sorry, I grabbed the wrong tweet to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 2:54 AM, Chris78 said: Just looked at the point and click for my yard. 3 to 7? Heavy Snow wording? Really shocked nws is going that high Expand This is definitely the right season to bet against our area getting those sorts of totals out of a storm like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Sure, I'm in because why not? Nothing to lose but a crappy Saturday in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Rgem is a real crush job for the western burbs but overall looks decent for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 This is headed in the right direction…I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 3:56 AM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”. Expand Definitely faster with the arrival of the cold air, which is key. Mid 20s for most by early afternoon Saturday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 the key over the last few runs across the GFS and ECMWF has been increased involvement of the TPV. the lobe has consistently trended deeper, lowering heights and temps as a result over the NE 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 4:02 AM, high risk said: Definitely faster with the arrival of the cold air, which is key. Mid 20s for most by early afternoon Saturday. Expand That seems to be the most notable trend across all models from what I see. Dare I speculate this could sneak its way to an area-wide 2-4" event? In any event, with the wind and temperature drop it's shaping up to feel brutal out starting late morning in the merto areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 3:56 AM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”. Expand Looks like almost all sleet here? At least on the WB maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 4:11 AM, jaydreb said: Looks like almost all sleet here? At least on the WB maps. I’d need someone smarter to look under the hood but that is what it shows the p-type as, yet it also has accumulating snow. I’m assuming it’s doing a bad job of showing the transition - could use those 1hr EURO maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I'm bummed I'm gonna miss this but hey it was 70 degrees and sunny here in Anaheim...consolation I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Canadian’s gonna like us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now