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March 12 Rain to…more rain? Maybe some snow


HoarfrostHubb
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Whole system was kind of meh from a dynamics standpoint...for a min i thought it was gonna try and go the 3km NAM route of redeveloping a nice low along the front further south, but it wasn't quite able to do that. It would still flip most people over to snow but prob not more than an inch or two once you are southeast of  Berkshires/NW CT in SNE....it's a decent event for CNE/NNE but again, lacking the dynamics so it's not double digits.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Whole system was kind of meh from a dynamics standpoint...for a min i thought it was gonna try and go the 3km NAM route of redeveloping a nice low along the front further south, but it wasn't quite able to do that. It would still flip most people over to snow but prob not more than an inch or two once you are southeast of  Berkshires/NW CT in SNE....it's a decent event for CNE/NNE but again, lacking the dynamics so it's not double digits.

Decent model spread right now for the time frame. 

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11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Whole system was kind of meh from a dynamics standpoint...for a min i thought it was gonna try and go the 3km NAM route of redeveloping a nice low along the front further south, but it wasn't quite able to do that. It would still flip most people over to snow but prob not more than an inch or two once you are southeast of  Berkshires/NW CT in SNE....it's a decent event for CNE/NNE but again, lacking the dynamics so it's not double digits.

Well IDk that's some serious high ratio stuff in that Arctic air. I could see Berks on up with double digits with .7 qpf

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So we all get little to no snow and no wind damage this run. Hopefully the NAM is correct 

You still get over 3 which considering yesterday you said you were done for the year would be a total win. Backside CAA could get you some 50 mph gusts.

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16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The models are losing the strong wrapped up low. That's why they are trending east.

It looks like they are trending more towards blowing up the second low rather than the first one. That puts us in the game because if the first low blows up, the front hasn’t come through yet, so the low goes west and it rains. With the second low blowing up though, it gives the front more time to come through and the entire evolution is farther east. 

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3 minutes ago, George001 said:

It looks like they are trending more towards blowing up the second low rather than the first one. That puts us in the game because if the first low blows up, the front hasn’t come through yet, so the low goes west and it rains. With the second low blowing up though, it gives the front more time to come through and the entire evolution is farther east. 

How are you so smart ?

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