powderfreak Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’ve had posts where you’ve said you like dews as you age. I remember them . Oh there’s definitely a time and place. Going down to the lake in CT, spending the day floating around for hours with family. Absolutely. But also enjoy it more since my folks put central A/C in down there lol. I dislike it for most of the day to day activities though up here. Working outside on the mountain when it’s 76/70, hazy, stagnant air bringing out the bugs in force… no thanks. Hiking it’s no bueno, mountain biking nah, even golfing… I prefer to walk when golfing but high dews and it’s cart riding time. The only benefit to me is for swimming but still not a huge fan of getting out of an ice cold river feeling refreshed and then sweating again on the walk up home. I do enjoy the novelty of it at first, but after a while it’s the same as brutal cold. Daily life with sub-zero temps over and over is just as annoying to me as daily life with dews near 70F. It has a time and place but consistently? No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 18z Euro shifted east and colder again . Helps out areas close to coast a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Yeah but I don’t worship the dews and beg for them. I tolerate them and dream of drier weather. That’s different. No, You're still from Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 0z HRRR looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: No, You're still from Delaware. I'm from MD. That's not really better, just wanted to make a note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 18z Euro shifted east and colder again . Helps out areas close to coast a bit Is it possible to run the snow blower and drop the Lesco at the same time!?? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I'm from MD. That's not really better, just wanted to make a note. Now you’re in a forum that knows how to bust balls and have fun with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 00z HRRR definitely east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Now you’re in a forum that knows how to bust balls and have fun with it. It's depressing in that subforum which is why many of them lurk here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Wow yeah it definitely looks like we will be a lot closer to the cold air for this event than what it looked like on TV last night. Still mostly rain here though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I'm from MD. That's not really better, just wanted to make a note. Same difference......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: 0z HRRR looks good. We’ve been faked out too often this season to believe these sudden colder trends in a herky jerky modeling winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 I'm a little late but just wanted to add that >70 dews are a gift from the heavens. I mean it's hard to say you're having a decent life if your sunglasses don't fog up when you walk outside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve been faked out too often this season to believe these sudden colder trends in a herky jerky modeling winter. Congrats on a 6” -8” spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: I'm a little late but just wanted to add that >70 dews are a gift from the heavens. I mean it's hard to say you're having a decent life if your sunglasses don't fog up when you walk outside. Or when you drop your sunglasses into the Orangutan enclosure and the Orangutan takes the glasses and puts them on. This storm is now tantalizing. This looks like those fun storms where my area is the wild card and depends on exact track. Whether here or Iowa, I often find myself straddling the transition zone from RN to SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve been faked out too often this season to believe these sudden colder trends in a herky jerky modeling winter. This whole system is anomalous, Tough to know what to expect really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2022 Author Share Posted March 12, 2022 Lol at the HRRR. 8-9” here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: This whole system is anomalous, Tough to know what to expect really. Seems to keep jumping back and forth run to run on NAM and HRRR between more amped and west and more east/diffused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Seems to keep jumping back and forth run to run on NAM and HRRR between more amped and west and more east/diffused. Going to end up a nowcast deal, Those come with surprises, I can see that coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: Going to end up a nowcast deal, Those come with surprises, I can see that coming. Almost every time we are in the transition wild card zone on the models like this, we wind up raining until the very end and get around 1” of wet snow at the end. That is more likely than mostly snow and several inches. But Dad up in west Hartford is another matter and is definitely deeper into the cold zone and I expect them to get 3” solid. Thats the level headed expectation based on experience. For Kevin or my sister in Coventry at 450 feet I expect 2-3 inches, in other words a better chance of plowable up there. OF COURSE the NAM is still ruthless about the situation, but again is consistent with my idea that rain followed by a simple inch coating of snow at the end is the most likely result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Lol at the HRRR. 8-9” here? I think you good for at least 6”. Definitely the potential to rip for a few hours. I am much lower elevation than you but I’m still expecting 4” maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 NAM cut back on precip and the storm is flying. 3k is still doing that weird thing with the low. Several runs in a row now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 See I was going to say that’s a solid NAM run, both 3km and 12km. Kuchie which is more sensitive to boundary layer but also goes real high when it gets cold. 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 40 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve been faked out too often this season to believe these sudden colder trends in a herky jerky modeling winter. And just like that 01z HRRR and 00z NAMs go west and warmer. Who knows lol just see what happens tomorrow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: See I was going to say that’s a solid NAM run, both 3km and 12km. Kuchie which is more sensitive to boundary layer but also goes real high when it gets cold. 10:1 On pivotal at least it is noticeably less precip than 18z, I think. Still a decent run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: See I was going to say that’s a solid NAM run, both 3km and 12km. Kuchie which is more sensitive to boundary layer but also goes real high when it gets cold. 10:1 It’s such a vast difference between this and, say, RAP and HRRR in its implications for interior E CT. Sadly, NAM sometimes verifies but at least it gives everyone a nice coating at the end, and what I have thought for MBY is similar regardless. In my mind question mark is 400 feet and up Tolland and Windham hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Hopefully we get this cold -15C at 850mb upslope as that will be the difference maker for the mountains for snow totals. Upper level trough and energy swinging through over good low level flow and residual moisture. It’s progressive but when the 850mb level at ridgetop or just above is squarely in the DGZ at -15C… we usually fluff pretty well. Tall DGZ in region of max lift above the terrain gets the snow going but add in upper level support and it could snow hard for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Not going to lie, I don't like the orientation of that southern convection developing. I'd rather that be more south-to-north rather than an axis of west-to-east. Disrupting the moisture feed from the Gulf and south, IMO. On the plus side, much of the precip so far seems anafrontal. Not much in the warm sector but cold side of the FROPA has been seeing the bulk of the lift/mid-level fronto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Prolly how it plays out with a few higher lolli’s for the above 1K peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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