CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Reggie still is meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3km has the insane rates too… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Pivotal Kuchie for the 3k 12z NAM giving 6" for my hood. I don't think that will happen 1-3", maybe 2-4 seems more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Outside of the Litchfield Hills I think it's going to be very tough to see much in the way of accumulating snow across Connecticut. Litchfield Hills, especially far northwest Connecticut may get pounded on though. But outside of the hills, while the llvl airmass is quite cold 700mb temperatures are very marginal and the DGZ is quite high (though they do quickly crash) but it seems the window for establishing a favorable thermal profile for snow is very thin. Majority of any frozen precip may be more sleet than snow. But with this said...we could see 1-2'' of sleet which would not be good. This is very tough forecast here. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pivotal Kuchie for the 3k 12z NAM giving 6" for my hood. I don't think that will happen 1-3", maybe 2-4 seems more likely. Yea, I have you at 2-4". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I may just completely recycle my First Call lol See no reason to change a thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Comparing the NAM...it just looks so different from run to run. Definitely related to convection I think. Might be a bit of a nowcast deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 RGEM is nice for the Whites. The latest runs do seem to move the best snow from the Greens to the Whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Comparing the NAM...it just looks so different from run to run. Definitely related to convection I think. Might be a bit of a nowcast deal. Nowcast whether its a 1/2" or 1 1/2". 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Not to be prig or a dick ... but I'm going to - what the f are we spending all this time needling through the carpet, surfing ( urban vernacular/metaphor) for any slipped rock nuggets to get us a d-drip.. Gosh, it looks pathetic. ...ha! Now, watch us get 12" of positive bust in a 1::1000 lotto winner, only because I said that - 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I'm kidding... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: RGEM is nice for the Whites. The latest runs do seem to move the best snow from the Greens to the Whites. Definitely more progressive and later phasing on the actual low but RGEM wasn’t bad. The Greens up here should pack in some snow tomorrow morning with the mid-level Fronto. What’s going to happen is what normally happens… the NGreens will go longer duration while Whites will get it in shorter duration. By Sunday morning I bet it’s fairly similar for the mountains all across the North. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Albany ( NAM ) looks like they could get an impressive short duration snow blitz. They're packing .75" melted in a total snow sounding on the NAM FOUS. This situation is razor sharp really. The NAM grid is harder to delta between the intervals. Look at LGA ... They go from spitting QPF to a truck load, in a sounding that starts out in mid May and end up late January 240 03989255 02005 981506 51070603 30083909234 08115 913328 43999499 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS slowly coming around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Comparing the NAM...it just looks so different from run to run. Definitely related to convection I think. Might be a bit of a nowcast deal. Nowcast…wow another shocker there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Nowcast…wow another shocker there too. Hopefully you can grab a couple. At least your longitude helps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: GFS slowly coming around. Euro leading the way it seems on this one….been a while since we’ve seen that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hopefully you can grab a couple. At least your longitude helps. Ya I’d like to grab some to help pad my well below average season to date. Ya west will be best this time around it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Euro leading the way it seems on this one….been a while since we’ve seen that. Yeah if you compare all the solutions from like 2 days ago, the Euro is taking most guidance to the woodshed in the means. Definitely a needed coup for that model. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS QPF and Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 All the 12z hi-res guidance seems pretty bullish on snow in SNE...esp central/west....GFS kind of meh, though it continues to trend east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Each vendor's clowns have differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 33 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm kidding... Have you started disc golf yet this season? My son is addicted to it now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: All the 12z hi-res guidance seems pretty bullish on snow in SNE...esp central/west....GFS kind of meh, though it continues to trend east. I honestly have noticed like zero change in the expected snowfall output with this.....its always looked like potential for a backside inch or two, regardless of how cold the system looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I honestly have noticed like zero change in the expected snowfall output with this.....its always looked like potential for a backside inch or two, regardless of how cold the system looks. Ray, I have been sitting back and watching, is it me or is this thing moving way faster then first thought/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, 512high said: Ray, I have been sitting back and watching, is it me or is this thing moving way faster then first thought/ Its always bee a fast mover, but the east trend has limited how much moisture gets thrown back. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I honestly have noticed like zero change in the expected snowfall output with this.....its always looked like potential for a backside inch or two, regardless of how cold the system looks. For us, yes....out west though it's been a much bigger differences on some of these runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: For us, yes....out west though it's been a much bigger differences on some of these runs. Yea...like 3-6" or 6-10"min Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea...like 3-6" or 6-10"min Berks. This will end up being the snowiest 10 day period of the winter for me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: This will end up being the snowiest 10 day period of the winter for me. What other storm did you have besides on Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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