PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:08 AM, ineedsnow said: ukie? Expand That’s like having Italy as your ally in a world war. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:21 AM, George001 said: What are the odds that this turns into a full blown coastal and it snows 6+ inches right down to Nantucket? Im rooting for a slushy foot, nothing too crazy. NNE is likely the jackpot zone either way. For those really big totals we need the low to close off. Expand A slushy foot will have you out of power for a month. You silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:23 AM, PhineasC said: That’s like having Italy as your ally in a world war. Expand Lol you better hope the Euro is out to lunch…or the big storm up there is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 What’s the totally crazy NAM gonna show at 0z? That thing is all over the map every run, so it’s anybody's guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Seems like only Ginx has access to 6 and 18z Euro to post it . If not .. it’s just cryptic descriptions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:31 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like only Ginx has access to 6 and 18z Euro to post it Expand You clown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Definitely no complaints about the Euro. It's a great run here. Better than 12z for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:28 AM, WinterWolf said: What’s the totally crazy NAM gonna show at 0z? That thing is all over the map every run, so it’s anybody's guess. Expand Was the 18z 3k nam glitched or something? It had the low getting down to like 900 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:25 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol you better hope the Euro is out to lunch…or the big storm up there is toast. Expand This was the best Euro run in a while here. I will lock it up right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:33 AM, dryslot said: You clown Expand Thanks! 5-7” here. I’ll sell and toss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:36 AM, PhineasC said: This was the best Euro run in a while here. I will lock it up right now. Expand The clown map shows 7” for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:38 AM, WinterWolf said: The clown map shows 7” for you. Expand Appreciate the update. Keep me posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:19 AM, mreaves said: That's mighty nice of you. We shore do 'preciate that! Expand well played Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:39 AM, PhineasC said: Appreciate the update. Keep me posted. Expand Well you keep honking about wanting a crusher, and double digits etc etc… 7” isn’t exactly what you’ve been wishing for. But we’ll keep you updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:42 AM, WinterWolf said: Well you keep honking about wanting a crusher, and double digits etc etc… 7” isn’t exactly what you’ve been wishing for. But we’ll keep you updated. Expand I don't live in Berlin, FYI. I frequently beat them by 4" or more in events like this. They do not get any NW flow upslope of note either. But good try. LOL This run has better precip up here than 12z which was weaksauce for sure. I am good with it verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 That's an absurd 24 hour pressure drop from 48-72. I have to find a Canadian weather forum from that area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:36 AM, George001 said: Was the 18z 3k nam glitched or something? It had the low getting down to like 900 mb. Expand Looks fine to me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:46 AM, PhineasC said: I don't live in Berlin, FYI. I frequently beat them by 4" or more in events like this. They do not get any NW flow upslope of note either. But good try. LOL This run has better precip up here than 12z which was weaksauce for sure. I am good with it verifying. Expand Ok, fair enough. Let’s lock it in. Cuz it was pretty decent here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:48 AM, mob1 said: That's an absurd 24 hour pressure drop from 48-72. I have to find a Canadian weather forum from that area Expand 70mb drop in 30 hours wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:48 AM, WinterWolf said: Ok, fair enough. Let’s lock it in. Cuz it was pretty decent here too. Expand Yeah, I feel pretty good about 10"+ now. This run kicks off some better NW flow upslope after the storm passes and that will be high ratio fluff here. The final .25" liquid can easily be 5" or more. It's how some of us in NNE really pad those stats. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:52 AM, PhineasC said: Yeah, I feel pretty good about 10"+ now. This run kicks off some better NW flow upslope after the storm passes and that will be high ratio fluff here. The final .25" liquid can easily be 5" or more. It's how some of us in NNE really pad those stats. LOL Expand Understood. Let’s stat-pad for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 there has been a pretty legit trend towards a stronger TPV, which leads to lowering of the heights over the NE and a quicker cold air intrusion tough to say if the EPS is out to lunch, but given the consistency of this trend and the lead time presented, it's hard to totally ignore it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 12:42 AM, WinterWolf said: Well you keep honking about wanting a crusher, and double digits etc etc… 7” isn’t exactly what you’ve been wishing for. But we’ll keep you updated. Expand It’s about the overall look. Not the actual values. I didn’t think he mentioned totals anyway. The further east the better the ratios in spots too. A look at 0.75-1.00” can be 9-14” if the last half is cold NNE fluff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:14 AM, brooklynwx99 said: there has been a pretty legit trend towards a stronger TPV, which leads to lowering of the heights over the NE and a quicker cold air intrusion tough to say if the EPS is out to lunch, but given the consistency of this trend and the lead time presented, it's hard to totally ignore it Expand How did it do with the cold , snowy pattern it had for the first half of Morch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:32 AM, Damage In Tolland said: How did it do with the cold , snowy pattern it had for the first half of Morch? Expand every ensemble had the same overall pattern, and the signal decayed on all ensembles. the GEFS was also very aggressive with the cold, as was the GEPS. it happens never said the EPS was correct, either. just said that it's worth considering that kind of solution if the trend continues at 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 On 3/11/2022 at 1:23 AM, powderfreak said: It’s about the overall look. Not the actual values. I didn’t think he mentioned totals anyway. The further east the better the ratios in spots too. A look at 0.75-1.00” can be 9-14” if the last half is cold NNE fluff. Expand Ya we got it straightened out…hoping you guys get a good hit. Maybe we can sneak in something too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HRRR on board with euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 well we did have this period pegged for a potential wintry scenario... not exactly how I envisioned it, and still not buying anything but the wind and some cold rain but have a feeling this will surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Congrats Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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