3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

[LibertyBell]

well the snow flakes are bigger now and there's more of them but this is still very light snow.

 

[winterwx21]

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

NAM output is best cut by half or even two thirds.

 

Yep. There were a couple NAM runs yesterday that gave me 5 inches for today's storm. It's a crazy overhype model that waffles back and forth. Can't trust it at all these days. RGEM is much better.

[BxSnowWx37]

I think our accumulations come later on..setting sun,dropping temps,snow squalls. Also the backend is still in pa..all that will swing thru,maybe with some enhancement as the upper level low comes by.

[JERSEYSNOWROB]

Finally back to all snow here. 

[Tatamy]

6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The snow behind the Arctic front into PA is lighter than the heavier slug of precipitation that accompanied the rapidly deepening low. The mesos did a good of showing this. Maybe we can get some heavier snow squalls tonight when the deep upper low rolls through. 

There are actually some good bursts of snow in the Harrisburg area right now.  The latest run of the HRRR is not too bullish on that area of snow translating to the east with much potency.

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, BxSnowWx37 said:

I think our accumulations come later on..setting sun,dropping temps,snow squalls. Also the backend is still in pa..all that will swing thru,maybe with some enhancement as the upper level low comes by.

All that in central PA will dry up as it comes over the mountains and downslopes. Maybe there can be a coating with some snow squalls later under the trough. But overall a lame event. Finally seeing some snow flurries here. 

[LibertyBell]

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yep. There were a couple NAM runs yesterday that gave me 5 inches for today's storm. It's a crazy overhype model that waffles back and forth. Can't trust it at all these days. RGEM is much better.

I heard the Canadian was the best model this year with all those great upgrades.

[cleetussnow]

Finished up with about 1.5 here north of HPN.  Mid range of the forecast.  

[BxSnowWx37]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

All that in central PA will dry up as it comes over the mountains and downslopes. Maybe there can be a coating with some snow squalls later under the trough. But overall a lame event. Finally seeing some snow flurries here. 

Well it could be worse, boston is still liquid. The rain/snow line is crawling across new england now,taking its time..for us here we still have a chance of a surprize later on. The upper disturbance still has to come thru.

[LibertyBell]

it's actually snowing at a decent clip here now and very powdery and the sky has gotten dark

[LibertyBell]

with all the complaining this isn't all that bad, visibility is reduced with the snow falling pretty decently.

 

[NorthShoreWx]

32° here and I haven't seen a flake.

[HeadInTheClouds]

28 with light/moderate snow. Nearly 6 inches.

[Tatamy]

There are some very potent snow squalls in the Harrisburg area right now. There are some very low visibility’s associated with these.  On radar at least this activity is slowly translating to the east.  If anyone reading this is going to be traveling west into PA and west of Allentown I 78 is closed due to accidents at Hamburg.

[NorthShoreWx]

Kinda whacky watching the back edge of the main radar echos translate to the NE at approx. 80mph.

Had the barest of snizzle here.  Band off the NJ coast might give us (or perhaps just east of us) a decent snow shower if it holds together.

Temp 32°.  0.52" in the bucket (all liquid)

[HVSnowLover]

Took a short drive the difference between here and near the Tappan Zee Bridge is pretty dramatic, here it's like half an inch on grass, there it looked like a legit 2-3 inches, the line between crap and actual snow looked to be around Dobbs Ferry. 

[Brian5671]

RGEM FTW here-a very light coating of sleet/snow.    Was the model that never bit for eastern sections and once it again it was correct.

[HVSnowLover]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

RGEM FTW here-a very light coating of sleet/snow.    Was the model that never bit for eastern sections and once it again it was correct.

Yea it did best overall again! It was a little underdone and too warm for the HV but overall CMC/RGEM won this storm again.  

[the_other_guy]

Stick a fork in this winter.

 

Like a big budget movie that went nowhere but kept you entertained none the less.

[snowman19]

Storm is over up here in Sloatsburg, sun breaking out, snow ended a half hour ago, prob got an inch and a half, total, roads are black.  I’m outside in short sleeves right now doing an Irish square dance 

[Brian5671]

7 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Yea it did best overall again! It was a little underdone and too warm for the HV but overall CMC/RGEM won this storm again.  

Euro was horrid once again-had many runs with 2-5 inches here-not even close.

[MJO812]

Another terrible perchance by the Euro 

[snowman19]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Euro was horrid once again-had many runs with 2-5 inches here-not even close.

I tried warning people yesterday against using the Euro and the NAM, they made no sense given the setup but they chose to wishcast. The RGEM wins. How many times do ananfront snows actually work out here, in mid-March no less? I just got an inch and a half total snow. Especially when you have an arctic boundary cross the area, with NW flow behind it….the lee side downsloping dries everything right out like what we just saw with what fell apart from Pennsylvania….

[weathermedic]

Wind gusted to 44 mph just now at my station. 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

I tried warning people yesterday against using the Euro and the NAM, they made no sense given the setup but they chose to wishcast. The RGEM wins. How many times do ananfront snows actually work out here, in mid-March no less? I just got an inch and a half total snow. Especially when you have an arctic boundary cross the area, with NW flow behind it….the lee side downsloping dries everything right out like what we just saw with what fell apart from Pennsylvania….

Sam thing with the flash freeze talk-very rare around here.  These winds will dry out the roads in no time.

[psv88]

Nice little burst of snow now. 31 

[nycwinter]

today was a final insult to the horrible winter nyc just had..

[BxSnowWx37]

The prolonged snow squall is now approaching nw nj. It looks healthy crossing the mountains so far.. I think after 3 we all get a mini snowstorm..just my opinion..

[gpsnavigator]

2 minutes ago, BxSnowWx37 said:

The prolonged snow squall is now approaching nw nj. It looks healthy crossing the mountains so far.. I think after 3 we all get a mini snowstorm..just my opinion..

I was just about to post this.  It's holding together and it's not far.

[WestBabylonWeather]

32 degrees now. I’ll take the squall over NJ please.