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3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

HVSnowLover

By HVSnowLover,
in New York City Metro

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White Gorilla
White Gorilla

Snowhole19 jumps on a no snow forecast with great enthusiasm?  Shocking!! 

snowman19
snowman19

Funny how you’re spiking the football already, 24 hours out, it’s going to be funny tomorrow when you get less than an inch to total in NYC lol Watch the models back way off at 0Z tonight. The RGEM an

HVSnowLover
HVSnowLover

I hope everyone in Sloatsburg is ok if they get 6 inches tomorrow.

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Roger Smith

Roger Smith

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If this follows the CMC guidance could see 70-80 mph W-NW wind gusts in some areas Saturday afternoon and evening, it's a very intense storm tracking almost right overhead and the thickness gradient behind the front is very strong. Probably around 50 F in the morning and 20 F by midnight, any snow would be squalls with the arctic front. Thunderstorm potential seems high for Long Island and southern New England, possibly severe in places. 

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SnoSki14

SnoSki14

Posted
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  On 3/9/2022 at 11:20 AM, Rtd208 said:

Potential for a multi hazard storm remains high for Friday night thru Saturday evening. Heavy rain, thunderstorms (especially eastern areas), snow (far NW areas) and high winds are likely. Winds reaching warning criteria will be possible.

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I hope so, models have had a tendency to weaken systems as we get closer. Would love a powerful amped up storm. 

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gpsnavigator

gpsnavigator

Posted
Posted
  On 3/9/2022 at 12:40 PM, SnoSki14 said:

I hope so, models have had a tendency to weaken systems as we get closer. Would love a powerful amped up storm. 

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I'm curious as to why besides the wow factor?  There would be a risk for damage and power outages and with temperatures falling into the teens and 20s, I'm not sure that's a combination to hope for.

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HeadInTheClouds

HeadInTheClouds

Posted
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  On 3/9/2022 at 6:42 PM, HVSnowLover said:

Definitely taking a trip to at least Orange County if that verifies for 1 pm on Saturday. 

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It could be a few hours of the good stuff as the low moves east and cold air rushes in. Euro gives me 6 but CMC and GFS only 1-2. Central NYS and Albany on north are the place to be with this one. 

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HVSnowLover

HVSnowLover

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  On 3/9/2022 at 8:20 PM, forkyfork said:

it's a gulf origin miller a so i expect a nw trend in the final 48 hours

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Agree I don't think I've ever seen a storm with this look 3 days out turn into an I95 snowstorm. I'm still tracking though because it does look like an exciting storm and any flakes in March is better than none.

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jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
  On 3/9/2022 at 8:16 PM, HVSnowLover said:

This is not a NYC storm but would be nice to see the HV cash in finally but right now agree with HeadintheClouds you want to be Binghamton to Albany with this one.  

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I’m hoping the I-81 corridor can finally have a nice event this season. They’ve been shut out all winter. 

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snowman19

snowman19

Posted
Posted
  On 3/9/2022 at 8:20 PM, forkyfork said:

it's a gulf origin miller a so i expect a nw trend in the final 48 hours

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100%, no -NAO block, no 50/50 low, +AO, shortwave amps, it’s pretty much guaranteed to come northwest. Also, once you get the big thunderstorm blowups in the SE, the latent heat release aloft is going to really pump the SE ridge big time…..

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HeadInTheClouds

HeadInTheClouds

Posted
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  On 3/9/2022 at 8:15 PM, wishcast_hater said:

Would be nice for us Folks N&W to finally cash in. I wouldn’t mind a legit snowstorm after all the garbage we got all season. 

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I wouldn't count on it especially for you in Lagrange area. Maybe rain changing to snow for a little while as storm moves east. I think we have to be farther N and W than we are to see heavy snows but we will see. 

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HVSnowLover

HVSnowLover

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  On 3/9/2022 at 9:02 PM, HeadInTheClouds said:

I wouldn't count on it especially for you in Lagrange area. Maybe rain changing to snow for a little while as storm moves east. I think we have to be farther N and W than we are to see heavy snows but we will see. 

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Yea I could see places like Western Ulster County doing well with this but east of the Hudson will be way harder with this.   

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MJO812

MJO812

Posted
Posted
  On 3/9/2022 at 8:55 PM, snowman19 said:

100%, no -NAO block, no 50/50 low, +AO, shortwave amps, it’s pretty much guaranteed to come northwest. Also, once you get the big thunderstorm blowups in the SE, the latent heat release aloft is going to really pump the SE ridge big time…..

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This always happens

Finally a good post from you  

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