Shocker0 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Foot or more call for the Plateau is looking good. Even more likely if OHX releases a WWA for 1-3" like last February 7th here when we got 5-8". All the models showed 6-7" consistently leading up to that one as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Chattanooga folks, some of these runs aren't bad for your area. The 12z RGEM and GFS look pretty good. Those numbers are giving TRI a run for their money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, Wurbus said: Winner Winner Chicken Dinner That is just insane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Winner Winner Chicken DinnerWhat are those rates along the northern plateau?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Some sleet in the mix on this. Just looking at the maps, it doesn't rain long. As soon as the rates pick-up, the cold crashes into the precip shield. So, you will see some differences in clown maps due to sleet/snow/zr algorithms. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 The rate that the cold just pours in is pretty remarkable. Will go from mid-60s to freezing in almost 12 hours around Knoxville 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 With those rates and the temp crashing, I wouldn't imagine there being a huge issue with snow loss due to warm ground. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Here is the comparison to 6z. You could tell almost right off the bat that this was digging and would be stronger. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: What are those rates along the northern plateau? . Not sure if I can pull this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 The 3k/12K NAM, RGEM, and GFS have come in much stronger at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 GEFS Mean Surprised the plateau isn't larger. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Wurbus said: GEFS Mean Surprised the plateau isn't larger. That gets into Atlanta there, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 I understand MRX's desire to be conservative, but do they expect that much snow loss due to ground temps or are they just ignoring latest model trends? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Wurbus said: GEFS Mean Surprised the plateau isn't larger. Just washed out a bit due to so many solutions, some of which are likely minor. If the storm continues to get bigger on future runs, the weaker solutions will be weeded out. That is a great look there. Thanks for that share. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said: I understand MRX's desire to be conservative, but do they expect that much snow loss due to ground temps or are they just ignoring latest model trends? IMHO, it is always safer about 95% of the time to go with lower totals at this range. That is an increase from yesterday. They have room to up the totals if 0z comes in bigger. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Not too shabby 1 hour snow rates for y’all from the 3K NAM 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 I understand MRX's desire to be conservative, but do they expect that much snow loss due to ground temps or are they just ignoring latest model trends?No one gets mad at the weather guys when they predicted 2 inches and we get 6. . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 The 12z GEFS trended a bit SE with its snow axis. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Just now, jrips27 said: Not too shabby 1 hour snow rates for y’all from the 3K NAM I would think there would be convection under some of that. Great find. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 I think this also could be a deal where odd locations go snow faster than climo locations based on snow rates. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 The 12z GDPS is a textbook track. Nice, nice look. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: No one gets mad at the weather guys when they predicted 2 inches and we get 6. . Well, none of us would anyways lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Chattanooga folks, another good run. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I think this also could be a deal where odd locations go snow faster than climo locations based on snow rates. . Yeah, agree. This may be a deal that as soon as the heavier rates hit, the snow flips over and just rips. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Textbook for eastern forum areas. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 42 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: . Looks Nothing like models just shaking my head. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VOLtage Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 RAP model looks pretty good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8283 El Nino Baby Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 All this plateau getting hammered talk is raising my expectations way too much. At first I was happy with any snow in March, then 2-4 inches seemed great, but now that the RGEM, NAM 3K and RAP are showing my location on the plateau as a possible bullseye, I fear I will be disappointed if we end up only getting what is being forecast by the NWS. The perils of model riding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricaneguy Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Out of curiosity does anyone remember the last decent snow in March for East TN? I’m having trouble remembering one in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now