PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning? . Why chance it? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Why chance it?Well… good point . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, PowellVolz said: Well… good point . 6 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning? . I would cover especially with overnight temps! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said: @AMZ8990, how close are you to that band in west TN that the RGEM is depicting. That could be a good thump! Thanks for sharing man. I’m right in the middle of the heaviest snow axis that stretches through 2-3 counties on that RGeM run, fingers crossed brother! Looks like it stretches from south eastern Fayette county into my county which is hardeman county. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning? . Does the Jap maple already have tender young shoots and leaves? If so, man I don’t know. Hopefully the snow will insulate it. I’ve seen cherries in bloom covered with 2in of snow and they were fine but it wasn’t nearly as cold as the projections for Sunday AM. Unfortunately at 10 degrees (and maybe lower depending on snowpack) I don’t know that you will be able to do very much more than the snow will do. If you cover them today with the sun out you will bake them and kill them. If you cover them with a sheet and get a heavy snow on them better have something to prop them up with so the sheet doesn’t get too heavy with the snow and crush them. Then there’s the whole so cold it may freeze inside the”dome” even with the sheets the wind also does as much damage as anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jed33 said: Does the Jap maple already have tender young shoots and leaves? If so, man I don’t know. Hopefully the snow will insulate it. I’ve seen cherries in bloom covered with 2in of snow and they were fine but it wasn’t nearly as cold as the projections for Sunday AM. Unfortunately at 10 degrees (and maybe lower depending on snowpack) I don’t know that you will be able to do very much more than the snow will do. If you cover them today with the sun out you will bake them and kill them. If you cover them with a sheet and get a heavy snow on them better have something to prop them up with so the sheet doesn’t get too heavy with the snow and crush them. Then there’s the whole so cold it may freeze inside the”dome” even with the sheets the wind also does as much damage as anything Snow will always insulate it, you’ll be fine. We aren’t covering greens today for this very reason. I wouldn’t stress about it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Starting to feel the front pushing into Memphis, wind has been picking up all morning. Starting to really feel the temps changing now. Started out sunny this morning which has transitioned to overcast and cloudy now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 43 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: While waiting for the Euro, let's look at the last run. I was looking at the snow depth versus snowfall. I know this is a concern (melting snow, warm ground, etc). If NW Arkansas has spots of 4 inches this thing is a big over performer. Below is the snowfall (total snow) versus depth. The depth should be light in AK right now according to the Euro. Like 1 inch max. There is a little more total snow on the snow map (2.5 inches), but it is still not as much as the reports. Curious to see what the 12z shows to compare. Correction incoming? A little bit of correction in snow totals in AR, but the depth maps show there is less than is actually there! This is suggesting most of the snow is not having a problem sticking. 12z holds for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Something else to consider is the precipitation trends. This storm is slowing becoming less rain and more snow as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Where has Jeff been? He has been awfully quiet with the potential of Chatt getting some snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The nowcast/obs rule now. It overperforming in Arkansas during the day is a good sign. Its basically every model vs the NAM right now too it seems. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, PowellVolz said: I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning? . They’ll be ok, they’re more resilient then some lead on. With snow cover you’ll have perfect natural insulation on them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, John1122 said: The nowcast/obs rule now. It overperforming in Arkansas during the day is a good sign. Its basically every model vs the NAM right now too it seems. Temps barely got to 50 in Collierville this morning while I was at work. We were forecast to hit 59. Cold air definitely pouring in quicker than forecasted. I’m headed home now, I’ll update throughout the day To let y’all know how it looks on the west side of the state 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said: Temps barely got to 50 in Collierville this morning while I was at work. We were forecast to hit 59. Cold air definitely pouring in quicker than forecasted. I’m headed home now, I’ll update throughout the day To let y’all know how it looks on the west side of the state I'm hoping that you pull off 3-6 inches. Some models have a streak right over your area of heavy stuff the last several days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VOLtage Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 May need blizzard warnings on the plateau with the potential for those 40+ mile per hour winds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, VOLtage said: May need blizzard warnings on the plateau with the potential for those 40+ mile per hour winds. May reach criteria but, doubt NWS issues. They may mention blizzard conditions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Are we going to do a observation thread or keep them here?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 MRX with the kiss of death...just updated my forecast (Knox). Now says 2-4 tonight with 1-2 more tomorrow! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 MRX with the kiss of death...just updated my forecast (Knox). Now says 2-4 tonight with 1-2 more tomorrow!Lol… yeah mine says the same thing . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 MRX with the kiss of death...just updated my forecast (Knox). Now says 2-4 tonight with 1-2 more tomorrow!Same for my neck of the woods which is an increase from the last pinpoint forecast.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 KNX is over 6" mean on the SREF now. Chatt around 5" and Nashville dropped to around 3" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VOLtage Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Latest HRRR is nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 It's a cold 65 here now. And I mean that. Despite the warmth, the wind is pretty chilly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Wurbus said: KNX is over 6" mean on the SREF now. Chatt around 5" and Nashville dropped to around 3" Wow, I was looking at Knoxville and that is a GREAT looking SREF plume. Lowest is a tight cluster around 2.5 inches, which is a great bottom to have. Two over a foot! A small cluster around 10 inches with a majority between 5 and 7. Haven't seen one that good in years. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rdwhynot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 So the NCEP SREF Plumes for BHM have grown considerably over the past 3 model runs for 'Total-SNO' Can we keep stretching it out? The mean is now at about 3 1/4" and the max Goofy is at almost 9" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I know we are pretty much into nowcasting time, but the NAM is looking fat and beefy. Big improvement over 12z. 12z for comparison 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I’m not taking my cup off. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3k the same. 18z top 12z bottom Looks like John gets smacked hard on this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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